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Do China's Outward Direct Investors Prefer Countries with High Political Risk? An International and Empirical Comparison

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  • Jiann-jong Guo
  • Guo-chen Wang
  • Chien-hung Tung

Abstract

This paper focuses on a conventional debate regarding whether Chinese outward direct investors tend to invest in countries with high political risk. Using 2003–2011 data from the World Bank, the Heritage Foundation and the KOF Swiss Economic Institute, we investigate China's political risk distribution and political risk index (PRI). Our results indicate that China's political risk index was ranked 48th among 153 economies in 2011, in the lower risk level of the PRI spectrum. In an international comparison of political risk distribution, the proportion of Chinese outward direct investment (ODI) among countries with high political risk is less than the world average. The Chinese ODI political risk index has significantly improved and remains lower than the world average. To improve Chinese ODI PRI, the Chinese Government should continue to implement differentiation strategies and to offer official development assistance to improve the investment environment in developing countries and reduce political risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiann-jong Guo & Guo-chen Wang & Chien-hung Tung, 2014. "Do China's Outward Direct Investors Prefer Countries with High Political Risk? An International and Empirical Comparison," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 22(6), pages 22-43, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:chinae:v:22:y:2014:i:6:p:22-43
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    2. Süssmuth, Bernd & Gawellek, Bastian & Lyu, Jingjing, 2015. "Did Chinese Outward Activity Attenuate or Aggravate the Great Recession in Developing Countries?," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112994, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Olawoyin Gregory Adedigba & Runhui Lin & Nizam Ud Din, 2020. "The degree of internationalization of Chinese Multinationals along the belt and road initiative countries," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(7), pages 1-22, July.
    4. Gawellek, Bastian & Lyu, Jingjing & Süssmuth, Bernd, 2021. "Geo-politics and the impact of China's outward investment on developing countries: evidence from the Great Recession," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    5. Bastian Gawellek & Jingjing Lyu & Bernd Süssmuth, 2016. "Did Chinese Outward Activity Attenuate or Aggravate the Great Recession in Developing Countries?," CESifo Working Paper Series 5735, CESifo.
    6. Nguyen Thi Tuong Anh & Hung Quang Doan & Tuan Anh Bui & Nam Hoang Vu & Duong Thuy Thanh Le, 2022. "A Revisit of Motives for Chinese Outward Foreign Direct Investment: The Role of the Institution in Host Countries," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(4), pages 21582440221, December.

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