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The Dynamics of Pest Resistance Management: The Case of Refuge Fields for Bt Crops

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  • Marion Desquilbet
  • Markus Herrmann

Abstract

type="main" xml:lang="fr"> Nous analysons la politique optimale d'un refuge variable dans le temps afin de gérer la résistance d'insectes nuisibles face aux semences Bt dans le cadre d'un modèle à horizon fini et en temps discret. Nous identifions de manière analytique les effets intertemporels des zones de refuge sur la population d'insectes et leur susceptibilité aux semences Bt. La forme de la politique optimale de zone de refuge ainsi que l'extraction complète de la susceptibilité des insectes nuisibles en horizon fini – si elle a lieu – dépendent de manière cruciale des valeurs du surcoût des semences Bt et du coût de “fitness” (mortalité des insectes résistants), ce qui est analysé via des simulations numériques. Nous montrons l'importance de modéliser la dynamique du système biologique de manière exacte, de définir un modèle biologique diplo ide (et non haplo ide) et d'utiliser un cadre d'analyse en temps discret (au lieu de continu).

Suggested Citation

  • Marion Desquilbet & Markus Herrmann, 2016. "The Dynamics of Pest Resistance Management: The Case of Refuge Fields for Bt Crops," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 64(2), pages 253-288, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:canjag:v:64:y:2016:i:2:p:253-288
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/cjag.12071
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bullock, David S. & D'Arcangelo, Filippo Maria & Desquilbet, Marion, 2018. "A discussion of the market and policy failures associated with the adoption of herbicide-tolerant crops," TSE Working Papers 18-959, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Aug 2019.
    2. Chelsea A. Pardini & Ana Espínola‐Arredondo, 2023. "Fungicide resistance and misinformation: A game theoretic approach," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 71(2), pages 171-201, June.

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