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Fiscal Sustainability in Indonesia: Policies and Progress

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  • Vid Adrison

Abstract

This paper investigates fiscal sustainability in Indonesia and draws comparisons with Malaysia and Thailand. The analysis encompasses an evaluation of fiscal rules, fiscal performance, and an assessment of fiscal sustainability across these three countries. Given that the Coronavirus Disease (COVID‐19) pandemic affected budget deficits in each country starting in 2020, the empirical assessment utilizes data from 2010 to 2019. Despite persistent fiscal deficits in each country, the results suggest that all three countries maintain fiscal sustainability. A more detailed analysis of the Indonesian case focuses on government revenue and expenditure. The discussion addresses challenges in these areas, aiming to identify feasible policy options for enhancing fiscal sustainability in Indonesia.

Suggested Citation

  • Vid Adrison, 2024. "Fiscal Sustainability in Indonesia: Policies and Progress," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 19(2), pages 224-247, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:asiapr:v:19:y:2024:i:2:p:224-247
    DOI: 10.1111/aepr.12468
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vid Adrison & Masarina Flukeria, 2016. "Lowering Regional Inflation? Improve Budget Absorption," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 62, pages 67-77, August.
    2. Eric Dubois, 2016. "Political business cycles 40 years after Nordhaus," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 235-259, January.
    3. Antonio Fatás & Ilian Mihov, 2003. "The Case for Restricting Fiscal Policy Discretion," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 118(4), pages 1419-1447.
    4. Jonathan S. Feinstein, 1991. "An Econometric Analysis of Income Tax Evasion and its Detection," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 22(1), pages 14-35, Spring.
    5. James Alm, 2019. "What Motivates Tax Compliance?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 353-388, April.
    6. Sjahrir, Bambang Suharnoko & Kis-Katos, Krisztina & Schulze, Günther G., 2013. "Political budget cycles in Indonesia at the district level," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 342-345.
    7. M. Chatib Basri & Mayara Felix & Rema Hanna & Benjamin A. Olken, 2021. "Tax Administration versus Tax Rates: Evidence from Corporate Taxation in Indonesia," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(12), pages 3827-3871, December.
    8. Dwi Krisnanto & Endra Iraman & Yoshikuni Ono & Makoto Kakinaka, 2023. "Quality of public governance and voluntary tax payment: experimental evidence from Indonesia," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 543-547, February.
    9. Feinstein, Jonathan S, 1990. "Detection Controlled Estimation," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 33(1), pages 233-276, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Takatoshi Ito & Kazumasa Iwata & Colin McKenzie & Shujiro Urata, 2024. "ASEAN: Editors' Overview," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 19(2), pages 153-171, July.
    2. Cassey Lee, 2024. "Comment on “Fiscal Sustainability in Indonesia: Policies and Progress”," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 19(2), pages 248-249, July.

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