Prediction markets as meta‐episteme: Artificial intelligence, forecasting tournaments, prediction markets, and economic growth
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12546
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Robert J. Gordon, 2016. "The Rise and Fall of American Growth: The U.S. Standard of Living since the Civil War," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10544.
- Nicholas Bloom & Charles I. Jones & John Van Reenen & Michael Webb, 2020.
"Are Ideas Getting Harder to Find?,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(4), pages 1104-1144, April.
- Nicholas Bloom & Charles I. Jones & John Van Reenen & Michael Webb, 2017. "Are Ideas Getting Harder to Find?," NBER Working Papers 23782, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Van Reenen, John & Bloom, Nicholas & Jones, Chad & Webb, Michael, 2017. "Are Ideas Getting Harder to Find?," CEPR Discussion Papers 12294, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bloom, Nicholas A. & Jones, Charles I. & Van Reenen, John & Webb, Michael, 2017. "Are Ideas Getting Harder to Find?," Research Papers repec:ecl:stabus:3592, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
- Michael Webb & John Van Reenen & Charles Jones & Nicholas Bloom, 2017. "Are Ideas Getting Harder to Find?," 2017 Meeting Papers 566, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Bloom, Nicholas & Jones, Charles I & Reenen, John Van & Webb, Michael, 2017. "Are ideas getting harder to find?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86588, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Bloom, Nicholas & Jones, Charles I & Van Reenen, John & Webb, Michael, 2020. "Are ideas getting harder to find?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 104481, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Nicholas Bloom & Charles I Jones & John Van Reenen & Michael Webb, 2017. "Are ideas getting harder to find?," CEP Discussion Papers dp1496, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Peter J. Boettke & Christopher J. Coyne & Peter T. Leeson, 2015.
"Institutional stickiness and the New Development Economics,"
Chapters, in: Laura E. Grube & Virgil Henry Storr (ed.), Culture and Economic Action, chapter 6, pages 123-146,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Peter J. Boettke & Christopher J. Coyne & Peter T. Leeson, 2008. "Institutional Stickiness and the New Development Economics," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(2), pages 331-358, April.
- Maloney, Michael T. & Mulherin, J. Harold, 2003. "The complexity of price discovery in an efficient market: the stock market reaction to the Challenger crash," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 453-479, September.
- W. William Woolsey & Scott Sumner, 2015. "Nominal GDP Futures Contract Targeting," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 23, pages 751-770, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- William D. Nordhaus, 2021.
"Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 299-332, January.
- William D. Nordhaus, 2015. "Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity" Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2021, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- William D. Nordhaus, 2015. "Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth," NBER Working Papers 21547, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Joel Mokyr, 2016. "A Culture of Growth: The Origins of the Modern Economy," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10835.
- Hanson, Robin, 2016. "The Age of Em: Work, Love, and Life when Robots Rule the Earth," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198754626.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Gold, E. Richard, 2021. "The fall of the innovation empire and its possible rise through open science," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(5).
- Ian Goldin & Pantelis Koutroumpis & François Lafond & Julian Winkler, 2024.
"Why Is Productivity Slowing Down?,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 62(1), pages 196-268, March.
- Goldin, Ian & Koutroumpis, Pantelis & Lafond, François & Winkler, Julian, 2020. "Why is productivity slowing down?," MPRA Paper 99172, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lafond, François & Goldin, Ian & Koutroumpis, Pantelis & Winkler, Julian, 2022. "Why is productivity slowing down?," INET Oxford Working Papers 2022-08, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
- Lafond, François & Goldin, Ian & Koutroumpis, Pantelis & Winkler, Julian, 2021. "Why is productivity slowing down?," INET Oxford Working Papers 2021-12, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
- Stefan Schweikl & Robert Obermaier, 2020. "Lessons from three decades of IT productivity research: towards a better understanding of IT-induced productivity effects," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 70(4), pages 461-507, November.
- Ajay Agrawal & John McHale & Alexander Oettl, 2018.
"Finding Needles in Haystacks: Artificial Intelligence and Recombinant Growth,"
NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda, pages 149-174,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ajay Agrawal & John McHale & Alex Oettl, 2018. "Finding Needles in Haystacks: Artificial Intelligence and Recombinant Growth," NBER Working Papers 24541, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ufuk Akcigit & Sina T. Ates, 2023.
"What Happened to US Business Dynamism?,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 131(8), pages 2059-2124.
- Ufuk Akcigit & Sina Ates, 2019. "What Happened to the U.S. Business Dynamism?," 2019 Meeting Papers 150, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Ufuk Akcigit & Sina T. Ates, 2019. "What Happened to U.S. Business Dynamism?," NBER Working Papers 25756, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ufuk Akcigit & Sina T. Ates, 2019. "What Happened to U.S. Business Dynamism?," CESifo Working Paper Series 7854, CESifo.
- Akcigit, Ufuk & Ates, Sina T., 2019. "What Happened to U.S. Business Dynamism?," CEPR Discussion Papers 13669, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ufuk Akcigit & Sina T. Ates, 2020. "What Happened to U.S. Business Dynamism?," FEDS Notes 2020-02-14, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Naudé, Wim & Nagler, Paula, 2022. "The Ossified Economy: The Case of Germany, 1870-2020," IZA Discussion Papers 15607, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Czarnitzki, Dirk & Fernández, Gastón P. & Rammer, Christian, 2023.
"Artificial intelligence and firm-level productivity,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 188-205.
- Czarnitzki, Dirk & Fernández, Gastón P. & Rammer, Christian, 2022. "Artificial intelligence and firm-level productivity," ZEW Discussion Papers 22-005, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Dirk Czarnitzki & Gastón P Fernández & Christian Rammer, 2022. "Artificial Intelligence and Firm-level Productivity," Working Papers of Department of Management, Strategy and Innovation, Leuven 690486, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Management, Strategy and Innovation, Leuven.
- Yusuke Oh & Koji Takahashi, 2020. "R&D and Innovation: Evidence from Patent Data," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 20-E-7, Bank of Japan.
- Bondarev, Anton & Krysiak, Frank C., 2021.
"Economic development and the structure of cross-technology interactions,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Anton Bondarev & Frank C. Krysiak, 2021. "Economic development and the structure of cross-technology interactions," Papers 2107.06137, arXiv.org.
- Gennady Shkliarevsky, 2022. "Is Our Research Productivity In Decline? A New Approach in Resolving the Controversy," Papers 2203.01235, arXiv.org.
- Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Pawel Smietanka & Gregory Thwaites, 2020.
"The Impact of Covid-19 on Productivity,"
NBER Working Papers
28233, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Pawel Smietanka & Gregory Thwaites, 2020. "The impact of Covid-19 on productivity," Discussion Papers 2020/13, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
- Bloom, Nicholas & Bunn, Philip & Mizen, Paul & Smietanka, Pawel & Thwaites, Gregory, 2020. "The impact of Covid-19 on productivity," Bank of England working papers 900, Bank of England, revised 09 Feb 2022.
- Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Pawel Smietanka & Gregory Thwaites, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 on productivity," POID Working Papers 061, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Bloom, Nicholas & Bunn, Philip & Mizen, Paul & Smietanka, Pawel & Thwaites, Gregory Douglas, 2023. "The impact of Covid-19 on productivity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121314, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Pawel Smietanka & Gregory Thwaites, 2023. "The impact of Covid-19 on productivity," CEP Discussion Papers dp1929, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Aki Tomizawa & Li Zhao & Geneviève Bassellier & David Ahlstrom, 2020. "Economic growth, innovation, institutions, and the Great Enrichment," Asia Pacific Journal of Management, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 7-31, March.
- Robert J. Shiller, 2017.
"Narrative Economics,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(4), pages 967-1004, April.
- Robert J. Shiller, 2017. "Narrative Economics," NBER Working Papers 23075, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Robert J. Shiller, 2017. "Narrative Economics," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2069, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Janice C. dup Eberly & John dup Fernald, 2022. "Jackson Hole 2022 - Reassessing Economic Constraints: Potential Output (The Impact of COVID on Productivity and Potential Output)," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, August.
- Diane Coyle, 2021. "The idea of productivity," Working Papers 003, The Productivity Institute.
- Caleb Peppiatt, 2024. "The Future of Work: Inequality, Artificial Intelligence, and What Can Be Done About It. A Literature Review," Papers 2408.13300, arXiv.org.
- Giacomo Damioli & Vincent Van Roy & Daniel Vertesy, 2021. "The impact of artificial intelligence on labor productivity," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, March.
- Gerben Bakker & Nicholas Crafts & Pieter Woltjer, 2019.
"The Sources of Growth in a Technologically Progressive Economy: The United States, 1899–1941,"
The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 129(622), pages 2267-2294.
- Bakker, Gerben & Crafts, Nicholas & Woltjer, Pieter, 2017. "The Sources of Growth in a Technologically Progressive Economy: the United States, 1899-1941," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 341, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
- Bakker, Gerben & Crafts, Nicholas & Woltjer, Pieter, 2019. "The sources of growth in a technologically progressive economy: the United States, 1899‐1941," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 89507, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Bakker, Gerben & Crafts, Nicholas & Woltjer, Pieter, 2017. "The sources of growth in a technologically progressive economy: the United States, 1899-1941," Economic History Working Papers 85081, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
- Anton Korinek & Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2021.
"Artificial Intelligence, Globalization, and Strategies for Economic Development,"
Working Papers Series
inetwp146, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Anton Korinek & Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2021. "Artificial Intelligence, Globalization, and Strategies for Economic Development," NBER Working Papers 28453, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Korinek, Anton & Stiglitz, Joseph, 2021. "Artificial Intelligence, Globalization, and Strategies for Economic Development," CEPR Discussion Papers 15772, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Choi, Jin-Uk & Lee, Chang-Yang, 2022. "The differential effects of basic research on firm R&D productivity: The conditioning role of technological diversification," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:ajecsc:v:83:y:2024:i:2:p:383-392. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0002-9246 .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.