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A Model Of Supply Response In The Australian Orange Growing Industry

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  • Julian M. Alston
  • John W. Freebairn
  • John J. Quilkey

Abstract

A model of the Australian orange growing industry to explain changes in plantings, removals, the number and age composition of trees and orange production is developed and estimated. Most of the variation in plantings is explained by the expected profitability of growing oranges, the current stocks of bearing and nonbearing trees, and removals of trees last year. Estimates of the elasticities of response of plantings and production to price changes are low and there are long time lags. An illustrative application of the model projects future developments in the industry for alternative assumptions about the profitability of growing oranges.
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Suggested Citation

  • Julian M. Alston & John W. Freebairn & John J. Quilkey, 1980. "A Model Of Supply Response In The Australian Orange Growing Industry," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 24(3), pages 248-267, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ajarec:v:24:y:1980:i:3:p:248-267
    DOI: j.1467-8489.1980.tb00581.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Allan N. Rae & Hoy F. Carman, 1975. "A Model Of New Zealand Apple Supply Response To Technological Change," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 19(1), pages 39-51, April.
    2. John L. Baritelle & David W. Price, 1974. "Supply Response and Marketing Strategies for Deciduous Crops," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 56(2), pages 245-253.
    3. Ben C. French & Raymond G. Bressler, 1962. "The Lemon Cycle," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 44(4), pages 1021-1036.
    4. Zvi Griliches, 1959. "The Demand for Inputs in Agriculture and a Derived Supply Elasticity," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 41(2), pages 309-322.
    5. Etherington, Dan M., 1977. "A Stochastic Model For The Optimal Replacement Of Rubber Trees," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 21(1), pages 1-19, April.
    6. D.M. Etherington, 1977. "A Stochastic Model For The Optimal Replacement Of Rubber Trees," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 21(1), pages 40-58, April.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Jonathon Siegle & Gregory Astill & Zoë Plakias & Daniel Tregeagle, 2024. "Estimating perennial crop supply response: A methodology literature review," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 55(2), pages 159-180, March.
    3. Harvey, Sallyann & Fisher, Bill & Larson, Kristoffer & Malcolm, Bill, 2010. "A benefit cost analysis on management strategies for Queensland Fruit Fly: methods and observations," 2010 Conference (54th), February 10-12, 2010, Adelaide, Australia 59740, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    4. Rodrigo Mujica & Juan Ignacio Varas & Rosa María Contesse, 1991. "El Impacto de las Políticas de Fomento a las Exportaciones en la Uva de Mesa Chilena," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 28(85), pages 411-432.

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