IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/agecon/v54y2023i1p77-94.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Delayed monsoon, irrigation and crop yields

Author

Listed:
  • Hardeep Singh Amale
  • Pratap Singh Birthal
  • Digvijay Singh Negi

Abstract

Most of the empirical literature assessing the impacts of climate change on agriculture has modeled crop yields as a function of the levels or deviations in the growing‐period rainfall. However, an aspect that has received little attention in the empirical literature relates to the relationship between the timing of monsoon rains and crop yields. Using a pan‐India district‐level panel dataset for 50 years, this article investigates two interrelated issues critical to understanding the impacts of weather‐induced agricultural risks and their management. It first examines the impact of the timing of monsoon onset on crop yields and then assesses the role of irrigation in mitigating its effects. The article finds that the delayed onset of monsoon is detrimental to crops, and its effects are realized beyond the rainy season. The findings also demonstrate that irrigation helps mitigate the harmful effects of delayed monsoon. Finally, to link these findings to farm‐level adjustments, the article shows that farmers explicitly adjust the timing of irrigation in response to delays in monsoon rains.

Suggested Citation

  • Hardeep Singh Amale & Pratap Singh Birthal & Digvijay Singh Negi, 2023. "Delayed monsoon, irrigation and crop yields," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 54(1), pages 77-94, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:54:y:2023:i:1:p:77-94
    DOI: 10.1111/agec.12746
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12746
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/agec.12746?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Moschini, Giancarlo & Hennessy, David A., 2001. "Uncertainty, risk aversion, and risk management for agricultural producers," Handbook of Agricultural Economics, in: B. L. Gardner & G. C. Rausser (ed.), Handbook of Agricultural Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 2, pages 88-153, Elsevier.
    2. Pradeep Kurukulasuriya & Namrata Kala & Robert Mendelsohn, 2011. "Adaptation And Climate Change Impacts: A Structural Ricardian Model Of Irrigation And Farm Income In Africa," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(02), pages 149-174.
    3. Rud, Juan Pablo, 2012. "Electricity provision and industrial development: Evidence from India," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 352-367.
    4. Yonas Alem & Mintewab Bezabih & Menale Kassie & Precious Zikhali, 2010. "Does fertilizer use respond to rainfall variability? Panel data evidence from Ethiopia," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(2), pages 165-175, March.
    5. Birthal, Pratap S. & Negi, Digvijay S. & Khan, Md. Tajuddin & Agarwal, Shaily, 2015. "Is Indian agriculture becoming resilient to droughts? Evidence from rice production systems," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-12.
    6. Gary D. Libecap & Richard H. Steckel, 2011. "The Economics of Climate Change: Adaptations Past and Present," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number libe10-1.
    7. Leslie Lipper & Jyotsna Puri & Romina Cavatassi & Nancy McCarthy, 2022. "How does climate change affect the evidence we need for agricultural development?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(6), pages 911-923, November.
    8. Chuang, Yating, 2019. "Climate variability, rainfall shocks, and farmers’ income diversification in India," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 55-61.
    9. Richard Hornbeck & Pinar Keskin, 2014. "The Historically Evolving Impact of the Ogallala Aquifer: Agricultural Adaptation to Groundwater and Drought," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 6(1), pages 190-219, January.
    10. Ram Fishman, 2018. "Groundwater depletion limits the scope for adaptation to increased rainfall variability in India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 147(1), pages 195-209, March.
    11. Rosenzweig, Mark R & Binswanger, Hans P, 1993. "Wealth, Weather Risk and the Composition and Profitability of Agricultural Investments," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(416), pages 56-78, January.
    12. Marshall Burke & Kyle Emerick, 2016. "Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from US Agriculture," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 8(3), pages 106-140, August.
    13. Ashok Gulati & Shweta Saini & Surbhi jain, 2013. "Monsoon 2013: Estimating the Impact on Agriculture," Working Papers id:5608, eSocialSciences.
    14. Taraz, Vis, 2018. "Can farmers adapt to higher temperatures? Evidence from India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 205-219.
    15. Jo Thori Lind & Halvor Mehlum, 2010. "With or Without U? The Appropriate Test for a U‐Shaped Relationship," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 72(1), pages 109-118, February.
    16. Gaurav Arora & Hongli Feng & Christopher J. Anderson & David A. Hennessy, 2020. "Evidence of climate change impacts on crop comparative advantage and land use," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 51(2), pages 221-236, March.
    17. Fafchamps, Marcel, 1993. "Sequential Labor Decisions under Uncertainty: An Estimable Household Model of West-African Farmers," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(5), pages 1173-1197, September.
    18. Shahzad, Muhammad Faisal & Abdulai, Awudu, 2020. "Adaptation to extreme weather conditions and farm performance in rural Pakistan," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    19. Libecap, Gary D. & Steckel, Richard H. (ed.), 2011. "The Economics of Climate Change," National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press, number 9780226479880, April.
    20. Dasgupta, Aditya, 2018. "Technological Change and Political Turnover: The Democratizing Effects of the Green Revolution in India," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 112(4), pages 918-938, November.
    21. Alauddin, Mohammad & Sarker, Md Abdur Rashid, 2014. "Climate change and farm-level adaptation decisions and strategies in drought-prone and groundwater-depleted areas of Bangladesh: an empirical investigation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 204-213.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Takeshima, Hiroyuki & Kishore, Avinash & Kumar, Anjani, 2024. "Climate shocks and fertilizer responses: Field-level evidence for rice production in Bangladesh," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343591, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Singh, Hardeep & Negi, Digvijay S. & Birthal, Pratap S., 2020. "Uncertain Monsoon, Irrigation and Crop Yields: Implications for Pricing of Insurance Products," EfD Discussion Paper 20-28, Environment for Development, University of Gothenburg.
    2. Birthal, Pratap S. & Hazrana, Jaweriah & Negi, Digvijay S. & Mishra, Ashok K., 2022. "Assessing benefits of crop insurance vis-a-vis irrigation in Indian agriculture," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    3. Théo Benonnier & Katrin Millock & Vis Taraz, 2022. "Long-term migration trends and rising temperatures: the role of irrigation," Journal of Environmental Economics and Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 307-330, July.
    4. Francisco Costa & Fabien Forge & Jason Garred & João Paulo Pessoa, 2023. "The Impact of Climate Change on Risk and Return in Indian Agriculture," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 85(1), pages 1-27, May.
    5. Wang, Di & Zhang, Peng & Chen, Shuai & Zhang, Ning, 2024. "Adaptation to temperature extremes in Chinese agriculture, 1981 to 2010," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    6. Francisco Costa & Fabien Forge & Jason Garred & João Paulo Pessoa, 2020. "Climate Change and the Distribution of Agricultural Output," Working Papers 2003E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
    7. Jagnani, Maulik & Barrett, Christopher B. & Liu, Yanyan & You, Liangzhi, 2018. "In the Weeds: Effects of Temperature on Agricultural Input Decisions in Moderate Climates," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274241, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Taraz, Vis, 2018. "Can farmers adapt to higher temperatures? Evidence from India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 205-219.
    9. Théo Benonnier & Katrin Millock & Vis Taraz, 2019. "Climate change, migration, and irrigation," PSE Working Papers halshs-02107098, HAL.
    10. repec:ags:aaea22:335558 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Birthal, Pratap S. & Hazrana, Jaweriah & Negi, Digvijay S. & Bhan, Subhash C., 2021. "Climate change and land-use in Indian agriculture," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    12. Charles A. Taylor, 2022. "Irrigation and Climate Change: Long-Run Adaptation and Its Externalities," NBER Chapters, in: Economic Perspectives on Water Resources, Climate Change, and Agricultural Sustainability, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Wimmer, Stefan & Stetter, Christian & Schmitt, Jonas & Ringer, Robert, 2022. "Farm-level responses to weather trends," 96th Annual Conference, April 4-6, 2022, K U Leuven, Belgium 321221, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.
    14. Surender Kumar & Madhu Khanna, 2023. "Distributional heterogeneity in climate change impacts and adaptation: Evidence from Indian agriculture," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 54(2), pages 147-160, March.
    15. Birthal, Pratap S. & Hazrana, Jaweriah & Negi, Digvijay S. & Pandey, Ghanshyam, 2021. "Benefits of irrigation against heat stress in agriculture: Evidence from wheat crop in India," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    16. Pratap S. Birthal & Jaweriah Hazrana & Digvijay S. Negi, 2019. "A multilevel analysis of drought risk in Indian agriculture: implications for managing risk at different geographical levels," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 157(3), pages 499-513, December.
    17. Sichko, Christopher, 2021. "Migrant Selection and Sorting during the Great American Drought," SocArXiv wm2p3, Center for Open Science.
    18. Li, Man, 2023. "Adaptation to expected and unexpected weather fluctuations: Evidence from Bangladeshi smallholder farmers," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    19. Villacis, Alexis H. & Mayorga, Joaquin & Mishra, Ashok K., 2022. "Experience-based food insecurity and agricultural productivity in Nigeria," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    20. Sabine Liebenehm & Huong Jaretzky & Hermann Waibel, 2023. "Extreme weather and agricultural management decisions among smallholder farmers in rural Thailand and Vietnam," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 54(5), pages 593-622, September.
    21. Maulik Jagnani & Christopher B. Barrett & Yanyan Liu & Liangzhi You, 2019. "Working Paper 314 - Within-Season Response to Warmer Temperatures: Defensive Investments by Kenyan Farmers," Working Paper Series 2440, African Development Bank.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:54:y:2023:i:1:p:77-94. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iaaeeea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.