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Seasonal Effects on the Bovespa Index

Author

Listed:
  • José Fajardo

    (IBMEC - RJ)

  • Rafael Pereira

    (PETROBRAS)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to investigate three anomalies in the São Paulo Stock Exchange (BOVESPA) index: the day-of-the-week effect, the twist on the Monday effect and the holiday effect. The period from Jan/1995 to Dec/2007 is analyzed, with subperiods established according to presidential terms. The paper addresses the theories on market efficiency and on the seasonal effects analyzed. Statistics indicate that the anomalies were not consistently present during the periods studied.

Suggested Citation

  • José Fajardo & Rafael Pereira, 2008. "Seasonal Effects on the Bovespa Index," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 5(3), pages 233-241, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bbz:fcpbbr:v:5:y:2008:i:3:p:233-241
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Josef Lakonishok, Seymour Smidt, 1988. "Are Seasonal Anomalies Real? A Ninety-Year Perspective," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 1(4), pages 403-425.
    2. Meneu, Vicente & Pardo, Angel, 2004. "Pre-holiday effect, large trades and small investor behaviour," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 231-246, March.
    3. Agrawal, Anup & Tandon, Kishore, 1994. "Anomalies or illusions? Evidence from stock markets in eighteen countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 83-106, February.
    4. Jaffe, Jeffrey F. & Westerfield, Randolph & Ma, Christopher, 1989. "A twist on the Monday effect in stock prices: Evidence from the U.S. and foreign stock markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(4-5), pages 641-650, September.
    5. Thaler, Richard H, 1987. "Seasonal Movements in Security Prices II: Weekend, Holiday, Turn of the Month, and Intraday Effects," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 1(2), pages 169-177, Fall.
    6. Ariel, Robert A, 1990. "High Stock Returns before Holidays: Existence and Evidence on Possible Causes," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(5), pages 1611-1626, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chia Ricky Chee-Jiun & Lim Shiok Ye, 2011. "Twist-of-the-Monday Effect: Evidence from United State and 18 Selected European Union Stock Markets," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(4), pages 3113-3122.
    2. Shiok Ye Lim & Ricky Chee-Jiun Chia, 2010. "Stock Market Calendar Anomalies: Evidence from ASEAN-5 Stock Markets," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(2), pages 996-1005.

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