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A Simple Fiscal Rule for Hungary

Author

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  • András Balatoni

    (ING Commercial Bank, N.V. Hungary Branch, Financial Market Research)

Abstract

In this paper, I outline an alternative public debt rule, a basic structure that provides a sufficient reduction of public debt in the long term, with an escape clause ensuring the opportunity for countercyclical budgetary manoeuvring and the avoidance of the so-called ratchet effect. The last section outlines a basic institutional framework. I have raised this topic in the hope of supporting the Hungarian discussion about fiscal rules and perhaps to contribute to it. I am certain that this rule is far from perfect, but I believe it is a good starting point.

Suggested Citation

  • András Balatoni, 2015. "A Simple Fiscal Rule for Hungary," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 65(supplemen), pages 149-159, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:aka:aoecon:v:65:y:2015:i:supplement1:p:149-159
    Note: The author is grateful to Csaba G. Tóth for his invaluable comments and remarks. I thank to András Hinkel for research assistance. All the reminder failures and mistakes are the responsibility of the author.
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arthur F. Burns & Wesley C. Mitchell, 1946. "Measuring Business Cycles," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number burn46-1.
    2. Balatoni, András & Tóth G., Csaba, 2012. "Az új magyar adósságszabály értékelése [Assessment of the new regulations on debt]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(10), pages 1107-1137.
    3. Olivier J. Blanchard & Daniel Leigh, 2013. "Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(3), pages 117-120, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tóth, Csaba G., 2017. "Own or inherited? The effect of national fiscal rules after changes of government," MPRA Paper 81178, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Csaba G. Tóth, 2019. "Valuable legacy? The effect of inherited fiscal rules," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 178(1), pages 3-30, January.
    3. Katalin Mérő, 2017. "The Emergence of Macroprudential Bank Regulation: A Review," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 67(3), pages 289-309, September.
    4. Tóth G., Csaba, 2017. "A nemzeti költségvetési szabályok elterjedése és hatása Európában [The spread of national fiscal rules and their effect in Europe]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1119-1147.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fiscal policy; fiscal rules; debt; deficit; demand management; Hungary;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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