IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/aic/saebjn/v67y2020i4p423-435n177.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Short-term Overreaction in American Depository Receipts

Author

Listed:
  • Júlio Lobão
  • Maria Eva Jerke

Abstract

In this paper we examine for the first time the short-term predictability of American Depository Receipts (ADRs) in reaction to extreme price movements. Based on an analysis of 2,911 extreme price movements that took place within either normal trading hours or after-hours in the period 2001-2019, we conclude that those extreme returns were on average followed by significant reversals. This response represents an overreaction in prices, which challenges the weak version of the efficient market hypothesis. Price reversals are especially pronounced following extreme returns observed during after-hours, which lends support to the assertion that ADR markets are particularly inefficient during this trading period. These findings carry important implications for both market practitioners and regulators. JEL Codes - G11; G14; G15

Suggested Citation

  • Júlio Lobão & Maria Eva Jerke, 2020. "Short-term Overreaction in American Depository Receipts," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 67(4), pages 423-435, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:aic:saebjn:v:67:y:2020:i:4:p:423-435:n:177
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://saeb.feaa.uaic.ro/index.php/saeb/article/view/1187
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Thomas, Dylan C., 2006. "Large market shocks and abnormal closed-end-fund price behaviour," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(9), pages 2517-2535, September.
    2. George Diacogiannis & Nikolaos Patsalis & Nickolaos Tsangarakis & Emanuel Tsiritakis, 2005. "Price limits and overreaction in the Athens stock exchange," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(1), pages 53-61.
    3. Lou, Dong & Polk, Christopher & Skouras, Spyros, 2019. "A tug of war: Overnight versus intraday expected returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 192-213.
    4. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:2:p:681-710 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Neumark, David & Tinsley, P A & Tosini, Suzanne, 1991. "After-Hours Stock Prices and Post-Crash Hangovers," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 159-178, March.
    6. Khelifa Mazouz & Dima W. H. Alrabadi & Shuxing Yin, 2012. "Systematic liquidity risk and stock price reaction to shocks," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 52(2), pages 467-493, June.
    7. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard, 1985. "Does the Stock Market Overreact?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 793-805, July.
    8. Lobe, Sebastian & Rieks, Johannes, 2011. "Short-term market overreaction on the Frankfurt stock exchange," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 113-123, May.
    9. Kassimatis, Konstantinos & Spyrou, Spyros & Galariotis, Emilios, 2008. "Short-term patterns in government bond returns following market shocks: International evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 903-924, December.
    10. Rosenthal, Leonard, 1983. "An empirical test of the efficiency of the ADR market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 17-29, March.
    11. Brown, Keith C. & Harlow, W. V. & Tinic, Seha M., 1993. "The Risk and Required Return of Common Stock following Major Price Innovations," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(1), pages 101-116, March.
    12. Stambaugh, Robert F. & Yu, Jianfeng & Yuan, Yu, 2012. "The short of it: Investor sentiment and anomalies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 288-302.
    13. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1980. "Measuring security price performance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 205-258, September.
    14. David Michayluk & Karyn L. Neuhauser, 2006. "Investor Overreaction During Market Declines: Evidence From The 1997 Asian Financial Crisis," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 217-234, June.
    15. Júlio Lobão & Ana Isabel Costa, 2020. "Do Fixed-Income ETFs Overreact? Evidence of Short-term Predictability following Extreme Price Shocks," Cuadernos de Economía - Spanish Journal of Economics and Finance, Asociación Cuadernos de Economía, vol. 43(122), pages 131-144, Mayo.
    16. Demirer, Rıza & Kutan, Ali M. & Zhang, Huacheng, 2014. "Do ADR investors herd?: Evidence from advanced and emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 138-148.
    17. Visaltanachoti, Nuttawat & Yang, Ting, 2010. "Speed of convergence to market efficiency for NYSE-listed foreign stocks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 594-605, March.
    18. Jiang, Christine X. & Likitapiwat, Tanakorn & McInish, Thomas H., 2012. "Information Content of Earnings Announcements: Evidence from After-Hours Trading," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(6), pages 1303-1330, December.
    19. Chen, Chun-Hung & Yu, Wei-Choun & Zivot, Eric, 2012. "Predicting stock volatility using after-hours information: Evidence from the NASDAQ actively traded stocks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 366-383.
    20. Patel, Vinay & Michayluk, David, 2016. "Return predictability following different drivers of large price changes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 202-214.
    21. Archana Jain & Chinmay Jain & Christine X. Jiang, 2019. "Early Movers Advantage? Evidence from Short Selling during After‐Hours on Earnings Announcement Days," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 54(2), pages 235-264, May.
    22. Michael J. Barclay, 2003. "Price Discovery and Trading After Hours," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 16(4), pages 1041-1073.
    23. Braga-Alves, Marcus V., 2018. "Political risk and the equity trading costs of cross-listed firms," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 232-244.
    24. Alldredge, Dallin M. & Blau, Benjamin M. & Brough, Tyler J., 2012. "Short selling after hours," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 64(6), pages 439-451.
    25. Janie Casello Bouges & Ravi Jain & Yash Puri, 2009. "American depository receipts and calendar anomalies," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 17-25.
    26. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard H, 1987. "Further Evidence on Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonalit y," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 557-581, July.
    27. Adrian R. Pagan & Kirill A. Sossounov, 2003. "A simple framework for analysing bull and bear markets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(1), pages 23-46.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Amini, Shima & Gebka, Bartosz & Hudson, Robert & Keasey, Kevin, 2013. "A review of the international literature on the short term predictability of stock prices conditional on large prior price changes: Microstructure, behavioral and risk related explanations," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 1-17.
    2. Borgards, Oliver & Czudaj, Robert L., 2020. "The prevalence of price overreactions in the cryptocurrency market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Rezvanian Rasoul & Klaczynska Ewelina & Krysiak Zbigniew, 2015. "Equity Market Reaction to Sharp Price Changes: Evidence from Poland," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 62(2), pages 169-190, July.
    4. Rezvanian, Rasoul & Turk, Rima A. & Mehdian, Seyed M., 2011. "Investors' reactions to sharp price changes: Evidence from equity markets of the People's Republic of China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 1-18.
    5. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, March.
    6. Stefan Nagel, 2013. "Empirical Cross-Sectional Asset Pricing," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 5(1), pages 167-199, November.
    7. Alves, Paulo & Carvalho, Luís, 2020. "Recent evidence on international stock market’s overreaction," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    8. Boubaker, Sabri & Farag, Hisham & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2015. "Short-term overreaction to specific events: Evidence from an emerging market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 153-165.
    9. Kothari, S. P., 2001. "Capital markets research in accounting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 105-231, September.
    10. Mehdian, Seyed & Nas, Tevfik & Perry, Mark J., 2008. "An examination of investor reaction to unexpected political and economic events in Turkey," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 337-350.
    11. Akbas, Ferhat & Boehmer, Ekkehart & Jiang, Chao & Koch, Paul D., 2022. "Overnight returns, daytime reversals, and future stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(3), pages 850-875.
    12. Kariofyllas, Spyridon & Philippas, Dionisis & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2017. "Cognitive biases in investors' behaviour under stress: Evidence from the London Stock Exchange," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 54-62.
    13. Barardehi, Yashar H. & Bernhardt, Dan & Da, Zhi & Mitch Warachka, Mitch, 2022. "Institutional Liquidity Demand and the Internalization of Retail Order Flow : The Tail Does Not Wag the Dog," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1394, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    14. Prajwal Eachempati & Praveen Ranjan Srivastava, 2021. "Accounting for unadjusted news sentiment for asset pricing," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(3), pages 383-422, May.
    15. Foort, HAMELINK, 1998. "Systematic Patterns Before and After Large Price Changes: Evidence from High Frequency Data from the Paris Bourse," HEC Research Papers Series 655, HEC Paris.
    16. Bouteska, Ahmed, 2019. "The effect of investor sentiment on market reactions to financial earnings restatements: Lessons from the United States," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    17. Farag, Hisham, 2015. "The influence of price limits on overreaction in emerging markets: Evidence from the Egyptian stock market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 190-199.
    18. Szymon Lis, 2022. "Investor Sentiment in Asset Pricing Models: A Review," Working Papers 2022-14, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    19. Hisham Farag, 2014. "Investor overreaction and unobservable portfolios: evidence from an emerging market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(20), pages 1313-1322, October.
    20. Dissanaike, Gishan, 1996. "Are stock price reversals really asymmetric? A note," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 189-201, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    American Depository Receipts; overreaction; market efficiency; short-term reversal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aic:saebjn:v:67:y:2020:i:4:p:423-435:n:177. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sireteanu Napoleon-Alexandru (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feaicro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.