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Investor Overreaction During Market Declines: Evidence From The 1997 Asian Financial Crisis

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  • David Michayluk
  • Karyn L. Neuhauser

Abstract

Unlike the 1987 stock market crash, the 1997 stock market decline was clearly preceded by new information that affected fundamental values of U.S. firms. We provide a detailed description of U.S. stock returns surrounding the Asian financial crisis. Consistent with the overreaction hypothesis, we find strong evidence of a magnitude effect in short‐term return reversals. Additionally, we find evidence of short‐term return predictability in the aftermath. Our results are robust to controls for size, price, risk, and bid‐ask bounce effects. Overall, the results are indicative of investor overreaction in times of market crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • David Michayluk & Karyn L. Neuhauser, 2006. "Investor Overreaction During Market Declines: Evidence From The 1997 Asian Financial Crisis," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 217-234, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:29:y:2006:i:2:p:217-234
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6803.2006.00175.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Hui Zhu & Kelly Cai, 2014. "Cultural Distance And Bond Pricing: Evidence In The Yankee And Rule 144a Bond Markets," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 37(3), pages 357-384, September.
    2. Iuliia Brushko, 2013. "Financial Signaling and Earnings Forecasts," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp498, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    3. Christian Beer & Janine Maniora & Christiane Pott, 2023. "COVID-19 pandemic and capital markets: the role of government responses," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 93(1), pages 11-57, January.
    4. Kiesel, F., 2016. "The effect of credit and rating events on credit default swap and equity markets," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 81247, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    5. Ho, Kung-Cheng & Yang, Lu & Luo, Sijia, 2022. "Information disclosure ratings and continuing overreaction: Evidence from the Chinese capital market," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 638-656.
    6. repec:mth:ijafr8:v:8:y:2018:i:3:p:108-139 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Hudson, Robert S. & Gregoriou, Andros, 2015. "Calculating and comparing security returns is harder than you think: A comparison between logarithmic and simple returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 151-162.
    8. Kim, Yong H. & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2008. "The effect of price limits on intraday volatility and information asymmetry," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 522-538, November.
    9. Shih-Jui Yang & Ai-Chi Hsu & Show-Yen Lai & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2015. "Empirical Investigation of Herding Behavior in East Asian Stock Markets Toward the U.S. Market," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 9(1), pages 19-32.
    10. Ho, Kin-Yip & Shi, Yanlin & Zhang, Zhaoyong, 2013. "How does news sentiment impact asset volatility? Evidence from long memory and regime-switching approaches," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 436-456.
    11. Borgards, Oliver & Czudaj, Robert L., 2020. "The prevalence of price overreactions in the cryptocurrency market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    12. Kiesel, Florian, 2016. "The effect of credit and rating events on credit default swap and equity markets," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 81265, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    13. Heyman, Dries & Lescrauwaet, Michiel & Stieperaere, Hannes, 2019. "Investor attention and short-term return reversals," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 1-6.
    14. Amini, Shima & Gebka, Bartosz & Hudson, Robert & Keasey, Kevin, 2013. "A review of the international literature on the short term predictability of stock prices conditional on large prior price changes: Microstructure, behavioral and risk related explanations," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 1-17.
    15. Abdelkader Boudriga & Dorsaf Azouz Ghachem, 2016. "Does US stock market react differently to rating announcements during crisis period? The case of the 2008 worldwide financial crisis," American Journal of Finance and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(3/4), pages 193-214.
    16. Paula Hill & Robert Faff, 2010. "The Market Impact of Relative Agency Activity in the Sovereign Ratings Market," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(9‐10), pages 1309-1347, November.
    17. Kiesel, F., 2016. "Do Investors Still Rely on Credit Rating Agencies? Evidence from the Financial Crisis," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 77927, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    18. Mehmet F. Dicle & Kendra Reed, 2019. "Asymmetric return response to expected risk: policy implications," Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 27(3), pages 345-356, June.
    19. Júlio Lobão & Maria Eva Jerke, 2020. "Short-term Overreaction in American Depository Receipts," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 67(4), pages 423-435, December.
    20. Pitabas Mohanty & Supriti Mishra, 2021. "Assessing the impact of COVID-19 on the valuation of Indian companies using a financial model," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 18(9), pages 2133-2151, August.
    21. Yamani, Ehab A. & Swanson, Peggy E., 2014. "Financial crises and the global value premium: Revisiting Fama and French," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 115-136.
    22. Dorsaf Azouz Ghachem & Abdelkader Boudriga & Chokri Mamoghli, 2011. "Does The American Stock Market React Differently to Rating Announcements During A Crisis Period? The Case of the 2008 Worldwide Financial Crisis," Working Papers 601, Economic Research Forum, revised 07 Jan 2011.

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