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Adapting a participatory modelling method to forecast food system scenarios: a case study on the pork value-chain

Author

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  • Chaib, Romy Lynn
  • Macombe, Catherine
  • Thomopoulos, Rallou

Abstract

For a value-chain to be sustainable, the main challenge is sometimes its durability. When stakeholders are lost in the shifting maze of economic, social and environmental issues, participatory foresight methods help them consider the options and choose a strategy to follow. The aim is to create several scenarios of evolution of the value-chain and select desirable scenarios. Because of the global context in 2020 and 2021, implementing methodological and organizational adaptations in the classic “scenario method” from Michel Godet was necessary. These adaptations are exemplified by the case study of the prospective for the French pork value-chain in the next 5 years. Indeed, this value-chain touches particularly on certain contemporary concerns, with much discussion about its environmental footprint, its human resource challenge and its social acceptability, as is the case for most food value-chains in developed countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Chaib, Romy Lynn & Macombe, Catherine & Thomopoulos, Rallou, 2022. "Adapting a participatory modelling method to forecast food system scenarios: a case study on the pork value-chain," Economia agro-alimentare / Food Economy, Italian Society of Agri-food Economics/Società Italiana di Economia Agro-Alimentare (SIEA), vol. 24(3), December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:sieaea:335220
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.335220
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Patrick Taillandier & Nicolas Salliou & Rallou Thomopoulos, 2021. "Introducing the Argumentation Framework Within Agent-Based Models to Better Simulate Agents' Cognition in Opinion Dynamics: Application to Vegetarian Diet Diffusion," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 24(2), pages 1-6.
    2. Rallou Thomopoulos & Bernard Moulin & Laurent Bedoussac, 2018. "Supporting Decision for Environment-Friendly Practices in the Agri-Food Sector: When Argumentation and System Dynamics Simulation Complete Each Other," International Journal of Agricultural and Environmental Information Systems (IJAEIS), IGI Global, vol. 9(3), pages 1-21, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    1. Romy Lynn Chaib & Catherine Macombe & Rallou Thomopoulos, 2022. "Adapting a participatory modelling method to forecast food system scenarios: a case study on the pork value-chain," Economia agro-alimentare, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 24(3), pages 1-37.
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    Keywords

    Demand and Price Analysis;

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