IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/remaae/12393.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of Tactical Responses and Risk Aversion on Farm Wheat Supply

Author

Listed:
  • Kingwell, Ross S.

Abstract

A discrete stochastic programming model of the farming system of the eastern wheatbelt of Western Australia is used to examine the effect of tactical responses and risk aversion on wheat supply. Including within-season tactical changes to wheat areas decreases the own-price elasticity of supply. By contrast, introducing risk aversion has no consistent effect on the own-price elasticity of supply. The implications for supply models are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Kingwell, Ross S., 1995. "Effects of Tactical Responses and Risk Aversion on Farm Wheat Supply," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 62(01), pages 1-14, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:remaae:12393
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.12393
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/12393/files/62010029.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.12393?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wicks, John A. & Dillon, John L., 1978. "APMAA Estimates of Supply Elasticities for Australian Wool, Beef and Wheat," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 46(01), pages 1-10, April.
    2. Bardsley, Peter & Harris, Michael, 1987. "An Approach To The Econometric Estimation Of Attitudes To Risk In Agriculture," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 31(2), pages 1-15, August.
    3. Mjelde, James W. & Dixon, Bruce L. & Sonka, Steven T., 1989. "Estimating The Value Of Sequential Updating Solutions For Intrayear Crop Management," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 14(1), pages 1-8, July.
    4. Rob W. Fraser, 1986. "Supply Responses, Risk Aversion And Covariances In Agriculture," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 30(2-3), pages 153-156, 08-12.
    5. Fisher, Brian S. & Munro, Robyn G., 1983. "Supply Response In The Australian Extensive Livestock And Cropping Industries: A Study Of Intentions And Expectations," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 27(1), pages 1-11, April.
    6. Richard E. Just, 1974. "An Investigation of the Importance of Risk in Farmers' Decisions," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 56(1), pages 14-25.
    7. Pandey, Sushil & Piggott, Roley R. & MacAulay, T. Gordon, 1982. "The Elasticity Of Aggregate Australian Agricultural Supply: Estimates And Policy Implications," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 26(3), pages 1-18, December.
    8. Eli Feinerman & E. Kwan Choi & Stanley R. Johnson, 1990. "Uncertainty and Split Nitrogen Application in Corn Production," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 72(4), pages 975-985.
    9. Vincent, David P & Dixon, Peter B & Powell, Alan A, 1980. "The Estimation of Supply Response in Australian Agrucilture: The CRESH/CRETH Production System," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 21(1), pages 221-242, February.
    10. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Pope, Rulon, 1985. "Price uncertainty and competitive firm behavior: Testable hypotheses from expected utility maximization," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 223-235, August.
    11. Brian S. Fisher & Charles A. Wall, 1990. "Supply Response In The Australian Sheep Industry: A Profit Function Approach," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 34(2), pages 147-166, August.
    12. Adams, Philip D., 1988. "Some Comparisons of Recent Estimates of Agricultural Supply Elasticities for the Australian Economy," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 56(03), pages 1-9, December.
    13. Brian S. Fisher & Robyn G. Munro, 1983. "Supply Response In The Australian Extensive Livestock And Cropping Industries: A Study Of Intentions And Expectations," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 27(1), pages 1-11, April.
    14. Geoff W. Edwards & John W. Freebairn, 1984. "The Gains from Research into Tradable Commodities," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 66(1), pages 41-49.
    15. McKay, Lloyd & Lawrence, Denis & Vlastuin, Chris, 1983. "Profit, Output Supply, and Input Demand Functions for Multiproduct Firms: The Case of Australian Agriculture," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 24(2), pages 323-339, June.
    16. Hall, Nigel H. & Fraser, L. & Purtill, A., 1988. "Supply Response in Broadacre Agriculture," 1988 Conference (32nd), February 8-11, 1988, Melbourne, Australia 144033, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    17. Thornton, P. K. & Dent, J. B., 1984. "An information system for the control of Puccinia hordei: II--Implementation," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 225-243.
    18. J. Brian Hardaker & Louise H. Patten & David J. Pannell, 1988. "Utility‐Efficient Programming For Whole‐Farm Planning," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 32(2-3), pages 88-97, 08-12.
    19. Newbery, David M, 1989. "The Theory of Food Price Stabilisation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 99(398), pages 1065-1082, December.
    20. Fraser, Rob W., 1986. "Supply Responses, Risk Aversion And Covariances In Agriculture," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 30(2-3), pages 1-4, August.
    21. Maurice Schiff, 1986. "The Competitive Firm Under Uncertainty: An Application to Canadian Wheat Production," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 34(2), pages 235-242, July.
    22. Nordblom, Thomas L. & Ahmed, Awadelkarim H. & Miller, Stanley F. & Glenn, D. Michael, 1985. "Long-run evaluation of fertilization strategies for dryland wheat in Northcentral Oregon: Simulation analysis," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 133-153.
    23. David K. Lambert & Bruce A. McCarl, 1985. "Risk Modeling Using Direct Solution of Nonlinear Approximations of the Utility Function," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 67(4), pages 846-852.
    24. Feinerman, Eli & Kwan, E. & Johnson, Stanley R., 1990. "Uncertainty and Split Nitrogen Application in Corn Production," Staff General Research Papers Archive 328, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    25. Jean-Paul Chavas & Matthew T. Holt, 1990. "Acreage Decisions Under Risk: The Case of Corn and Soybeans," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 72(3), pages 529-538.
    26. Sandmo, Agnar, 1971. "On the Theory of the Competitive Firm under Price Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 65-73, March.
    27. Hall, Nigel H. & Menz, Kenneth M., 1985. "Product Supply Elasticities for the Australian Broadacre Industries, Estimated with a Programming Model," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(01), pages 1-8, April.
    28. Fisher, Brian S. & Wall, Charles A., 1990. "Supply Response In The Australian Sheep Industry: A Profit Function Approach," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 34(2), pages 1-20, August.
    29. Christopher D. Easter & Quirino Paris, 1983. "Supply Response With Stochastic Technology And Prices In Australia'S Rural Export Industries," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 27(1), pages 12-30, April.
    30. Hall, Nigel H. & Fraser, L. & Purtill, A., 1988. "Supply Response in Broadacre Agriculture," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 56(03), pages 1-14, December.
    31. Feinerman, Eli & Choi, E. Kwan & Johnson, Stanley R., 1990. "Uncertainty and Split Nitrogen Application in Corn Production," Staff General Research Papers Archive 10598, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    32. S. Pandey & Roley R. Piggott & T. Gordon MacAulay, 1982. "The Elasticity Of Aggregate Australian Agricultural Supply: Estimates And Policy Implications," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 26(3), pages 202-219, December.
    33. Rulon D. Pope & Richard E. Just, 1991. "On Testing the Structure of Risk Preferences in Agricultural Supply Analysis," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 73(3), pages 743-748.
    34. Bond, Gary E. & Wonder, Bernard, 1980. "Risk Attitudes Amongst Australian Farmers," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 24(1), pages 1-19, April.
    35. Adams, Philip D., 1987. "Agricultural Supply Response in ORANI," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 55(03), pages 1-17, December.
    36. Gary E. Bond & Bernard Wonder, 1980. "Risk Attitudes Amongst Australian Farmers," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 24(1), pages 16-34, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kingwell, Ross S. & Farré, Imma, 2009. "Climate change impacts on investment in crop sowing machinery," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(2), pages 1-20.
    2. Nordblom, Thomas L. & Jones, Randall E. & Medd, Richard W., 2003. "Economics of factor adjusted herbicide doses: a simulation analysis of best efficacy targeting strategies (BETS)," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 863-882, June.
    3. Kingwell, Ross, 1996. "Programming models of farm supply response: The impact of specification errors," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 307-324.
    4. Ross Kingwell & Imma Farré, 2009. "Climate change impacts on investment in crop sowing machinery ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(2), pages 265-284, April.
    5. Brennan, D., 1998. "The impact of river access rules on dairy farm incomes: A case study of the Williams River," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 57(4), pages 571-584, August.
    6. Crowe, Bronwyn & Lindner, Robert K. & Llewellyn, Rick S., 2006. "The Benefits and Beneficiaries of "Public" Investment in Herbicide Use Research and Development," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25330, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    7. Crowe, Bronwyn & Lindner, Bob & Llewellyn, Rick, 2006. "The benefits and beneficiaries of “public” investment in herbicide use research and development," 2006 Conference (50th), February 8-10, 2006, Sydney, Australia 174476, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    8. Mosnier, C. & Agabriel, J. & Lherm, M. & Reynaud, A., 2009. "A dynamic bio-economic model to simulate optimal adjustments of suckler cow farm management to production and market shocks in France," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 102(1-3), pages 77-88, October.
    9. repec:ags:aare05:139334 is not listed on IDEAS

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kingwell, Ross, 1996. "Programming models of farm supply response: The impact of specification errors," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 307-324.
    2. Zhao, Xueyan & Mullen, John D. & Griffith, Garry R. & Griffiths, William E. & Piggott, Roley R., 2000. "An Equilibrium Displacement Model of the Australian Beef Industry," Research Reports 28007, New South Wales Department of Primary Industries Research Economists.
    3. Adams, Philip D., 1988. "Some Comparisons of Recent Estimates of Agricultural Supply Elasticities for the Australian Economy," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 56(03), pages 1-9, December.
    4. Pannell, David J. & Malcolm, Bill & Kingwell, Ross S., 2000. "Are we risking too much? Perspectives on risk in farm modelling," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 23(1), pages 69-78, June.
    5. Fisher, Brian S. & Wall, Charles A., 1990. "Supply Response In The Australian Sheep Industry: A Profit Function Approach," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 34(2), pages 1-20, August.
    6. Wall, Charles A. & Fisher, Brian S., 1988. "Supply Response and the Theory of Production and Profit Functions," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 56(03), pages 1-22, December.
    7. Agbola, Frank W., 1999. "The Structure of Production and Investment in Australia's Pastoral Zone," 1999 Conference (43th), January 20-22, 1999, Christchurch, New Zealand 122327, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    8. Boussemart, Jean-Philippe & Crainich, David & Leleu, Hervé, 2015. "A decomposition of profit loss under output price uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(3), pages 1016-1027.
    9. H. Ahammad & N. Islam, 1999. "Estimating the WA Agricultural Production System: A profit function approach," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 99-11, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    10. Kingwell, Ross S., 1992. "The Tactics of Dryland Farm Management given Variance in Climate and Prices," 1992 Conference (36th), February 10-13, 1992, Canberra, Australia 146536, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    11. Culas, Richard J., 2014. "Determinants of land use in wheat production: The Australian wheat-sheep zone," 2014 Conference (58th), February 4-7, 2014, Port Macquarie, Australia 165815, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    12. Pluske, Johanna M. & Fraser, Rob W., 1995. "Can Producers Place Valid and Reliable Valuations on Wool Price-Risk Information?," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 63(02), pages 1-8, August.
    13. Tabares Elizabeth & Ramón Rosales, 2005. "Políticas de control de oferta de coca: la zanahoria" y "el garrote""," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, May.
    14. Fisher, Brian S., 1985. "Frontiers in Agricultural Policy Research," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(02), pages 1-11, August.
    15. David J. Pannell, 1991. "Pests and pesticides, risk and risk aversion," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 5(4), pages 361-383, August.
    16. Z. Bar‐Shira & R.E. Just & D. Zilberman, 1997. "Estimation of farmers' risk attitude: an econometric approach," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 17(2-3), pages 211-222, December.
    17. Robert G. Chambers & Margarita Genius & Vangelis Tzouvelekas, 2021. "Invariant Risk Preferences and Supply Response under Price Risk," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(5), pages 1802-1819, October.
    18. Messina, C. D. & Hansen, J. W. & Hall, A. J., 1999. "Land allocation conditioned on El Nino-Southern Oscillation phases in the Pampas of Argentina," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 197-212, June.
    19. Fraser, Rob W., 1988. "A Method For Evaluating Supply Response To Price Underwriting," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 32(1), pages 1-15, April.
    20. Fraser, Rob W. & Murrell, A.J., 1990. "The Australian Wool Corporation's Reserve Price Scheme: An Assessment of Price Stabilisation and Producer Benefits," 1990 Conference (34th), February 13-15, 1990, Brisbane, Australia 145082, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demand and Price Analysis;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:remaae:12393. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaresea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.