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Climate change impacts on investment in crop sowing machinery

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  • Ross Kingwell
  • Imma Farré

Abstract

A model of investment in crop sowing machinery is applied to wheat production under current and projected climatic conditions at several locations in south-western Australia. The model includes yield responses to time of sowing at each location given current and projected climatic conditions. These yield relationships are based on wheat growth simulation modelling that in turn draws on data from a down-scaled global circulation model. Wheat price distributions and cost of production data at each location, in combination with the time of sowing yield relationships are used to determine a farmer's optimal investment in crop sowing work rate under each climate regime. The key finding is that the impacts of climate change on profit distributions are often marked, yet mostly modest changes in investment in work rate form part of the profit-maximising response to climate change. The investment response at high versus low rainfall locations mostly involves increases and decreases in work rates, respectively. However, changes to investment in work rate within a broadly similar rainfall region are not always uniform. The impacts of climate change on investments in work rate at a particular location are shown to require knowledge of several factors, especially how climate change alters the pattern of yield response to the time of sowing at that location. Copyright 2009 The Authors. Journal compilation 2009 Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society Inc. and Blackwell Publishing Asia Pty Ltd.

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  • Ross Kingwell & Imma Farré, 2009. "Climate change impacts on investment in crop sowing machinery ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(2), pages 265-284, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ajarec:v:53:y:2009:i:2:p:265-284
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1467-8489.2007.00441.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bar-Shira, Ziv, 1991. "An Approach To The Econometric Estimation Of Attitudes To Risk In Agriculture: Comment," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 35(3), pages 1-4, December.
    2. Kingwell, Ross S., 1995. "Effects of Tactical Responses and Risk Aversion on Farm Wheat Supply," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 62(01), pages 1-14, April.
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    6. Kingwell, Ross S., 2006. "Climate change in Australia: agricultural impacts and adaptation," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 14.
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    2. Steele C. West & Amin W. Mugera & Ross S. Kingwell, 2021. "Drivers of farm business capital structure and its speed of adjustment: evidence from Western Australia’s Wheatbelt," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 65(2), pages 391-412, April.
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    4. Kingwell, Ross & Thomas, Quenten & Feldman, David & Farre, Imma & Plunkett, Brad, 2018. "Traditional farm expansion versus joint venture remote partnerships," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 62(1), January.

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