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The Impact of Extreme Weather on Cattle Feeding Profits

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  • Belasco, Eric J.
  • Cheng, Yuanshan
  • Schroeder, Ted C.

Abstract

While large feedlots commonly hedge corn and fed cattle prices, weather remains the largest uncontrollable component of production risk. This research examines the economic losses to cattle feeding associated with extreme weather. Profit losses are assessed using nonlinear regressions that relate weather outcomes, based on the Comprehensive Climate Index ( Mader, Johnson, and Gaughan , 2010 ), and their impact on production variables. Actuarially fair insurance premium rates are derived for an insurance product designed to mitigate the potential cost of extreme weather. Finally, we discuss additional issues associated with using weather-index insurance products and insuring feedlot cattle against adverse weather.

Suggested Citation

  • Belasco, Eric J. & Cheng, Yuanshan & Schroeder, Ted C., 2015. "The Impact of Extreme Weather on Cattle Feeding Profits," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(2), pages 1-21, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:206597
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.206597
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alfons Weersink & Szu-Hsuan Celia Chiang, 2006. "Pricing Weather Insurance with a Random Strike Price: The Ontario Ice-Wine Harvest," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 88(3), pages 696-709.
    2. Belasco, Eric J. & Taylor, Mykel R. & Goodwin, Barry K. & Schroeder, Ted C., 2009. "Probabilistic Models of Yield, Price, and Revenue Risks for Fed Cattle Production," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 1-15, April.
    3. Eric J. Belasco & Sujit K. Ghosh & Barry K. Goodwin, 2007. "A Multivariate Evaluation of Ex ante Risks Associated with Fed Cattle Production," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(2), pages 431-443.
    4. Martin, Steven W. & Barnett, Barry J. & Coble, Keith H., 2001. "Developing And Pricing Precipitation Insurance," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 26(1), pages 1-14, July.
    5. Xavier Giné & Robert Townsend & James Vickery, 2008. "Patterns of Rainfall Insurance Participation in Rural India," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 22(3), pages 539-566, October.
    6. Sommarat Chantarat & Andrew G. Mude & Christopher B. Barrett & Michael R. Carter, 2013. "Designing Index-Based Livestock Insurance for Managing Asset Risk in Northern Kenya," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 80(1), pages 205-237, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Belasco, Eric J., 2020. "WAEA Presidential Address: Moving Agricultural Policy Forward: Or, There and Back Again," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(3), September.
    2. Mallika Appuhamilage, Buddhika P. & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Tack, Jesse B., 2018. "Is Climate Change Likely to Affect the Geographic Movement of Cattle Production within the U.S.?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274346, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Buddhika Patalee & Glynn T. Tonsor, 2021. "Weather effects on U.S. cow‐calf production: A long‐term panel analysis," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 838-857, October.

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    Livestock Production/Industries;

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