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Modelling the impacts of alternative CAP scenarios through a system dynamics approach

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  • Giannakis, Elias
  • Efstratoglou, Sophia
  • Psaltopoulos, Demetris

Abstract

Policy makers concerns for post-2013 CAP create significant interest in the investigation of alternative CAP scenarios impacts on rural areas. Capturing complex economic, social and environmental interactions associated with changes in the CAP requires a holistic and integrated approach. Hence, a system dynamics model integrating agriculture, environment, rural economy and human resources is developed and applied in a typical Greek rural area. Model results indicate that alternative CAP paths could generate very different rural impacts, depending on the territorial characteristics of the rural region. This supports the conclusion that policy makers should considerably take regional specificities into account when designing agriculture and rural development policy interventions.

Suggested Citation

  • Giannakis, Elias & Efstratoglou, Sophia & Psaltopoulos, Demetris, 2014. "Modelling the impacts of alternative CAP scenarios through a system dynamics approach," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 15(2), pages 1-20.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aergaa:253682
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.253682
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    3. Lampiris, Georgios & Karelakis, Christos & Loizou, Efstratios, 2018. "Evaluation of the impacts of CAP policy measures on a local economy: The case of a Greek region," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 745-751.
    4. Elias Giannakis & Adriana Bruggeman, 2017. "Economic crisis and regional resilience: Evidence from Greece," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 96(3), pages 451-476, August.

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