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On the optimal implementation of agricultural policy reforms

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  • Fabienne Femenia

    (SMART-LERECO - Structures et Marché Agricoles, Ressources et Territoires - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - AGROCAMPUS OUEST, IFPRI - International Food Policy Research Institute [Washington] - CGIAR - Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research [CGIAR])

  • Alexandre Gohin

    (SMART-LERECO - Structures et Marché Agricoles, Ressources et Territoires - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - AGROCAMPUS OUEST, Centre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Informations Internationales)

Abstract

Economic analyses of farm policies generally focus on long run, steady state impacts while the transition dynamics are often overlooked. In this paper we develop a determinist dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis allowing agents to form adaptive versus perfect expectations. Using an illustrative CAP reform scenario, we simulate an abrupt versus a gradual implementation of this reform. Our results show that if economic agents are able to perfectly anticipate the impacts of the reform, delaying its implementation is never optimal. On the other hand, if agents gradually learn from market developments, we find some cases where a gradual implementation of this reform is welfare improving. Such gradual implementation allows minimizing adjustment costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Fabienne Femenia & Alexandre Gohin, 2013. "On the optimal implementation of agricultural policy reforms," Post-Print hal-01208868, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01208868
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2012.05.019
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    Cited by:

    1. Gohin, Alexandre & Zheng, Yu, 2015. "Assessing the Market Impacts of the Common Agricultural Policy: Does Farmers’ Risk Attitude Matter?," 2015: Trade and Societal Well-Being, December 13-15, 2015, Clearwater Beach, Florida 229235, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    2. Femenia, Fabienne, 2012. "Should private storage be subsidized to stabilize agricultural markets once price support schemes are removed? A General Equilibrium analysis applied to European reforms," Conference papers 330253, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Owen, P. Dorian & Winchester, Niven, 2014. "The impact of US fresh milk production standards on dairy trade," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1008-1021.
    4. Feil, Jan-Henning & Musshoff, Oliver & Roeren-Wiemers, Tobias, 2014. "Farm level effects of policy reforms in Germany: First empirical evidence," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1036-1047.
    5. Femenia, Fabienne & Latruffe, Laure & Chavas, Jean-Paul, 2017. "Responsiveness of farm investment to price changes: An empirical study of the French crop sector," 2017 International Congress, August 28-September 1, 2017, Parma, Italy 261421, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Irena Benešová & Helena Řezbová & Luboš Smutka & Karel Tomšík & Adriana Laputková, 2015. "European Sugar Market - Impact of Quota System," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 63(6), pages 1825-1838.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty

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