IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/agr/journl/v2(635)y2023i2(635)p83-102.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Does the effectiveness of money supply and foreign direct investment determine the industrial growth performance in India?

Author

Listed:
  • Mrutyunjaya SAHOO

    (Central University of Rajasthan, Ajmer, India)

  • Praveen SAHU

    (Central University of Rajasthan, Ajmer, India)

Abstract

Industry is a primary engine in determining India’s overall economic growth. This study empirically investigated the effects of money supply and foreign direct investment on the industrial growth performance in India by using the method of a multivariate VAR model. The results of the multivariate VAR model indicate a positive effect of foreign direct investment inflows and a negative effect of money supply on industrial growth performance in the long run. Moreover, it is proven that there is a bidirectional causal relation between industrial growth and foreign direct investment inflows and a unidirectional causal relation from money supply to industrial growth in India. Accordingly, the study recommends that an expansionary money supply will improve industrial growth performance over the short run but not in the long run. In contrast, the amount of foreign direct investment will improve the industrial growth performance over the short-run as well as the long-run.

Suggested Citation

  • Mrutyunjaya SAHOO & Praveen SAHU, 2023. "Does the effectiveness of money supply and foreign direct investment determine the industrial growth performance in India?," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(635), S), pages 83-102, Summer.
  • Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:2(635):y:2023:i:2(635):p:83-102
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1662.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://www.ectap.ro/articol.php?id=1662&rid=151
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gelb, Alan H., 1989. "Financial policies, growth, and efficiency," Policy Research Working Paper Series 202, The World Bank.
    2. Cuma BOZKURT, 2015. "R&D Expenditures and Economic Growth Relationship in Turkey," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(1), pages 188-198.
    3. Hassan Hamadi & Charbel Bassil, 2015. "Financial Development and Economic Growth in the MENA Region," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 57(4), pages 598-622, December.
    4. Kamin, Steve B. & Rogers, John H., 2000. "Output and the real exchange rate in developing countries: an application to Mexico," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 85-109, February.
    5. Sen, Chitrakalpa, 2011. "FDI in the Service Sector – Propagator of Growth for India?," MPRA Paper 30574, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Hassan, M. Kabir & Sanchez, Benito & Yu, Jung-Suk, 2011. "Financial development and economic growth: New evidence from panel data," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 88-104, February.
    7. Rashmi Umesh Arora & Kifle Wondemu, 2018. "Do Public Sector Banks Promote Regional Growth? Evidence From An Emerging Economy," Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 66-87, March.
    8. Mohammad A. Razzaque & Sayema Haque Bidisha & Bazlul Haque Khondker, 2017. "Exchange Rate and Economic Growth," Journal of South Asian Development, , vol. 12(1), pages 42-64, April.
    9. Matthew Baron & Emil Verner & Wei Xiong, 2021. "Banking Crises Without Panics," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 136(1), pages 51-113.
    10. Greenwood, Jeremy & Smith, Bruce D., 1997. "Financial markets in development, and the development of financial markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 145-181, January.
    11. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    12. Rakesh MOHAN, 2008. "The Role of Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Sustaining Growth With Stability in India," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 3(2), pages 209-236, December.
    13. Ross Levine & Norman Loayza & Thorsten Beck, 2002. "Financial Intermediation and Growth: Causality and Causes," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Leonardo Hernández & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Se (ed.),Banking, Financial Integration, and International Crises, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 2, pages 031-084, Central Bank of Chile.
    14. Adebayo Augustine Kutu & Harold Ngalawa, 2016. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Industrial Sector Performance in South Africa," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 8(3), pages 26-40.
    15. Emeka Nkoro & Aham Kelvin Uko, 2016. "Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration technique: application and interpretation," Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 5(4), pages 1-3.
    16. Shushu Li & Jinglan Zhang & Yong Ma, 2015. "Financial Development, Environmental Quality and Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(7), pages 1-22, July.
    17. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    18. Edward, Sebastian, 1986. "Are Devaluations Contractionary?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 68(3), pages 501-508, August.
    19. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    20. Themba G. Chirwa & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2017. "Sources of Economic Growth in Zambia: An Empirical Investigation," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(2), pages 275-290, April.
    21. Xu, Zhenhui, 2000. "Financial Development, Investment, and Economic Growth," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 38(2), pages 331-344, April.
    22. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    23. UFOEZE, Lawrence Olisaemeka, 2018. "Effect Of Monetary Policy On Economic Growth In Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation," Annals of Spiru Haret University, Economic Series, Universitatea Spiru Haret, vol. 9(1), pages 123-140.
    24. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1995. "Symposium on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 3-10, Fall.
    25. Levine, Ross, 1991. "Stock Markets, Growth, and Tax Policy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(4), pages 1445-1465, September.
    26. Luintel, Kul B. & Khan, Mosahid, 1999. "A quantitative reassessment of the finance-growth nexus: evidence from a multivariate VAR," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(2), pages 381-405, December.
    27. He Yugang, 2017. "A Study on the Relationship between Money Supply and Macroeconomic Variables in China," Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, Sciendo, vol. 8(6), pages 99-107, November.
    28. Adebayo Augustine Kutu & Harold Ngalawa, 2016. "Monetary Policy Shocks And Industrial Output In Brics Countries," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 66(3), pages 3-24, July-Sept.
    29. Humyra Jabeen Bristy, 2014. "Impact of Financial Development on Exchange Rate Volatility and Long-Run Growth Relationship of Bangladesh," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(2), pages 258-263.
    30. Rakesh Mohan, 2008. "The Role of Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Sustaining Growth with Stability in India," Working Papers id:1778, eSocialSciences.
    31. Raghutla CHANDRASHEKAR & P. SAKTHIVEL & T. SAMPATH & Krishna Reddy CHITTEDI, 2018. "Macroeconomic variables and stock prices in emerging economies: A panel analysis," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(616), A), pages 91-100, Autumn.
    32. John C. Anyanwu, 2014. "Factors Affecting Economic Growth in Africa: Are There any Lessons from China?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 26(3), pages 468-493, September.
    33. Eliana Angelini & Matteo Foglia, 2018. "The Relationship Between IPO and Macroeconomics Factors: an Empirical Analysis from UK Market," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 19(1), pages 319-336, May.
    34. Chan, M. W. Luke & Deaves, Richard & Wang, Cheng, 1992. "An analysis of money and output in the industrial sector in China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 271-280.
    35. Fama, Eugene F., 1980. "Banking in the theory of finance," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 39-57, January.
    36. Chitrakalpa SEN, 2011. "FDI in the Service Sector – Propagator of Growth for India?," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(6(559)), pages 141-156, June.
    37. Ishita Ghoshal, 2015. "Trade-Growth Relationship in India in the Pre and Post Trade Agreements Regime," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 2204958, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    38. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Harb, Nasri & Al-Awad, Mouawiya, 2005. "Financial Development and Economic Growth in the Middle East," MPRA Paper 13605, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Maswana, Jean-Claude, 2006. "An empirical investigation around the finance-growth puzzle in China with a particular focus on causality and efficiency considerations," MPRA Paper 3946, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2006.
    3. Okuyan Hasan Aydın, 2022. "The Nexus of Financial Development and Economic Growth Across Developing Economies," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 17(1), pages 125-140, June.
    4. Vassiki Sanogo & Richard K. Moussa, 2017. "Financial Reforms, Financial Development, and Economic Growth in the Ivory Coast," Economies, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-23, February.
    5. Christopoulos, Dimitris K. & Tsionas, Efthymios G., 2004. "Financial development and economic growth: evidence from panel unit root and cointegration tests," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 55-74, February.
    6. Abdul Rafay & Saqib Farid, 2017. "Dynamic Relationship between Islamic Banking System and Real Economic Activity: Evidence from Pakistan العلاقة الديناميكية بين النظام المصرفي الإسلامي والنشاط الاقتصادي الحقيقي: التجربة الباكستانية," Journal of King Abdulaziz University: Islamic Economics, King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics Institute., vol. 30(2), pages 97-116, July.
    7. Liang, Qi & Teng, Jian-Zhou, 2006. "Financial development and economic growth: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 395-411.
    8. Laurent Cavenaile & Christian Gengenbach & Franz Palm, 2014. "Stock Markets, Banks and Long Run Economic Growth: A Panel Cointegration-Based Analysis," De Economist, Springer, vol. 162(1), pages 19-40, March.
    9. Onur ÖZDEMİR, 2020. "Revisiting the Finance-Growth Nexus in Turkey: Bayer-Hanck Combined Cointegration Approach over the 1970-2016 Period," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 28(44).
    10. James B. Ang, 2008. "A Survey Of Recent Developments In The Literature Of Finance And Growth," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 536-576, July.
    11. Rudra P. Pradhan & Mak B. Arvin & John H. Hall & Sahar Bahmani, 2014. "Causal nexus between economic growth, banking sector development, stock market development, and other macroeconomic variables: The case of ASEAN countries," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(4), pages 155-173, November.
    12. Senra Hodelin, Reynaldo, 2022. "Public banking and economic growth: The experiences of 10 countries since the 1950s until 2017," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(1).
    13. Alessandro Giovannini & Maurizio Iacopetta & Raoul Minetti, 2013. "Financial Markets, Banks, and Growth : Disentangling the links," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(5), pages 105-147.
    14. repec:abd:kauiea:v:30:y:2017:i:2:p:97-116 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Rajesh Sharma & Pradeep Kautish & D. Suresh Kumar, 2018. "Impact of Selected Macroeconomic Determinants on Economic Growth in India: An Empirical Study," Vision, , vol. 22(4), pages 405-415, December.
    16. Anupam Das & Syeed Khan, 2016. "Financial Development and Output: A Synthesis of Time Series Cointegration and Causality Tests for Bangladesh," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 5(2), pages 113-132, December.
    17. Cheng, Su-Yin, 2012. "Substitution or complementary effects between banking and stock markets: Evidence from financial openness in Taiwan," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 508-520.
    18. Manuel Ennes Ferreira & João Dias & Jelson Serafim, 2022. "Stock Market and Economic Growth: Evidence from Africa," Working Papers REM 2022/0228, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    19. Zahid Mehmood Akhtar & Dr. Faid Gul & Dr. Fauzia Mubarak, 2024. "Economic Growth and Financial Intermediation Nexus in Pakistan: An ARDL Analysis," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 13(1), pages 542-551.
    20. Michael Adusei, 2013. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: Evidence from Ghana," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 7(5), pages 61-76.
    21. Rudra P. Pradhan & Mak B. Arvin & Neville R. Norman & John H. Hall, 2014. "The dynamics of banking sector and stock market maturity and the performance of Asian economies," Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 30(1), pages 16-44, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:2(635):y:2023:i:2(635):p:83-102. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mircea Dinu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/agerrea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.