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Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Economic Commentary

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1455 East 6th St., Cleveland OH 44114

Phone: 216.579.2000
Web page: https://www.clevelandfed.org/

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Series handle: RePEc:fip:fedcec
ISSN: 2163-3738

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Content

1993, Issue Sep

2 The decline in U.S. saving rates: a cause for concern?
by Jagadeesh Gokhale

1993, Issue Oct

1 Credibility begins with a clear commitment to price stability
by Jerry L. Jordan
2 The Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993: a summary report
by David E. Altig & Jagadeesh Gokhale

1993, Issue Nov

1 Making the SAIF safe for taxpayers
by William P. Osterberg & James B. Thomson
2 Community lending and economic development
by Jerry L. Jordan

1993, Issue May

1 The energy tax: who pays?
by Mark E. Schweitzer & Adam D. Werner
2 Does small business need a financial fix?
by Rebecca Wetmore Humes & Katherine A. Samolyk

1993, Issue Mar

1 An overview of the Clinton budget plan
by David E. Altig & Jagadeesh Gokhale
2 A market-based approach to regulatory reform
by Jerry L. Jordan

1993, Issue Jun

1 Are the Great Lakes cities becoming service centers?
by Erica L. Groshen & Laura Robertson
2 Do deficits matter?
by Owen F. Humpage

1993, Issue Jul

1 Enterprise liability: a prescription for health care reform?
by Charles T. Carlstrom
2 The evolving loan sales market
by Joseph G. Haubrich & James B. Thomson

1993, Issue Jan

1 The cost of buying time: lessons from the thrift debacle
by James B. Thomson
2 Bank exposure to highly leveraged transactions
by William P. Osterberg

1993, Issue Feb

1 Some fiscal advice for the new government: don't let the sun go down on BEA
by David E. Altig
2 Home mortgage lending by the numbers
by Robert B. Avery & Patricia E. Beeson & Mark S. Sniderman

1993, Issue Dec

1 Replacing reserve requirements
by Edward J. Stevens
2 Long-term health care: is social insurance desirable?
by Jagadeesh Gokhale & Lydia K. Leovic

1993, Issue Aug

1 Free markets and price stability: opportunities for Mexico
by Jerry L. Jordan
2 Assessing real interest rates
by John B. Carlson

1993, Issue Apr

1 Price isn't everything
by Edward J. Stevens
2 On the political economy of trade restraints
by Jerry L. Jordan

1992, Volume 28, Issue Q

2-15 Comparing central banks' rulebooks
by Edward J. Stevens

1992, Issue Sep

1 FDICIA's prompt corrective action provisions
by Christopher J. Pike & James B. Thomson
2 The M2 slowdown and depository intermediation: implications for monetary policy
by John B. Carlson & Katherine A. Samolyk

1992, Issue Oct

1 Integrating business and personal income taxes
by Jeffrey J. Hallman & Joseph G. Haubrich
2 NAFTA and the Midwest
by Randall W. Eberts & Lydia K. Leovic

1992, Issue Nov

1 The importance of structure in decisionmaking
by Jerry L. Jordan
2 Federal credit and insurance programs: beyond the deficit diversion
by David E. Altig

1992, Issue May

1 Securitization: more than just a regulatory artifact
by Charles T. Carlstrom & Katherine A. Samolyk
2 What monetary policy can and cannot do
by Jerry L. Jordan

1992, Issue Mar

1 Is the rust belt's revival real?
by Gerald H. Anderson
2 The case for disinflation
by Lawrence B. Lindsey

1992, Issue Jun

1 Gilt by association: uncovering expected inflation
by Ann M. Dombrosky & Joseph G. Haubrich
2 Auctioning treasury securities
by Diana Dumitru & Edward J. Stevens

1992, Issue Jul

1 Has someone already spent the future?
by Jagadeesh Gokhale
2 The business cycle, investment and a wayward M2: a midyear review
by Michael F. Bryan & John J. Erceg

1992, Issue Jan

1 Unbalanced growth and the U.S. productivity slowdown
by Paul W. Bauer
2 Uncertain inflation and price-level rules
by Jeffrey J. Hallman

1992, Issue Feb

1 Is household debt inhibiting the recovery?
by David E. Altig & Susan M. Byrne & Katherine A. Samolyk
2 Roundtable's Rx for the economy: first, do no harm
by John J. Erceg & John B. Martin

1992, Issue Dec

1 Skepticism about the direction of inflation: causes, costs and cures
by Jerry L. Jordan
2 FDICIA's discount window provisions
by Walker F. Todd

1992, Issue Aug

1 Should the United States hold foreign currency reserves?
by Gerald H. Anderson & Owen F. Humpage
2 The recent rise in the value of education: market forces at work
by Colin Drozdowski & Erica L. Groshen

1992, Issue Apr

1 A price objective for monetary policy
by William T. Gavin & Alan C. Stockman
2 Can conventional theory explain the unconventional recovery?
by David E. Altig & Michael F. Bryan

1991, Issue Sep

1 Increasing national saving: are IRAs the answer?
by David E. Altig & Katherine A. Samolyk
2 Financial fragility and regional economic growth
by Rebecca Wetmore Humes & Katherine A. Samolyk

1991, Issue Oct

1 Exchange-market intervention and U.S. monetary policy
by Owen F. Humpage
2 Some observations on central bank accountability
by W. Lee Hoskins

1991, Issue Nov

1 Why U.S. managers might be more short-run oriented than the Japanese
by Gerald H. Anderson
2 Generational accounts: a new approach to fiscal policy evaluation
by Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff

1991, Issue May

1 Price stability and regional diversity
by W. Lee Hoskins
2 The RTC and the escalating costs of the thrift insurance mess
by Christopher J. Pike & James B. Thomson

1991, Issue Mar

1 Deregulation, money, and the economy
by John B. Carlson
2 Is this really a \\"white-collar recession\\"?
by Randall W. Eberts & Erica L. Groshen

1991, Issue Jun

1 Realignment in the U.S. motor vehicle industry
by Michael F. Bryan & John B. Martin
2 Understanding the recent behavior of M2
by John B. Carlson & Sharon E. Parrott

1991, Issue Jul

1 Price stability and world economic recovery
by W. Lee Hoskins
2 Do excess reserves reveal credit crunches?
by Joseph G. Haubrich

1991, Issue Jan

1 Forecast accuracy and monetary policy
by Michael F. Bryan & William T. Gavin
2 The sectoral and regional effects of oil shocks: who's over a barrel?
by Paul W. Bauer & Susan M. Byrne

1991, Issue Feb

1 1991 outlook: mild recession, mild recovery
by John J. Erceg
2 The effect of war expenditures on U.S. output
by Charles T. Carlstrom & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Sharon E. Parrott

1991, Issue Dec

1 Median price changes: an alternative approach to measuring current monetary inflation
by Michael F. Bryan & Christopher J. Pike
2 The outlook: no boom, no doom
by John J. Erceg & Lydia K. Leovic

1991, Issue Aug

1 An anemic recovery?
by John J. Erceg & Lydia K. Leovic
2 Federal funds rate volatility
by Diana Dumitru & Edward J. Stevens

1991, Issue Apr

1 Defending zero inflation: all for naught
by W. Lee Hoskins
2 Public subsidies for private purposes
by William P. Osterberg

1990, Issue Sep

1 Underlying causes of commercial bank failures in the 1980s
by Lynn D. Seballos & James B. Thomson
2 Can state employment declines foretell national business cycles?
by Randall W. Eberts

1990, Issue Oct

1 Don't worry, we'll grow out of it: an analysis of demographics, consumer spending, and foreign debt
by Michael F. Bryan & Susan M. Byrne
2 The outlook after the oil shock: between Iraq and a soft place
by John J. Erceg & Lydia K. Leovic

1990, Issue Nov

1 Oil, the economy, and monetary policy
by Gerald H. Anderson & Michael F. Bryan & Christopher J. Pike
2 A European system of central banks: observations from abroad
by W. Lee Hoskins

1990, Issue May

1 A monetary policy for the 1990's
by W. Lee Hoskins
2 A critique of monetary protectionism
by W. Lee Hoskins & Owen F. Humpage

1990, Issue Mar

1 The economic outlook: growth weakens, inflation unchanged
by John J. Erceg & Paul J. Nickels
2 The case for price stability
by W. Lee Hoskins

1990, Issue Jun

1 Making sense of the Moynihan gambit: a perspective on the social security debate
by David E. Altig
2 Current outlook: sustained growth, sustained inflation
by John J. Erceg & Paul J. Nickels

1990, Issue Jul

1 Minority-owned banks: history and trends
by Douglas A. Price
2 State and local red ink: crisis or opportunity?
by Brian A. Cromwell & Irene A. Wirkus

1990, Issue Jan

1 Does the Fed cause Christmas?
by Charles T. Carlstrom & Edward N. Gamber
2 Can R&D be the RX for the midwest?
by Randall W. Eberts & Julia Melkers

1990, Issue Feb

1 Is current fiscal policy an obstacle to sound monetary policy?
by W. Lee Hoskins
2 How are wages determined?
by Erica L. Groshen

1990, Issue Dec

1 How credible are capital spending surveys as forecasts?
by Gerald H. Anderson & John J. Erceg
2 Price stability and the Swedish monetary experiment
by Susan Black & William T. Gavin

1990, Issue Aug

1 Payment system risk and financial reform
by W. Lee Hoskins
2 Inflation and growth: working more vs. working better
by Michael F. Bryan

1990, Issue Apr

1 The high-yield debt market: 1980-1990
by Richard H. Jefferis
2 Standardizing world securities clearance systems
by Ramon P. DeGennaro & Christopher J. Pike

1989, Issue Sep

1 Have the characteristics of high-earning banks changed? Evidence from Ohio
by Paul R. Watro
2 The indicator P-star: just what does it indicate?
by John B. Carlson

1989, Issue Oct

1 Forecasting turning points with leading indicators
by Gerald H. Anderson & John J. Erceg
2 Breaking the inflation-recession cycle
by W. Lee Hoskins

1989, Issue Nov

1 Foreign capital inflows: another Trojan horse?
by Gerald H. Anderson & Michael F. Bryan
2 How soft a landing?
by John J. Erceg & Paul J. Nickels

1989, Issue May

1 Airline deregulation: boon or bust?
by Paul W. Bauer
2 Economic principles and deposit-insurance reform
by James B. Thomson

1989, Issue Mar

1 The costs of default and international lending
by Chien Nan Wang
2 Is there a message in the yield curve?
by Edward J. Stevens

1989, Issue Jun

1 Rethinking the regulatory response to risk-taking in banking
by W. Lee Hoskins
2 Payment system risk issues
by Edward J. Stevens

1989, Issue Jul

1 Inflation and soft landing prospects
by John J. Erceg
2 Setting the discount rate
by Edward J. Stevens

1989, Issue Jan

1 International policy coordination: can we afford it?
by W. Lee Hoskins
2 Money and velocity in the 1980s
by John B. Carlson & John N. McElravey

1989, Issue Feb

1 Monetary policy, information, and price stability
by W. Lee Hoskins
2 Bank lending to LBO's: risks and supervisory response
by James B. Thomson

1989, Issue Dec

1 Monetary policy and the M2 target
by Susan Black & William T. Gavin
2 Making judgments about mortgage lending patterns
by Robert B. Avery

1989, Issue Aug

1 Mergers, acquisitions and evolution of the region's corporations
by Erica L. Groshen & Barbara Grothe
2 LBOs and conflict of interest
by William P. Osterberg

1989, Issue Apr

1 A market-based view of European Monetary Union
by W. Lee Hoskins
2 Communication and the Humphrey-Hawkins process
by John N. McElravey

1988, Issue Sep

1 Intervention and the dollar
by Owen F. Humpage
2 The case for zero inflation
by William T. Gavin & Alan C. Stockman

1988, Issue Oct

1 How are the ex-ODGF thrifts doing?
by Paul R. Watro
2 Assessing and resisting inflation
by Gerald H. Anderson

1988, Issue Nov

1 What's happened to Ohio's manufacturing jobs?
by Randall W. Eberts
2 Productivity, costs, and international competitiveness
by Theodore G. Bernard & John J. Erceg

1988, Issue May

1 Stable inflation fosters sound economic decisions
by James G. Hoehn
2 What's happening to labor compensation?
by Erica L. Groshen

1988, Issue Mar

1 The bank credit-card boom: some explanations and consequences
by Paul R. Watro
2 Federal budget deficits: sources and forecasts
by Theodore G. Bernard & John J. Erceg

1988, Issue Jun

1 Debt repayment and economic adjustment
by Owen F. Humpage
2 Measuring the unseen: a primer on capacity utilization
by Paul W. Bauer & Mary E. Deily

1988, Issue Jul

1 A user's guide to capacity-utilization measures
by Paul W. Bauer & Mary E. Deily
2 Three common misperceptions about foreign direct investment
by Gerald H. Anderson

1988, Issue Jan

1 Has manufacturing's presence in the economy diminished?
by Randall W. Eberts & John R. Swinton
2 Public infrastructure and economic development
by Douglas Dalenberg & Randall W. Eberts

1988, Issue Feb

1 Bank runs, deposit insurance, and bank regulation, part I
by Charles T. Carlstrom
2 Bank runs, deposit insurance, and bank regulation, part II
by Charles T. Carlstrom

1988, Issue Dec

1 Commercial lending of Ohio's S&Ls
by Gary Whalen
2 Service-sector wages: the importance of education
by John R. Swinton

1988, Issue Aug

1 Humphrey-Hawkins: the July monetary policy report
by William T. Gavin & John N. McElravey
2 Is the thrift performance gap widening? Evidence from Ohio
by Paul R. Watro

1988, Issue Apr

1 International developments and monetary policy
by W. Lee Hoskins
2 Merchandise trade and the outlook for 1988
by Gerald H. Anderson

1987, Issue Sep

1 U.S. dependence on foreign saving
by Gerald H. Anderson & John B. Carlson
2 Competition, concentration and fares in the U.S. airline industry
by Paul W. Bauer

1987, Issue Oct

1 FDIC policies for dealing with failed and troubled institutions
by Daria B. Caliguire & James B. Thomson
2 Two neglected implications of dollar depreciation
by Gerald H. Anderson

1987, Issue Nov

1 Local thrift competition and bank earnings
by Paul R. Watro
2 Economic policy issues for 1988 and beyond
by W. Lee Hoskins

1987, Issue May

1 Does dollar depreciation matter: the case of auto imports from Japan
by Gerald H. Anderson & John B. Carlson
2 Ohio banks: hitting the interstate acquisition road
by Thomas M. Buynak & John N. McElravey

1987, Issue Mar

1 The Japanese edge in investment: the financial side
by William P. Osterberg
2 Debt-deflation and corporate finance
by Jerome S. Fons

1987, Issue Jun

1 Home equity lines: characteristics and consequences
by K. J. Kowalewski
2 Reappraising the 1987-88 outlook
by John J. Erceg & William G. Murmann

1987, Issue Jul

1 M1a - M.I.A.?
by William T. Gavin & Michael R. Pakko
2 A critical look at SIPC
by Jerome S. Fons

1987, Issue Jan

1 Loan-quality differences: evidence from Ohio banks
by Paul R. Watro
2 Is the U.S. pension-insurance system going broke?
by Thomas M. Buynak

1987, Issue Feb

1 Should we intervene in exchange markets?
by Owen F. Humpage
2 The decline in U.S. agricultural exports
by Gerald H. Anderson

1987, Issue Dec

1-4 Stock-market gyrations and investment
by William P. Osterberg
2 Financial reform at a crossroads
by W. Lee Hoskins

1987, Issue Aug

1 Interbank exposure in the Fourth Federal Reserve District
by James B. Thomson
2 Lessons from the European Monetary System
by Nicholas V. Karamouzis

1987, Issue Apr

1 Requirements for eliminating the trade deficit
by Owen F. Humpage
2 Seeking safety
by Edward J. Stevens

1986, Issue Sep

1 Implications of a tariff on oil imports
by Gerald H. Anderson & K. J. Kowalewski
2 Alternative methods for assessing risk-based deposit insurance premiums
by James B. Thomson

1986, Issue Oct

1 Monetarism and the M1 target
by William T. Gavin
2 Debt growth and the financial system
by John B. Carlson

1986, Issue Nov

1 Competition and bank profitability: recent evidence
by Gary Whalen
2 Is the consumer overextended?
by K. J. Kowalewski

1986, Issue May

1 Monetary policy debates reflect theoretical issues
by James G. Hoehn
2 How good are corporate earnings?
by Paul R. Watro

1986, Issue Mar

1 American automobile manufacturing: it's turning Japanese
by Michael F. Bryan & Michael W. Dvorak
2 Should we be concerned about the speed of the depreciation?
by Owen F. Humpage

1986, Issue Jun

1 The thrift industry: reconstruction in progress
by Thomas M. Buynak
2 The emerging service economy
by Patricia E. Beeson & Michael F. Bryan

1986, Issue Jul

1 Domestic nonfinancial debt: after three years of monitoring
by John B. Carlson
2 Equity, efficiency, and mispriced deposit guarantees
by James B. Thomson

1986, Issue Jan

1 A correct value for the dollar?
by Owen F. Humpage & Nicholas V. Karamouzis
2 Bank holding company voluntary nonbanking asset divestitures
by Gary Whalen

1986, Issue Feb

1 Junk bonds and public policy
by Jerome S. Fons
2 Can we count on private pensions?
by James F. Siekmeier

1986, Issue Dec

1 Labor cost differentials: causes and consequences
by Randall W. Eberts & Joe A. Stone
2 The changing nature of our financial structure: where are we headed? Where do we want to go?
by Karen N. Horn

1986, Issue Aug

1 Target zones for exchange rates?
by Owen F. Humpage & Nicholas V. Karamouzis
2 Will the dollar's decline help Ohio manufacturers?
by Amy Durrell & Philip R. Israilevich & K. J. Kowalewski

1986, Issue Apr

1 The government securities market and proposed regulation
by James J. Balazsy
2 A revised picture: has our view of the economy changed?
by Theodore G. Bernard

1985, Issue Sep

1 The dollar in the eighties
by Owen F. Humpage & Nicholas V. Karamouzis
2 Interstate banking: its impact on Ohio banks
by Thomas M. Buynak

1985, Issue Oct

1 The M1 target and disinflation policy
by William T. Gavin
2 International trade and the Fourth District's recovery
by Robert H. Schnorbus

1985, Issue Nov

1 Reserve borrowings and the money market
by Richard L. Mugel
2 Bank earnings: comparing the extremes
by Paul R. Watro

1985, Issue May

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