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Dynamic analysis between the US stock returns and the macroeconomic variables

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  1. Mohammad Joarder & Monir Ahmed & Tahsina Haque & Syed Hasanuzzaman, 2014. "An empirical testing of informational efficiency in Bangladesh capital market," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 63-87, February.
  2. Haq, Marifatul & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Macroeconomic determinants of stock markets: Indian case," MPRA Paper 108900, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Pramod Kumar, Naik & Puja, Padhi, 2012. "The impact of Macroeconomic Fundamentals on Stock Prices revisited: An Evidence from Indian Data," MPRA Paper 38980, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Camilleri, Silvio John & Scicluna, Nicolanne & Bai, Ye, 2019. "Do stock markets lead or lag macroeconomic variables? Evidence from select European countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 170-186.
  5. Pooja Joshi & A. K. Giri, 2015. "Cointegration and Causality between Macroeconomic variables and Stock Prices: Empirical Analysis from Indian Economy," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 5(2), pages 327-345, December.
  6. Prakash Shrestha Ph.D. & Biggyan Raj Subedi, 2014. "Empirical Examination of Determinants of Stock Index in Nepal," NRB Working Paper 24/2014, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department.
  7. Puneet Vatsa & Hem C. Basnet & Franklin G. Mixon & Kamal P. Upadhyaya, 2024. "Stock Markets Cycles and Macroeconomic Dynamics," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 30(3), pages 255-278, August.
  8. Chen, Zhongdong & Daves, Phillip R., 2018. "The January sentiment effect in the U.S. stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 94-104.
  9. Yu Hsing, 2011. "Macroeconomic Variables and the Stock Market: the Case of Lithuania," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 3(1), pages 031-037, June.
  10. Celebi, Kaan & Hönig, Michaela, 2018. "Dynamic macroeconomic effects on the German stock market before and after the financial crisis," Working Paper Series 13, Frankfurt University of Applied Sciences, Faculty of Business and Law.
  11. Afifah, Irfan & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Do macroeconomic variables have any impact on stock market? an Indonesian case study based on ARDL approach," MPRA Paper 108504, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Lv, Wendai & Qi, Jipeng, 2022. "Stock market return predictability: A combination forecast perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  13. G.K., Chetan Kumar & K.B., Rangappa & S., Suchitra, 2021. "Analyzing Interlinkages between Financial and Real Estate Sector in the aftermath of COVID-19's Second wave: An Econometric Approach using VECM model," MPRA Paper 112440, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Kaan Celebi & Michaela Hönig, 2019. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on the German Stock Market: Evidence for the Crisis, Pre- and Post-Crisis Periods," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-13, March.
  15. Rabia Najaf & Khakan Najaf, 2016. "Impact of crude oil prices on the Bombay stock exchange," International Journal of Academic Research in Management and Business, International Journal of Academic Research in Management and Business, vol. 1(2), pages 55-62, September.
  16. Animesh Bhattacharjee & Joy Das, 2022. "Assessing the long-run and short-run effect of monetary variables on stock market in the presence of structural breaks: evidence from liberalised India," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 14(2), pages 121-131, December.
  17. Tian, Maoxi & El Khoury, Rim & Alshater, Muneer M., 2023. "The nonlinear and negative tail dependence and risk spillovers between foreign exchange and stock markets in emerging economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  18. Shawtari, Fekri Ali & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Granger-causal relationship between macroeconomic variables and stock prices: evidence from South Africa," MPRA Paper 99848, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  19. Parui, Pintu, 2020. "Corporate Debt, Rentiers' Portfolio Dynamics, Instability and Growth: A neo-Kaleckian Perspective," MPRA Paper 102870, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  20. Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei & Wu, An-Chi, 2020. "The foreign exchange and stock market nexus: New international evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 240-266.
  21. Muhammad Kamran Khan & Jian-Zhou Teng & Javed Pervaiz & Sunil Kumar Chaudhary, 2017. "Nexuses between Economic Factors and Stock Returns in China," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(9), pages 182-191, September.
  22. Manamba EPAPHRA & Evidence SALEMA, 2018. "The impact of macroeconomic variables on stock prices in Tanzania," Journal of Economics Library, KSP Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 12-41, March.
  23. Z. E. Badarudin & M. Ariff & A. M. Khalid, 2011. "Money supply endogeneity and bank stock returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(14), pages 1035-1048.
  24. Rabia Najaf & Khakan Najaf, 2016. "Impact of Crude Oil Prices on the Bombay Stock Exchange," Indian Journal of Commerce and Management Studies, Educational Research Multimedia & Publications,India, vol. 7(3), pages 56-59, September.
  25. Zimeng Lyu & Amulya Saxena & Rohaan Nadeem & Hao Zhang & Travis Desell, 2024. "Neuroevolution Neural Architecture Search for Evolving RNNs in Stock Return Prediction and Portfolio Trading," Papers 2410.17212, arXiv.org.
  26. Mukti Bahadur Khatri, 2019. "Macroeconomic Influence on the Nepalese Stock Market," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 31(1), pages 47-64, April.
  27. Bouzgarrou, Houssam & Ftiti, Zied & Louhichi, Waël & Yousfi, Mohamed, 2023. "What can we learn about the market reaction to macroeconomic surprise? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  28. Carl-Henrik Dahlqvist, 2018. "Cross-country information transmissions and the role of commodity markets: A multichannel Markov switching approach," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(8), pages 1-22, August.
  29. Sanya Ogunsakin & Isaac Tope Awe, 2020. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Performance in Nigeria," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 10(4), pages 139-158, December.
  30. Bhuiyan, Erfan M. & Chowdhury, Murshed, 2020. "Macroeconomic variables and stock market indices: Asymmetric dynamics in the US and Canada," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 62-74.
  31. Asmy, Mohamed & Rohilina, Wisam & Hassama, Aris & Fouad, Md., 2009. "Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices in Malaysia: An Approach of Error Correction Model," MPRA Paper 20970, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  32. Animesh Bhattacharjee & Joy Das, 2021. "Investigating the Effect of Broad Money Supply on Stock Market Index and Market Capitalization: Evidence from Liberalized India," Jindal Journal of Business Research, , vol. 10(2), pages 185-198, December.
  33. Prakash Kumar Shrestha Ph.D. & Biggyan Raj Subedi, 2014. "Determinants of Stock Market Performance in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, vol. 26(2), pages 25-40, October.
  34. NUHIU Artor & ALIU Florin & ALIU Fisnik & HOTI Arbër, 2023. "Measuring Market Efficiency Through Valuation Techniques: The Case Of Visegrad Countries Stock Markets," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 18(1), pages 198-217, April.
  35. Abba Ahmed, Bello & Isah I, Salamatu & Aliyu Chika, Umar, 2018. "Long-run Relationship between Islamic Stock Indices and US Macroeconomic Variables," MPRA Paper 104167, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Jul 2018.
  36. R. Ratneswary V. Rasiah, 2010. "Macroeconomic Activity And The Malaysian Stock Market: Empirical Evidence Of Dynamic Relations," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 4(2), pages 59-69.
  37. NEIFAR, MALIKA & HarzAllah, AMIRA, 2020. "Can Canadian Stock market provide complete hedge against Inflation ?," MPRA Paper 99093, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  38. I. E. Okorie & A. C. Akpanta & J. Ohakwe & D. C. Chikezie & C. U. Onyemachi & M. C. Ugwu, 2021. "Modeling the Relationships Across Nigeria Inflation, Exchange Rate, and Stock Market Returns and Further Analysis," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 295-329, June.
  39. Wang, Qi & Xiong, Xiong & Yang, Zhuoyi & An, Yahui & Feng, Xu, 2024. "Attention of women's liberation and investor herding behavior," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 520-544.
  40. Sirine Ben Yaâla & Jamel Henchiri, 2016. "Impact of Macroeconomic and Demographic Variables on the Stock Market: Evidence from Tunisian Crisis," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(8), pages 194-194, August.
  41. Shabir Mohsin Hashmi & Bisharat Hussain Chang, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of macroeconomic variables on the emerging stock indices: A quantile ARDL approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 1006-1024, January.
  42. Tania Morris & Jules Comeau, 2020. "Portfolio creation using artificial neural networks and classification probabilities: a Canadian study," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 34(2), pages 133-163, June.
  43. Deborah Bentivoglio & Adele Finco & Mirian Rumenos Piedade Bacchi, 2016. "Interdependencies between Biofuel, Fuel and Food Prices: The Case of the Brazilian Ethanol Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-16, June.
  44. Endang Mahpudin, 2020. "The Effect of Macroeconomics on Stock Price Index in the Republic of China," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(3), pages 228-236.
  45. Mirza Muhammad Naseer & Muhammad Asif Khan & József Popp & Judit Oláh, 2021. "Firm, Industry and Macroeconomics Dynamics of Stock Returns: A Case of Pakistan Non-Financial Sector," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-18, April.
  46. Shin, Claire & Masih, Mansur, 2016. "Lead-lag relationship between macroeconomic variables: evidence from Korea," MPRA Paper 107870, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  47. Bentivoglio, Deborah & Finco, Adele & Bacchi, Mirian, 2015. "Examining Price Transmission between Fuels and Food Prices: the Brazilian Sugar-Ethanol Market," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211327, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  48. Mei Qiu & Pinfold & Rose, 2015. "A currency preferential approach to international equity investment," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(49), pages 5247-5261, October.
  49. Shada Almuwallad, 0000. "Exploring the Dynamics: Granger Causality Between Macroeconomic Variables and Sectoral Stock Prices Before and After the 2008 Financial Crisis: Evidence From The FTSE All-Share Index," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 14416316, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
  50. Fadzil, Anas & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "What drives the stock markets ? evidence from India," MPRA Paper 109248, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  51. Christian Urom & Gideon Ndubuisi & Jude Ozor, 2021. "Economic activity, and financial and commodity markets’ shocks: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 165, pages 51-66.
  52. Kabir, Sarkar Humayun & Masih, Mansur, 2014. "Dynamic Integration of Domestic Equity Price, Foreign Equity Price and Macroeconomic Indicators: Evidence from Malaysia," MPRA Paper 57007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  53. Parnes, Dror, 2020. "Exploring economic anomalies in the S&P500 index," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 292-309.
  54. Yu Hsing, 2011. "The Stock Market and Macroeconomic Variables in a BRICS Country and Policy Implications," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 1(1), pages 12-18.
  55. Kishor K. Guru-Gharana & Matiur Rahman & Anisul M. Islam, 2021. "Japan s Stock Market Performance: Evidence from Toda-Yamamoto and Dolado-Lutkepohl Tests for Multivariate Granger Causality," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 107-122.
  56. Ansgar Belke & Marcel Wiedmann, 2013. "Monetary Policy, Stock Prices and Central Banks - Cross-Country Comparisons of Cointegrated VAR Models," Ruhr Economic Papers 0435, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
  57. Muhammed Benli & Sedat Durmuskaya & Gokberk Bayramoglu, 2019. "Asymmetric exchange rate pass-through and sectoral stock price indices: Evidence from Turkey," International Journal of Business and Management, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 7(1), pages 25-47, May.
  58. Kiran Batool, 2021. "Impact of Interest Rates on Stock Index: Case of Pakistan Stock Exchange," International Journal of Business and Economic Affairs (IJBEA), Sana N. Maswadeh, vol. 6(1), pages 1-12.
  59. repec:zbw:rwirep:0435 is not listed on IDEAS
  60. OJAGHLOU, Mortaza, 2020. "Dynamic Effects of Macroeconomic Fundamentals on Stock Market Movements: Evidence from BIST100," Bulletin of Economic Theory and Analysis, BETA Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 17-36, December.
  61. Urom, Christian & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Ozor, Jude, 2021. "Economic activity, and financial and commodity markets’ shocks: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 51-66.
  62. Ansgar Belke & Marcel Wiedmann, 2018. "Dissecting long-run and short-run causalities between monetary policy and stock prices," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 761-786, October.
  63. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2020. "Stock market reactions to domestic sentiment: Panel CS-ARDL evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  64. ALAM Nafis & TAN Ee Chain, 2012. "Impact Of Financial Crisis On Stock Returns: Evidence From Singapore," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 7(2), pages 5-19, August.
  65. Andy Wui Wing Cheng & Iris Wing Han Yip, 2017. "China’s Macroeconomic Fundamentals on Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from Shanghai and Hong Kong," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(02), pages 1-57, June.
  66. Thuy Thu Nguyen & Hong Thi Mai & Tram Thi Minh Tran, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Stock Market Returns: Evidence from ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for the Case of Vietnam," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(7), pages 758-777, July.
  67. Joseph Emmanuel Tetteh & Anthony Amoah & Deodat Emilson Adenutsi, 2019. "Drivers of Stock Market Returns in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Selected Countries," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 7(3), pages 191-208, September.
  68. Ditimi Amassoma & O. Adeleke, 2018. "Testing for the Causality between Interest Rate and Stock Market Performance in Nigeria," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 109-124.
  69. Ansgar Belke & Marcel Wiedmann, 2013. "Money, Stock Prices and Central Banks – Cross-Country Comparisons of Cointegrated VAR Models," ROME Working Papers 201308, ROME Network.
  70. Neifar, Malika, 2023. "Macroeconomic Factors and UK Stock Market: Evidence through the Non-Linear ARDL model," MPRA Paper 116298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  71. Yousafzai, Essa & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Does shariah stock index lead or lag the exchange rate and macroeconomic variables? evidence from Japan based on ARDL," MPRA Paper 86373, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  72. Leonardo Iania & Robbe Collage & Michiel Vereycken, 2023. "The Impact of Uncertainty in Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Returns in the USA," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-15, March.
  73. Babita Panda & Ajaya Kumar Panda & Pradiptarathi Panda, 2023. "Macroeconomic Response to BRICS Countries Stock Markets Using Panel VAR," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 259-272, March.
  74. Onneetse L Sikalao-Lekobane, 2014. "Do Macroeconomic Variables Influence Domestic Stock Market Price Behaviour in Emerging Markets? A Johansen Cointegration Approach to the Botswana Stock Market," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 6(5), pages 363-372.
  75. Yu Hsing & Wen-jen Hsieh, 2011. "Impacts of macroeconomic variables on the stock market index in Poland: new evidence," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 334-343, May.
  76. Sevinç Güler & Halime Temel Nalın, 2014. "The Determinants of Stock Market Returns: An ARDL Investigation on Borsa Istanbul," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 17(51), pages 3-24, March.
  77. Hubert Wisniewski, 2017. "Panelowa weryfikacja wplywu zmiennych makroekonomicznych na indeksy gieldowe," Problemy Zarzadzania, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 15(66), pages 162-177.
  78. Fromentin, Vincent, 2022. "Time-varying causality between stock prices and macroeconomic fundamentals: Connection or disconnection?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
  79. Faisal Khan & Saif-Ur-Rehman Khan & Hashim Khan, 2016. "Pricing of Risk, Various Volatility Dynamics and Macroeconomic Exposure of Firm Returns: New Evidence on Age Effect," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 551-561.
  80. Abbas Ghulam & Bhowmik Roni & Koju Laxmi & Wang Shouyang, 2017. "Cointegration and Causality Relationship Between Stock Market, Money Market and Foreign Exchange Market in Pakistan," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-20, February.
  81. Mitra Lal Devkota, 2018. "The Dynamic Causality Between Stock Prices And Macroeconomic Variables: Evidence From Nepal," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 6, pages 5-14, December.
  82. Shah Saeed Hassan Chowdhury & Hassan Ahmed, 2023. "The Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Indian Stock Market," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 16(1), pages 1-54, January.
  83. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Dene Hurley & Román Ferrer, 2021. "U.S. stock prices and macroeconomic fundamentals: Fresh evidence using the quantile ARDL approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3569-3587, July.
  84. Kenneth R. Szulczyk & Changyong Zhang, 2020. "Switching-regime regression for modeling and predicting a stock market return," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(5), pages 2385-2403, November.
  85. Yu Hsing, 2013. "Effects of Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy on the Stock Market in Poland," Economies, MDPI, vol. 1(3), pages 1-7, October.
  86. Rudra P. PRADHAN & Mak B. ARVIN & Bele SAMADHAN & Shilpa TANEJA, 2013. "The Impact of Stock Market Development on Inflation and Economic Growth of 16 Asian Countries: A Panel VAR Approach," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 13(1), pages 203-218.
  87. Belke, Ansgar & Wiedmann, Marcel, 2013. "Monetary Policy, Stock Prices and Central Banks - Cross-Country Comparisons of Cointegrated VAR Models," Ruhr Economic Papers 435, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
  88. Vardhan, Harsh & Sinha, Pankaj, 2015. "Influence of Macroeconomic Variable on Indian Stock Movement: Cointegration Approach," MPRA Paper 64369, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 May 2015.
  89. Huthaifa Alqaralleh & Ahmad Al-Majali & Abeer Alsarayrh, 2021. "Analyzing the Dynamics Between Macroeconomic Variables and the Stock Indexes of Emerging Markets, Using Non-linear Methods," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 12(3), pages 193-204, May.
  90. Satyaban Sahoo & Sanjay Kumar, 2021. "Existence of Cointegration between the Public and Private Bank Index: Evidence from Indian Capital Market," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(4), pages 152-172, December.
  91. Darlington Osaremwinda Ogbeide & Osazee Frank Ogieva, 2017. "Modelling Share Price Behaviour in Nigeria," Annals of the University of Petrosani, Economics, University of Petrosani, Romania, vol. 17(1), pages 169-186.
  92. Animesh Bhattacharjee & Joy Das, 2021. "Investigating the Long-run and the Short-run Relationship Between Domestic Macroeconomic Forces and Indian Equity Market: Evidence Based on ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," Paradigm, , vol. 25(1), pages 61-76, June.
  93. Pooja Joshi & A K Giri, 2015. "Dynamic Relations between Macroeconomic Variables and Indian Stock Price: An Application of ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(10), pages 1119-1133, October.
  94. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2021. "Stock market reactions to upside and downside volatility of Bitcoin: A quantile analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  95. Raza, Syed Ali & Jawaid, Syed Tehseen & Afshan, Sahar, 2013. "Is Stock Market Sensitive to Foreign Capital Inflows and Economic Growth? Evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 48399, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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