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An Axiomatic Model of Non-Bayesian Updating
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- Jordi Brandts & Arno Riedl & Frans van Winden, 2004.
"Competition and Well-Being,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
04-041/1, Tinbergen Institute.
- Jordi Brandts & Arno Riedl & Frans van Winden, 2004. "Competition and Well-Being," Working Papers 120, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Jordi Brandts & Arno Riedl & Frans van Winden, 2004. "Competition and Well-Being," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 608.04, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
- Brandts, Jordi & Riedl, Arno & van Winden, Frans, 2005. "Competition and Well-Being," IZA Discussion Papers 1769, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- van Winden, Frans A.A.M. & Brandts, Jordi & Riedl, Arno, 2006. "Competition and Well-Being," CEPR Discussion Papers 5532, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Brandts, J. & Riedl, A.M. & van Winden, F., 2005. "Competition and well-being," Research Memorandum 034, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Li, Wenhui & Wilde, Christian, 2020. "Belief formation and belief updating under ambiguity: Evidence from experiments," SAFE Working Paper Series 251, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2020.
- ,, 2013. "Contingent preference for flexibility: eliciting beliefs from behavior," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 8(2), May.
- Andrés Perea, 2009. "A Model of Minimal Probabilistic Belief Revision," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 67(2), pages 163-222, August.
- Edoardo Gallo & Alastair Langtry, 2020. "Social networks, confirmation bias and shock elections," Papers 2011.00520, arXiv.org.
- Minardi, Stefania & Savochkin, Andrei, 2019.
"Subjective contingencies and limited Bayesian updating,"
Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1-45.
- Stefania Minardi & Andrei Savochkin, 2016. "Subjective Contingencies and Limited Bayesian Updating," Working Papers w0222, New Economic School (NES).
- Minardi, Stefania & Savochkin, Andrei, 2017. "Subjective Contingencies and Limited Bayesian Updating," HEC Research Papers Series 1203, HEC Paris.
- Stefania Minardi & Andrei Savochkin, 2017. "Subjective Contingencies and Limited Bayesian Updating," Working Papers hal-01970732, HAL.
- Stefania Minardi & Andrei Savochkin, 2016. "Subjective Contingencies and Limited Bayesian Updating," Working Papers w0222, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
- Philipp Sadowski, 2011. "Contingent Preference for Flexibility: Eliciting Beliefs from Behavior," Levine's Working Paper Archive 661465000000001189, David K. Levine.
- Ganguli, Jayant & Heifetz, Aviad & Lee, Byung Soo, 2016.
"Universal interactive preferences,"
Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 237-260.
- Ganguli, J & Heifetz, A, 2012. "Universal interactive preferences," Economics Discussion Papers 5629, University of Essex, Department of Economics.
- Spyros Galanis, 2021.
"Dynamic consistency, valuable information and subjective beliefs,"
Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 71(4), pages 1467-1497, June.
- Galanis, S., 2019. "Dynamic Consistency, Valuable Information and Subjective Beliefs," Working Papers 19/02, Department of Economics, City University London.
- Jawwad Noor & Fernando Payró Chew, 2022. "An Axiomatic Approach to the Law of Small Numbers," Working Papers 1364, Barcelona School of Economics.
- André Lapied & Thomas Rongiconi, 2013.
"Ambiguity as a Source of Temptation: Modeling Unstable Beliefs,"
Working Papers
halshs-00797631, HAL.
- André Lapied & Thomas Rongiconi, 2013. "Ambiguity as a Source of Temptation: Modeling Unstable Beliefs," AMSE Working Papers 1316, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Antonio, Filippin & Marco, Mantovani, 2019. "Risk Aversion and Information Aggregation in Asset Markets," Working Papers 404, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2019.
- David Laibson, 1997.
"Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 112(2), pages 443-478.
- Laibson, David I., 1997. "Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting," Scholarly Articles 4481499, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Millner, Antony & Ollivier, Hélène & Simon, Leo, 2020.
"Confirmation bias and signaling in Downsian elections,"
Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
- Antony Millner & Hélène Ollivier & Leo Simon, 2017. "Confirmation bias and signaling in Downsian elections," PSE Working Papers halshs-01631494, HAL.
- Antony Millner & Hélène Ollivier & Leo Simon, 2020. "Confirmation bias and signaling in Downsian elections," Post-Print halshs-02875069, HAL.
- Antony Millner & Hélène Ollivier & Leo Simon, 2017. "Confirmation bias and signaling in Downsian elections," Working Papers halshs-01631494, HAL.
- Antony Millner & Hélène Ollivier & Leo Simon, 2020. "Confirmation bias and signaling in Downsian elections," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-02875069, HAL.
- Mark Whitmeyer, 2023. "Blackwell-Monotone Updating Rules," Papers 2302.13956, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
- Nuno Camacho & Bas Donkers & Stefan Stremersch, 2011. "Predictably Non-Bayesian: Quantifying Salience Effects in Physician Learning About Drug Quality," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 30(2), pages 305-320, 03-04.
- , G. & , & ,, 2008.
"Non-Bayesian updating: A theoretical framework,"
Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 3(2), June.
- Larry G. Epstein & Alvaro Sandroni, 2003. "Non-Bayesian Updating : A Theoretical Framework," RCER Working Papers 505, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
- Larry Epstein & Jawwad Noor & Alvaro Sandroni, 2005. "Non-Bayesian Updating: a Theoretical Framework," RCER Working Papers 518, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
- Larry G. Epstein & Jawwad Noor & Alvaro Sandroni, 2005. "Non-Bayesian Updating: A Theoretical Framework," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2005-025, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Larry G. Epstein & Jawwad Noor & Alvaro Sandroni, 2005. "Non-Bayesian Updating: A Theoretical Framework," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2005-049, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Bogaçhan Çelen & Sen Geng & Huihui Li, 2018.
"Belief Error and Non-Bayesian Social Learning: An Experimental Evidence,"
GRU Working Paper Series
GRU_2018_022, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Boğaçhan Çelen & Sen Geng & Huihui Li, 2019. "Belief Error and Non-Bayesian Social Learning: Experimental Evidence," Working Papers 2019-07-08, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
- Bou{g}ac{c}han c{C}elen & Sen Geng & Huihui Li, 2020. "Belief Error and Non-Bayesian Social Learning: Experimental Evidence," Papers 2011.09640, arXiv.org.
- Yves Breitmoser & Justin Valasek & Justin Mattias Valasek, 2023. "Why Do Committees Work?," CESifo Working Paper Series 10800, CESifo.
- Larry G. Epstein & Igor Kopylov, 2007. "An axiomatic model of 'cold feet'," RCER Working Papers 533, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
- Igor Kopylov & Jawwad Noor, 2018. "Commitments and weak resolve," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 66(1), pages 1-19, July.
- Breitmoser, Yves & Valasek, Justin, 2023. "Why do committees work?," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 18/2023, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics.
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Filippos Papakonstantinou & Jonathan A. Parker, 2017. "Optimal Time-Inconsistent Beliefs: Misplanning, Procrastination, and Commitment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(5), pages 1318-1340, May.
- Mathevet, Laurent, 2014.
"Beliefs and rationalizability in games with complementarities,"
Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 252-271.
- Mathevet, Laurent, 2012. "Beliefs and rationalizability in games with complementarities," MPRA Paper 36032, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kopylov, Igor, 2009. "Finite additive utility representations for preferences over menus," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 144(1), pages 354-374, January.
- He, Xue Dong & Xiao, Di, 2017. "Processing consistency in non-Bayesian inference," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 90-104.
- Epstein Larry G & Noor Jawwad & Sandroni Alvaro, 2010. "Non-Bayesian Learning," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-20, January.
- Takashi Hayashi, 2011. "Context dependence and consistency in dynamic choice under uncertainty: the case of anticipated regret," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 70(4), pages 399-430, April.
- Takashi Hayashi, 2008. "Context dependence and consistency in dynamic choice under uncertainty: the case of anticipated regret," KIER Working Papers 659, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Aurélien Baillon & Han Bleichrodt & Umut Keskin & Olivier l’Haridon & Chen Li, 2018.
"The Effect of Learning on Ambiguity Attitudes,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(5), pages 2181-2198, May.
- Aurélien Baillon & Han Bleichrodt & Umut Keskin & Olivier L’haridon & Chen Li, 2018. "The Effect of Learning on Ambiguity Attitudes," Post-Print halshs-01525391, HAL.
- Larry G Epstein & Kaushil Patel, 2024. "Identifying Heterogeneous Decision Rules From Choices When Menus Are Unobserved," Papers 2405.09500, arXiv.org.
- Daniele Pennesi, 2020. "Identity and information acquisition," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 610, Collegio Carlo Alberto, revised 2021.
- Alós-Ferrer, Carlos & Mihm, Maximilian, 2023. "An Axiomatic Characterization of Bayesian Updating," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Kopylov Igor, 2009. "Temptations in General Settings," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-25, September.
- Groneck, Max & Ludwig, Alexander & Zimper, Alexander, 2024.
"Who saves more, the naive or the sophisticated agent?,"
Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
- Ludwig, Alexander & Groneck, Max & Zimper, Alexander, 2021. "Who Saves More, the Naive or the Sophisticated Agent?," CEPR Discussion Papers 16412, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Groneck, Max & Ludwig, Alexander & Zimper, Alexander, 2022. "Who saves more, the naive or the sophisticated agent?," SAFE Working Paper Series 169, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2022.
- Sun, Lan, 2016. "Hypothesis testing equilibrium in signaling games," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 557, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
- An, Galina & Becker, Charles M., 2013. "Uncertainty, Insecurity, and Emigration from Kazakhstan to Russia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 44-66.
- Kalyan Chatterjee & R. Krishna, 2011. "On preferences with infinitely many subjective states," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 46(1), pages 85-98, January.
- Riella, Gil, 2013. "Preference for Flexibility and Dynamic Consistency," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 148(6), pages 2467-2482.
- Adam Dominiak & Matthew Kovach & Gerelt Tserenjigmid, 2022. "Ordered Surprises and Conditional Probability Systems," Papers 2208.02533, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
- Manzan, Sebastiano, 2021. "Are professional forecasters Bayesian?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Sadowski, Philipp, 2008. "Conditional Preference for Flexibility: Eliciting Beliefs from Behavior," MPRA Paper 8614, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chemla, Gilles & Hennessy, Christopher A., 2019. "Controls, belief updating, and bias in medical RCTs," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
- Eddie Dekel & Barton L. Lipman, 2010.
"How (Not) to Do Decision Theory,"
Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 2(1), pages 257-282, September.
- Eddie Dekel & Barton L. Lipman, 2009. "How (Not) to Do Decision Theory," Levine's Working Paper Archive 814577000000000339, David K. Levine.
- Lee, Yong-Ju & Lim, Wooyoung & Zhao, Chen, 2023. "Cheap talk with prior-biased inferences," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 254-280.
- Barton L. Lipman & Wolfgang Pesendorfer, 2010. "Temptation," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2010-021, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Takeoka, Norio, 2007. "Subjective probability over a subjective decision tree," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 136(1), pages 536-571, September.
- Igor Kopylov & Jawwad Noor, 2009.
"Self-Deception and Choice,"
Levine's Working Paper Archive
814577000000000319, David K. Levine.
- Jawwad Noor & Igor Kopylov, 2010. "Self-Deception and Choice," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2010-042, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Gallo, E. & Langtry, A., 2020. "Social Networks, Confirmation Bias and Shock Elections," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2099, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Aurélien Baillon & Han Bleichrodt & Umut Keskin & Olivier L'Haridon & Author-Name: Chen Li, 2013. "Learning under ambiguity: An experiment using initial public offerings on a stock market," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes & University of Caen) 201331, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes, University of Caen and CNRS.
- Zhang, Hanzhe, 2013. "Evolutionary justifications for non-Bayesian beliefs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 198-201.
- Zimper, Alexander, 2023. "Unrealized arbitrage opportunities in naive equilibria with non-Bayesian belief processes," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 27-41.
- Daniele Pennesi, 2021. "Between Commitment and Flexibility: Revealing Anticipated Regret and Elation," Working papers 071, Department of Economics, Social Studies, Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e Matematico-Statistiche), University of Torino.
- Matthew Kovach, 2021. "Conservative Updating," Papers 2102.00152, arXiv.org.