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Discounting the distant future: How much does model selection affect the certainty equivalent rate?

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Cited by:

  1. Szekeres, Szabolcs, 2020. "Checking the Evidence for Declining Discount Rates," MPRA Paper 102233, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Gluzberg, Victor E. & Katz, Yuri A., 2019. "Planetary boundaries of consumption growth: Declining social discount rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 362-374.
  3. Phoebe Koundouri & Amerissa Giannouli & Laura Airoldi & Bilge Bas & Stefanie Broszeit & Nilay Elginoz & Elias Giannakis & Fabio Zagonari & Yukiko Krontira & Aris Moussoulides & Stella Tsani & Dimitris, 2017. "Socio-economic Analysis of a Selected Multi-use Offshore Site in the Mediterranean Sea," DEOS Working Papers 1717, Athens University of Economics and Business.
  4. Eric Fesselmeyer & Haoming Liu & Alberto Salvo, 2022. "Declining discount rates in Singapore's market for privately developed apartments," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 330-350, March.
  5. Yiannis Kountouris & Phoebe Koundouri, 2009. "Defining The Discount Rate Trajectory For The Evaluation Of Water Stress Mitigation Policies And Projects," DEOS Working Papers 0907, Athens University of Economics and Business.
  6. Rick Van der Ploeg, 2020. "Discounting And Climate Policy," OxCarre Working Papers 244, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
  7. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2023. "The Rising Cost of Climate Change: Evidence from the Bond Market," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(5), pages 1255-1270, September.
  8. Koundouri, Phoebe & Chatzistamoulou, Nikos & Dávila, Osiel González & Giannouli, Amerissa & Kourogenis, Nikolaos & Xepapadeas, Anastasios & Xepapadeas, Petros, 2021. "Open Access in Scientific Information: Sustainability Model and Business Plan for the Infrastructure and Organization of OpenAIRE," Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(1), pages 170-198, March.
  9. Freeman, Mark C., 2009. "The practice of estimating the term structure of discount rates," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 219-234.
  10. Martin Weitzman, 2012. "The Ramsey Discounting Formula for a Hidden-State Stochastic Growth Process," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 53(3), pages 309-321, November.
  11. Kollenberg, Sascha & Taschini, Luca, 2016. "Emissions trading systems with cap adjustments," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 20-36.
  12. Jolanta Bijańska & Krzysztof Wodarski & Aneta Aleksander, 2022. "Analysis of the Financing Options for Pro-Ecological Projects," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-30, March.
  13. Koen Vermeylen, 2013. "The Consumption Discount Rate for the Distant Future (if we do not die out)," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-201/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
  14. Freeman, Mark C. & Groom, Ben, 2016. "How certain are we about the certainty-equivalent long term social discount rate?," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 152-168.
  15. J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos & Matteo G. Richiardi & Miquel Montero & Josep Perelló & Jaume Masoliver, 2024. "Discounting the Distant Future: What Do Historical Bond Prices Imply about the Long-Term Discount Rate?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-25, February.
  16. Gabriella Maselli & Antonio Nesticò, 2021. "The Role of Discounting in Energy Policy Investments," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-18, September.
  17. Katz, Yuri A., 2017. "Value of the distant future: Model-independent results," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 466(C), pages 269-276.
  18. Koundouri, Phoebe & Papayiannis, Georgios I. & Petracou, Electra V. & Yannacopoulos, Athanasios N., 2023. "Consensus group decision making under model uncertainty with a view towards environmental policy making," MPRA Paper 122006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  19. D. Espinoza & J. Morris & H. Baroud & M. Bisogno & A. Cifuentes & A. Gentzoglanis & L. Luccioni & J. Rojo & F. Vahedifard, 2020. "The role of traditional discounted cash flows in the tragedy of the horizon: another inconvenient truth," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 643-660, April.
  20. Freeman, Mark C. & Groom, Ben & Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Pantelidis, Theologos, 2015. "Declining discount rates and the Fisher Effect: Inflated past, discounted future?," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 32-49.
  21. Weitzman, Martin L., 2010. "Risk-adjusted gamma discounting," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 1-13, July.
  22. Vahidreza Yousefi & Siamak Haji Yakhchali & Jolanta Tamošaitienė, 2019. "Application of Duration Measure in Quantifying the Sensitivity of Project Returns to Changes in Discount Rates," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-14, February.
  23. Gollier, Christian & Weitzman, Martin L., 2010. "How should the distant future be discounted when discount rates are uncertain?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 107(3), pages 350-353, June.
  24. Josep Perell'o & Miquel Montero & Jaume Masoliver & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2019. "Statistical analysis and stochastic interest rate modelling for valuing the future with implications in climate change mitigation," Papers 1910.01928, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
  25. Tore Soderqvist & Bilge Bas & Mark de Bel & Arjen Boon & Nilay Elginoz & Rita Garcao & Elias Giannakis & Amerissa Giannouli & Phoebe Koundouri & Aris Moussoulides & Jenny Norrman & Lars Rosen & Jan-Jo, 2017. "Socio-economic Analysis of a Selected Multi-use Offshore Site in the North Sea," DEOS Working Papers 1715, Athens University of Economics and Business.
  26. Moritz Drupp & Mark Freeman & Ben Groom & Frikk Nesje, 2015. "Discounting disentangled: an expert survey on the determinants of the long-term social discount rate," GRI Working Papers 196a, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
  27. Gollier, Christian, 2016. "Gamma discounters are short-termist," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 83-90.
  28. Koundouri, Phoebe & Chatzistamoulou, Nikos & Davila, González & Giannouli, Amerissa & Kourogenis, Nikolaos & Xepapadeas, Anastasios & Xepapadeas, Petros, 2021. "Open Access in Scientific Information: Sustainability Model and Business Plan for the Infrastructure and Organization of OpenAIRE," Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(1), pages 170-198, April.
  29. Truong, Chi & Trück, Stefan, 2016. "It’s not now or never: Implications of investment timing and risk aversion on climate adaptation to extreme events," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 253(3), pages 856-868.
  30. Gollier, Christian, 2009. "Should we Discount the Far-Distant Future at its Lowest Possible Rate?," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-14.
  31. Christian Gollier, 2008. "Discounting with fat-tailed economic growth," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 37(2), pages 171-186, December.
  32. P. Koundouri & G. I. Papayiannis & E. V. Petracou & A. N. Yannacopoulos, 2024. "Consensus Group Decision Making Under Model Uncertainty with a View Towards Environmental Policy Making," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(6), pages 1611-1649, June.
  33. Freeman, Mark C., 2009. "Yes, we should discount the far-distant future at its lowest possible rate: a resolution of the Weitzman-Gollier puzzle," Economics Discussion Papers 2009-42, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  34. Birol, Ekin & Koundouri, Phoebe & Kountouris, Yiannis, 2010. "Assessing the economic viability of alternative water resources in water-scarce regions: Combining economic valuation, cost-benefit analysis and discounting," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(4), pages 839-847, February.
  35. Arrow, Kenneth J. & Cropper, Maureen L. & Gollier, Christian & Groom, Ben & Heal, Geoffrey M. & Newell, Richard G. & Nordhaus, William D. & Pindyck, Robert S. & Pizer, William A. & Portney, Paul R. & , 2012. "How Should Benefits and Costs Be Discounted in an Intergenerational Context? The Views of an Expert Panel," RFF Working Paper Series dp-12-53, Resources for the Future.
  36. Freeman, Mark C. & Groom, Ben, 2016. "How certain are we about the certainty-equivalent longterm social discount rate?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 67258, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  37. Phoebe Koundouri & Georgios I. Papayiannis & Athanasios Yannacopoulos, 2022. "Optimal Control Approaches to Sustainability under Uncertainty," DEOS Working Papers 2215, Athens University of Economics and Business.
  38. Ebun Akinsete & Stella Apostolaki & Osiel Gonzalez Davila & Amerissa Giannouli & Stavros Gavroglou & Alice Guittard & Phoebe Koundouri & Eleftherios Levantis & Elisavet Mouslech & Vasileios Pergamalis, 2019. "Managing the effects of multiple stressors on aquatic ecosystems under water scarcity," DEOS Working Papers 1906, Athens University of Economics and Business.
  39. Fesselmeyer, Eric & Liu, Haoming & Salvo, Alberto, 2016. "How Do Households Discount over Centuries? Evidence from Singapore's Private Housing Market," IZA Discussion Papers 9862, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  40. Rubén Pérez-Álvarez & Saúl Torres-Ortega & Pedro Díaz-Simal & Raúl Husillos-Rodríguez & Julio Manuel De Luis-Ruiz, 2016. "Economic Valuation of Mining Heritage from a Recreational Approach: Application to the Case of El Soplao Cave in Spain (Geosite UR004)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-15, February.
  41. Hepburn, Cameron & Koundouri, Phoebe & Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Pantelidis, Theologos, 2009. "Social discounting under uncertainty: A cross-country comparison," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 140-150, March.
  42. Rob Aalbers & Marjon Ruijter & Kees Oosterlee, 2014. "The social discount rate under a stochastic A2 scenario," CPB Discussion Paper 296.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
  43. Freeman, Mark C., 2010. "Yes, we should discount the far-distant future at its lowest possible rate: A resolution of the Weitzman-Gollier puzzle," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 4, pages 1-21.
  44. Mark C. Freeman & Ben Groom, 2015. "Positively Gamma Discounting: Combining the Opinions of Experts on the Social Discount Rate," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 125(585), pages 1015-1024, June.
  45. J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos & Jaume Masoliver & Miquel Montero & Josep Perello, 2014. "Discounting the Distant Future," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1951, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  46. Maureen L. Cropper & Mark C. Freeman & Ben Groom & William A. Pizer, 2014. "Declining Discount Rates," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(5), pages 538-543, May.
  47. Djerry C. Tandja M. & Gabriel J. Power & Josée Bastien, 2018. "Real Option Valuation in a Gollier/Weitzman World: The Effect of Long-Run Discount Rate Uncertainty," The Energy Journal, , vol. 39(5), pages 21-54, September.
  48. Pedro Diaz Simal & Saul Torres Ortega & Bilge Bas & Nilay Elginoz & Raul Guanche Garcia & Fernando Del-Jesus & Elias Giannakis & Amerissa Giannouli & Phoebe Koundouri & Aris Moussoulides & Stella Tsan, 2017. "Socio-economic Assessment of a Selected Multi-use Offshore Site in the Atlantic," DEOS Working Papers 1716, Athens University of Economics and Business.
  49. Cropper, Maureen, 2012. "How Should Benefits and Costs Be Discounted in an Intergenerational Context?," RFF Working Paper Series dp-12-42, Resources for the Future.
  50. Antonio Nesticò & Gabriella Maselli & Patrizia Ghisellini & Sergio Ulgiati, 2023. "A Dual Probabilistic Discounting Approach to Assess Economic and Environmental Impacts," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 85(1), pages 239-265, May.
  51. Lanlan Luo & Shou Chen & Ziran Zou, 2020. "Determining the Generalized Discount Rate for Risky Projects," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 77(1), pages 143-158, September.
  52. Cameron Hepburn & Greer Gosnell, 2014. "Evaluating impacts in the distant future: cost–benefit analysis, discounting and the alternatives," Chapters, in: Giles Atkinson & Simon Dietz & Eric Neumayer & Matthew Agarwala (ed.), Handbook of Sustainable Development, chapter 9, pages 140-159, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  53. Bilge Bas & Nilay Elginoz & Elias Giannakis & Amerissa Giannouli & Phoebe Koundouri & Flemming Mohlenberg & Aris Moussoulides & Ole Svenstrup Petersen & Stella Tsani & Peter A. Xepapadeas & Anastasios, 2017. "Socio-economic Analysis of a Selected Multi-use Offshore Site in the Baltic Sea," DEOS Working Papers 1718, Athens University of Economics and Business.
  54. Koen Vermeylen, 2013. "Non-Marginal Cost-Benefit Analysis and the Tyranny of Discounting," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-203/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
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