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Strategic Forecasting on the FOMC
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Cited by:
- Arai, Natsuki, 2023.
"The FOMC’s new individual economic projections and macroeconomic theories,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Natsuki Arai, 2020. "The FOMC’s New Individual Economic Projections and Macroeconomic Theories," Working Papers 2020-007, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Ehrmann, Michael & Tietz, Robin & Visser, Bauke, 2021.
"Voting right rotation, behavior of committee members and financial market reactions: evidence from the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee,"
Working Paper Series
2569, European Central Bank.
- Michael Ehrmann & Robin Tietz & Bauke Visser, 2022. "Voting Right Rotation, Behavior of Committee Members and Financial Market Reactions: Evidence from the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee," IMF Working Papers 2022/105, International Monetary Fund.
- Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2024.
"Central bank forecasting: A survey,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 342-364, April.
- Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2023. "Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey," Staff Working Papers 23-18, Bank of Canada.
- Jung, Alexander & Latsos, Sophia, 2015.
"Do federal reserve bank presidents have a regional bias?,"
European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 40(PA), pages 173-183.
- Jung, Alexander & Latsos, Sophia, 2014. "Do federal reserve bank presidents have a regional bias?," Working Paper Series 1731, European Central Bank.
- Paul Hubert, 2015.
"The Influence and Policy Signalling Role of FOMC Forecasts,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(5), pages 655-680, October.
- Paul Hubert, 2011. "Central Bank Forecasts as an Instrument of Monetary Policy," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2011-23, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Paul Hubert, 2013. "The influence and policy signaling role of FOMC forecasts," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2013-03, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Hamza Bennani & Davide Romelli, 2024. "Exploring the informativeness and drivers of tone during committee meetings: the case of the Federal Reserve," Post-Print hal-04670309, HAL.
- El-Shagi, Makram & Jung, Alexander, 2015.
"Does the Greenspan era provide evidence on leadership in the FOMC?,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 173-190.
- Makram El-Shagi & Alexander Jung, 2012. "Does the Greenspan Era Provide Evidence on Leadership in the FOMC?," Working Papers 2012.6, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
- El-Shagi, Makram & Jung, Alexander, 2013. "Does the Greenspan era provide evidence on leadership in the FOMC?," Working Paper Series 1579, European Central Bank.
- Bernd Hayo & Ummad Mazhar, 2014.
"Monetary Policy Committee Transparency: Measurement, Determinants, and Economic Effects,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 739-770, September.
- Bernd Hayo & Ummad Mazhar, 2011. "Monetary Policy Committee Transparency: Measurement,Determinants, and Economic Effects," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201140, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Natsuki Arai, 2016. "Evaluating the Efficiency of the FOMC's New Economic Projections," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(5), pages 1019-1049, August.
- Jakub Rybacki, 2019. "Are Central Banks' Research Teams Fragile Because of Groupthink?," KAE Working Papers 2019-045, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
- Bennani, Hamza & Kranz, Tobias & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2018.
"Disagreement between FOMC members and the Fed’s staff: New insights based on a counterfactual interest rate,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 139-153.
- Hamza Bennani & Tobias Kranz & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2018. "Disagreement Between FOMC Members and the Fed’s Staff: New Insights Based on a Counterfactual Interest Rate," Post-Print hal-01868010, HAL.
- Hamza Bennani & Tobias Kranz & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2017. "Disagreement Between the FOMC and the Fed's Staff: New Insights Based on a Counterfactual Interest Rate," Research Papers in Economics 2017-10, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
- El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian & Jung, Alexander, 2012.
"Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?,"
IWH Discussion Papers
5/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Jung, Alexander & El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian, 2013. "Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79925, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Gersbach, Hans & Hahn, Volker, 2014.
"Inflation forecast contracts,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 26-40.
- Hans Gersbach & Volker Hahn, 2011. "Inflation Forecast Contracts," CER-ETH Economics working paper series 11/149, CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) at ETH Zurich.
- Gersbach, Hans & Hahn, Volker, 2012. "Inflation Forecast Contracts," CEPR Discussion Papers 8933, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Rhee, Hyuk Jae & Turdaliev, Nurlan, 2013. "Central bank transparency: Does it matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 183-197.
- Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Tillmann, Peter, 2011.
"Do FOMC members herd?,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(2), pages 176-179.
- Jan-Christoph Rülke & Peter Tillmann, 2010. "Do FOMC Members Herd?," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 11-03, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
- Jan-Christoph Rülke & Peter Tillmann, 2010. "Do FOMC Members Herd?," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201032, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2020.
"Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 223-255, January.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2017. "Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC," Discussion Papers 39/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Berk, Jan Marc & Bierut, Beata K., 2011. "Communication in a monetary policy committee," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 791-801.
- Sebastian Gomez-Barrero & Julian A. Parra-Polania, 2014. "Central Bank Strategic Forecasting," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 32(4), pages 802-810, October.
- Jaime Marquez, 2023. "Stylized Facts of the FOMC’s Longer-Run Forecasts," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-20, February.
- Paul Hubert, 2015.
"The Influence and Policy Signalling Role of FOMC Forecasts,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(5), pages 655-680, October.
- Paul Hubert, 2013. "The influence and policy signaling role of FOMC forecasts," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2013-03, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Paul Hubert, 2015. "The influence and policy signaling role of FOMC Forecasts," Post-Print hal-03399827, HAL.
- Paul Hubert, 2015. "The influence and policy signaling role of FOMC Forecasts," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03399827, HAL.
- Hamza Bennani, 2016.
"Measuring Monetary Policy Stress for Fed District Representatives,"
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 63(2), pages 156-176, May.
- Hamza Bennani, 2016. "Measuring Monetary Policy Stress for Fed District Representatives," Post-Print hal-01386000, HAL.
- Marcus Drometer & Thomas Siemsen & Sebastian Watzka, 2018. "The Monetary Policy of the ECB: Caring for the Weakest Links," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(4), pages 537-556, November.
- Jung, Alexander & Kiss, Gergely, 2012. "Preference heterogeneity in the CEE inflation-targeting countries," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 445-460.
- Ellis, Michael A. & Liu, Dandan, 2016. "FOMC forecasts and monetary policy deliberations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 131-134.
- Trung Hoang Bao & Cesario Mateus, 2017. "Impact of FOMC announcement on stock price index in Southeast Asian countries," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(3), pages 370-386, August.
- Jaime Marquez & S Yanki Kalfa, 2021. "The Forecasts of Individual FOMC Members: New Evidence after Ten Years," Working Papers 2021-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Peter Tillmann, 2011. "Reputation and Forecast Revisions: Evidence from the FOMC," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201128, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Hayo, Bernd & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2013.
"Do Federal Reserve presidents communicate with a regional bias?,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 62-72.
- Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2011. "Do Federal Reserve Presidents Communicate with a Regional Bias?," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201103, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Jan C. van Ours, 2022. "How Retirement Affects Mental Health, Cognitive Skills and Mortality; an Overview of Recent Empirical Evidence," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-050/V, Tinbergen Institute.
- El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian & Jung, Alexander, 2016. "Revisiting the relative forecast performances of Fed staff and private forecasters: A dynamic approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 313-323.
- repec:fce:doctra:13-03 is not listed on IDEAS
- Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Peter Tillmann, 2013. "Using forecasts to uncover the loss function of FOMC members," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201302, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Lähner, Tom, 2015. "Inconsistent voting behavior in the FOMC," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-546, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Jung, Alexander & El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian, 2014. "Does the federal reserve staff still beat private forecasters?," Working Paper Series 1635, European Central Bank.
- Bennani, Hamza & Romelli, Davide, 2024. "Exploring the informativeness and drivers of tone during committee meetings: The case of the Federal Reserve," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
- Fendel, Ralf & Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2012. "Are heterogeneous FOMC forecasts consistent with the Fed’s monetary policy?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 5-7.
- Henning Fischer & Marta García-Bárzana & Peter Tillmann & Peter Winker, 2014.
"Evaluating FOMC forecast ranges: an interval data approach,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 365-388, August.
- Henning Fischer & Marta García-Bárzana & Peter Tillmann & Peter Winker, 2012. "Evaluating FOMC forecast ranges: an interval data approach," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201213, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Jakub Rybacki, 2020. "Are Central Banks’ Research Teams Fragile Because of Groupthink in the Area of Monetary Policy? – Evidence on Inflation Targeting," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 81-103.
- Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2021. "The value added of the Bank of Japan's range forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 817-833, August.
- Bennani, Hamza & Farvaque, Etienne & Stanek, Piotr, 2018.
"Influence of regional cycles and personal background on FOMC members’ preferences and disagreement,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 416-424.
- Etienne Farvaque & Hamza Bennani & Piotr Stanek, 2018. "Influence of Regional Cycles and Personal Background on FOMC Members' Preferences and Disagreement," Post-Print hal-01589198, HAL.
- Hamza Bennani & Etienne Farvaque & Piotr Stanek, 2018. "Influence of regional cycles and personal background on FOMC members’ preferences and disagreement," Post-Print hal-04206047, HAL.
- Nakazono, Yoshiyuki, 2013. "Strategic behavior of Federal Open Market Committee board members: Evidence from members’ forecasts," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 62-70.
- Ellis, Michael A. & Liu, Dandan, 2013. "Do FOMC forecasts add value to staff forecasts?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 332-340.
- Stefan Eichler & Tom Lähner, 2014. "Forecast dispersion, dissenting votes, and monetary policy preferences of FOMC members: the role of individual career characteristics and political aspects," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 160(3), pages 429-453, September.
- Lillian R. Gaeto & Sandeep Mazumder, 2019. "Measuring the Accuracy of Federal Reserve Forecasts," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 85(3), pages 960-984, January.
- Davide Romelli & Hamza Bennani, 2021. "Disagreement inside the FOMC: New Insights from Tone Analysis," Trinity Economics Papers tep1021, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.