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On the Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment: New Experimental Evidence Regarding Linda
Citations
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As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- What Conjunction Fallacy?
by Robin Hanson in Overcoming Bias on 2009-06-25 15:00:58
Citations
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Cited by:
- Andreas Ortmann & Leonidas Spiliopoulos, 2017.
"The beauty of simplicity? (Simple) heuristics and the opportunities yet to be realized,"
Chapters, in: Morris Altman (ed.), Handbook of Behavioural Economics and Smart Decision-Making, chapter 7, pages 119-136,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Andreas Ortmann & Leonidas Spiliopoulos, 2015. "The beauty of simplicity? (Simple) heuristics and the opportunities yet to be realized," Discussion Papers 2015-25, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- David J. Cooper & Krista Saral & Marie Claire Villeval, 2021.
"Why Join a Team?,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(11), pages 6980-6997, November.
- Cooper, David J. & Saral, Krista & Villeval, Marie Claire, 2019. "Why Join a Team?," IZA Discussion Papers 12587, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- David J. Cooper & Krista Saral & Marie Claire Villeval, 2021. "Why Join a Team?," Post-Print halshs-03003653, HAL.
- David Cooper & Krista Saral & Marie Claire Villeval, 2019. "Why Join a Team?," Working Papers halshs-02295921, HAL.
- David J. Cooper & Krista Saral & Marie Claire Villeval, 2019. "Why Join a Team?," Working Papers 1928, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
- Montero, Maria & Sheth, Jesal D., 2021.
"Naivety about hidden information: An experimental investigation,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 92-116.
- Maria Montero & Jesal Sheth, 2019. "Naivety about hidden information: An experimental investigation," Discussion Papers 2019-11, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Faralla, Valeria & Borà, Guido & Innocenti, Alessandro & Novarese, Marco, 2020.
"Promises in group decision making,"
Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 1-11.
- Valeria Faralla & Guido Borà & Alessandro Innocenti & Marco Novarese, 2018. "Promises in Group Decision Making," Labsi Experimental Economics Laboratory University of Siena 051, University of Siena.
- Stephan Jagau & Theo Offerman, 2018.
"Defaults, normative anchors, and the occurrence of risky and cautious shifts,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 211-236, June.
- Stephan Jagau & Theo (T.J.S.) Offerman, 2017. "Defaults, Normative Anchors and the Occurrence of Risky and Cautious Shifts," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-083/I, Tinbergen Institute.
- Alessia Isopi & Daniele Nosenzo & Chris Starmer, 2014.
"Does consultation improve decision-making?,"
Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 77(3), pages 377-388, October.
- Alessia Isopi & Daniele Nosenzo & Chris Starmer, 2011. "Does consultation improve decision making?," Discussion Papers 2011-08, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Crosetto, Paolo & Filippin, Antonio & Katuščák, Peter & Smith, John, 2020.
"Central tendency bias in belief elicitation,"
Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Paolo Crosetto & Antonio Filippin & Katuščák Peter & John Smith, 2019. "Central tendency bias in belief elicitation," Working Papers hal-02308641, HAL.
- Crosetto, P. & Filippin, A. & Katuscak, P. & Smith, J., 2019. "Central tendency bias in belief elicitation," Working Papers 2019-04, Grenoble Applied Economics Laboratory (GAEL).
- Paolo Crosetto & Antonio Filippin & Peter Katuščák & John Smith, 2020. "Central tendency bias in belief elicitation," Post-Print hal-02563136, HAL.
- Giovanna Devetag & Francesca Ceccacci & Paola De Salvo, 2013. "Do Reputation Concerns Make Behavioral Biases Disappear? The Conjunction Fallacy on Facebook and Mechanical Turk," CEEL Working Papers 1303, Cognitive and Experimental Economics Laboratory, Department of Economics, University of Trento, Italia.
- repec:zbw:rwirep:0396 is not listed on IDEAS
- Daniel J. Benjamin, 2018.
"Errors in Probabilistic Reasoning and Judgment Biases,"
GRU Working Paper Series
GRU_2018_023, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Daniel J. Benjamin, 2018. "Errors in Probabilistic Reasoning and Judgment Biases," NBER Working Papers 25200, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- V. I. Yukalov & D. Sornette, 2012. "Quantum decision making by social agents," Papers 1202.4918, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2015.
- Paradiso, Antonio & Kumar, Saten & Margani, Patrizia, 2014. "Are Italian consumer confidence adjustments asymmetric? A macroeconomic and psychological motives approach," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 48-63.
- Ahsanuzzaman, & Priyo, Asad Karim Khan & Nuzhat, Kanti Ananta, 2022.
"Effects of communication, group selection, and social learning on risk and ambiguity attitudes: Experimental evidence from Bangladesh,"
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Ahsanuzzaman & Priyo, Asad Karim Khan & Nuzhat, Kanti Ananta, 2018. "Measuring attitudes toward uncertainty: Experimental evidence on group selection effects," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274034, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Franco Vaio, 2019. "The quantum-like approach to modeling classical rationality violations: an introduction," Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, Springer;Fondazione Rosselli, vol. 18(1), pages 105-123, June.
- Alessia Isopi & Daniele Nosenzo & Chris Starmer, 2014.
"Does consultation improve decision-making?,"
Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 77(3), pages 377-388, October.
- Alessia Isopi & Daniele Nosenzo & Chris Starmer, 2011. "Does consultation improve decision making?," Discussion Papers 2011-08, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Alessia Isopi & Daniele Nosenzo & Chris Starmer, 2011. "Does consultation improve decision making?," Discussion Papers 2011-08, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Marco Casari & Jingjing Zhang & Christine Jackson, 2016.
"Same process, different outcomes: group performance in an acquiring a company experiment,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 19(4), pages 764-791, December.
- Casari, Marco & Zhang, Jingjing & Jackson, Christine, 2015. "Same Process, Different Outcomes: Group Performance in an Acquiring a Company Experiment," IZA Discussion Papers 9614, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Thomas Boyer-Kassem & Sébastien Duchêne & Eric Guerci, 2016.
"Quantum-like models cannot account for the conjunction fallacy,"
Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 81(4), pages 479-510, November.
- Thomas Boyer-Kassem & Sébastien Duchêne & Eric Guerci, 2015. "Quantum-like Models Cannot Account for the Conjunction Fallacy," GREDEG Working Papers 2015-41, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
- Thomas Boyer-Kassem & Sébastien Duchêne & Eric Guerci, 2016. "Quantum-like models cannot account for the conjunction fallacy," Post-Print hal-01380684, HAL.
- Jeanette Brosid-Koch & Timo Heinrich & Christoph Helbach, 2013. "Does Truth Win When Teams Reason Strategically?," Ruhr Economic Papers 0396, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
- Besedes, Tibor & Deck, Cary & Quintanar, Sarah & Sarangi, Sudipta & Shor, Mikhael, 2011.
"Free-Riding and Performance in Collaborative and Non-Collaborative Groups,"
MPRA Paper
33948, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tibor Besedes & Cary Deck & Sarah Quintanar & Sudipta Sarangi & Mikhael Shor, 2012. "Free-Riding and Performance in Collaborative and Non-Collaborative Groups," Working papers 2012-21, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- Nina Weber, 2021. "Experience and Perception of Social Mobility - a Cross-Country Test of the Self-Serving Bias," LIS Working papers 783, LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg.
- Haritha P H, 2024. "The Effect of Heuristics on Indian Stock Market Investors: Investor Sentiment as a Mediator," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 49(1), pages 43-61, February.
- Etan A. Green & Justin M. Rao & David Rothschild, 2019. "A Sharp Test of the Portability of Expertise," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(6), pages 2820-2831, June.
- Sharma, Tridib & Vadovic, Radovan, 2010.
"Axiom of Monotonicity: An Experimental Test,"
MPRA Paper
22863, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tridib Sharma & Radovan Vadovic, 2010. "Axiom of Monotonicity: An Experimental Test," Working Papers 1003, Centro de Investigacion Economica, ITAM, revised 2011.
- Comerford, David A., 2020. "Review of A Fast and Frugal Finance: Bridging Contemporary Behavioral Finance and Ecological Rationality, William P. Forbes, Aloysius Obinna Igboekwu, Shabnam Mousavi," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Gary Charness & David J. Cooper & Zachary Grossman, 2020.
"Silence is golden: team problem solving and communication costs,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 23(3), pages 668-693, September.
- Gary Charness & David Cooper & Zachary Grossman, 2015. "Silence is Golden: Team Problem Solving and Communication Costs," Working Papers wp2018_02_01, Department of Economics, Florida State University, revised Jan 2018.
- Gary Charness & Edi Karni & Dan Levin, 2013.
"Ambiguity attitudes and social interactions: An experimental investigation,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 1-25, February.
- Gary Charness & Edi Karni & Dan Levin, 2012. "Ambiguity Attitudes and Social Interactions: An Experimental Investigation," Economics Working Paper Archive 590, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics.
- Gary Charness & Matthias Sutter, 2012. "Groups Make Better Self-Interested Decisions," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 26(3), pages 157-176, Summer.
- V. I. Yukalov & D. Sornette, 2014. "Manipulating decision making of typical agents," Papers 1409.0636, arXiv.org.
- Bougheas, Spiros & Nieboer, Jeroen & Sefton, Martin, 2013.
"Risk-taking in social settings: Group and peer effects,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 273-283.
- Spiros Bougheas & Jeroen Nieboer & Martin Sefton, 2013. "Risk Taking in Social Settings: Group and Peer Effects," Discussion Papers 2013-01, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Spiros Bougheas & Jeroen Nieboer & Martin Sefton, 2013. "Risk-taking in social settings: Group and peer effects," Discussion Papers 2013-04, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Bernd Frick & Franziska Prockl, 2018. "Information Precision In Online Communities: Player Valuations On Www.Transfermarkt.De," Working Papers Dissertations 37, Paderborn University, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics.
- Charles-Cadogan, G., 2018. "Probability interference in expected utility theory," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 163-175.
- Soo Hong Chew & Junjian Yi & Junsen Zhang & Songfa Zhong, 2016. "Education and anomalies in decision making: Experimental evidence from Chinese adult twins," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 163-200, December.
- Stöckl, Thomas & Huber, Jürgen & Kirchler, Michael & Lindner, Florian, 2015.
"Hot hand and gambler's fallacy in teams: Evidence from investment experiments,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 327-339.
- Thomas Stöckl & Jürgen Huber & Michael Kirchler & Florian Lindner, 2013. "Hot Hand and Gambler's Fallacy in Teams: Evidence from Investment Experiments," Working Papers 2013-04, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
- Andrea Polonioli, 2012. "Gigerenzer’s ‘external validity argument’ against the heuristics and biases program: an assessment," Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, Springer;Fondazione Rosselli, vol. 11(2), pages 133-148, December.
- Tibor Besedeš & Cary Deck & Sarah Quintanar & Sudipta Sarangi & Mikhail Shor, 2014. "Effort and Performance: What Distinguishes Interacting and Noninteracting Groups from Individuals?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 81(2), pages 294-322, October.
- Masaki Aoyagi & Takehito Masuda & Naoko Nishimura, 2021. "Strategic Uncertainty and Probabilistic Sophistication," ISER Discussion Paper 1117, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
- Élise PAYZAN LE NESTOUR, 2010. "Bayesian Learning in UnstableSettings: Experimental Evidence Based on the Bandit Problem," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 10-28, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Charness, Gary & Cooper, David & Grossman, Zachary, 2015. "Silence is Golden: Communication Costs and Team Problem Solving," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt3n25b620, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
- Camillo Donati & Andrea Guazzini & Giorgio Gronchi & Andrea Smorti, 2019. "About Linda Again: How Narratives and Group Reasoning Can Influence Conjunction Fallacy," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-14, October.
- Boussaidi, Ramzi & AlSaggaf, Majid Ibrahim, 2022. "Contrarian profits and representativeness heuristic in the MENA stock markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
- Jeanette A.M.J. Deetlefs & Mathew Chylinski & Andreas Ortmann, 2015. "MTurk ‘Unscrubbed’: Exploring the good, the ‘Super’, and the unreliable on Amazon’s Mechanical Turk," Discussion Papers 2015-20, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Proeger, Till & Meub, Lukas & Bizer, Kilian, 2017. "The role of communication on an experimental market for tradable development rights," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 614-624.
- Jingjing Zhang, 2012. "Communication in asymmetric group competition over public goods," ECON - Working Papers 069, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
- Enrica Carbone & Konstantinos Georgalos & Gerardo Infante, 2019.
"Individual vs. group decision-making: an experiment on dynamic choice under risk and ambiguity,"
Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 87(1), pages 87-122, July.
- Enrica Carbone & Konstantinos Georgalos & Gerardo Infante, 2016. "Individual vs. Group Decision Making: an Experiment on Dynamic Choice under Risk and Ambiguity," Working Papers 138739716, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Christian König-Kersting & Monique Pollmann & Jan Potters & Stefan T. Trautmann, 2021. "Good decision vs. good results: Outcome bias in the evaluation of financial agents," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 90(1), pages 31-61, February.
- Brosig-Koch, Jeannette & Heinrich, Timo & Helbach, Christoph, 2014.
"Does truth win when teams reason strategically?,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 86-89.
- Brosig-Koch, Jeannette & Heinrich, Timo & Helbach, Christoph, 2013. "Does Truth Win When Teams Reason Strategically?," Ruhr Economic Papers 396, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Yukalov, V.I. & Yukalova, E.P. & Sornette, D., 2022. "Role of collective information in networks of quantum operating agents," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 598(C).
- Jeanette A.M.J. Deetlefs & Mathew Chylinski & Andreas Ortmann, 2015. "MTurk ‘Unscrubbed’: Exploring the good, the ‘Super’, and the unreliable on Amazon’s Mechanical Turk," Discussion Papers 2015-20, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Ho Cheung Brian Lee & Jan Stallaert & Ming Fan, 2020. "Anomalies in Probability Estimates for Event Forecasting on Prediction Markets," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 29(9), pages 2077-2095, September.
- Li Hao & Daniel Houser, 2012. "Belief elicitation in the presence of naïve respondents: An experimental study," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 161-180, April.
- Giamattei, Marcus & Graf Lambsdorff, Johann, 2015. "classEx: An online software for classroom experiments," Passauer Diskussionspapiere, Volkswirtschaftliche Reihe V-68-15, University of Passau, Faculty of Business and Economics.