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Information aggregation and manipulation in an experimental market
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Cited by:
- Rajkamal Iyer & Asim Ijaz Khwaja & Erzo F. P. Luttmer & Kelly Shue, 2016.
"Screening Peers Softly: Inferring the Quality of Small Borrowers,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(6), pages 1554-1577, June.
- Rajkamal Iyer & Asim Ijaz Khwaja & Erzo F.P. Luttmer & Kelly Shue, 2009. "Screening Peers Softly: Inferring the Quality of Small Borrowers," NBER Working Papers 15242, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Asim Khwaja & Rajkamal Iyer & Erzo Luttmer & Kelly Shue, 2013. "Screening Peers Softly: Inferring the Quality of Small Borrowers," CID Working Papers 259, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
- Iyer, Rajkamal & Khwaja, Asim Ijaz & Luttmer, Erzo F. P. & Shue, Kelly, 2013. "Screening Peers Softly: Inferring the Quality of Small Borrowers," Working Paper Series rwp13-017, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
- Julia Mortera & A. Philip Dawid, 2017. "A Note on Prediction Markets," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0215, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
- Paul Rhode & Koleman Strumpf, 2006. "Manipulating political stock markets: A field experiment and a century of observational data," Natural Field Experiments 00325, The Field Experiments Website.
- Paul J. Healy & Sera Linardi & J. Richard Lowery & John O. Ledyard, 2010. "Prediction Markets: Alternative Mechanisms for Complex Environments with Few Traders," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(11), pages 1977-1996, November.
- Florian Teschner & David Rothschild & Henner Gimpel, 2017. "Manipulation in Conditional Decision Markets," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 26(5), pages 953-971, September.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark Desantis & Kyle Hampton & Erik O Kimbrough, 2019.
"Reconsidering Rational Expectations and the Aggregation of Diverse Information in Laboratory Security Markets,"
Working Papers
halshs-02146611, HAL.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & Kyle Hampton & Erik O. Kimbrough, 2020. "Reconsidering Rational Expectations and the Aggregation of Diverse Information in Laboratory Security Markets," Working Papers 20-03, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & Kyle Hampton & Erik O. Kimbrough, 2019. "Reconsidering Rational Expectations and the Aggregation of Diverse Information in Laboratory Security Markets," Working Papers 19-11, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & Kyle Hampton & Erik O. Kimbrough, 2019. "Reconsidering Rational Expectations and the Aggregation of Diverse Information in Laboratory Security Markets," Working Papers 1920, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
- Snowberg, Erik & Wolfers, Justin & Zitzewitz, Eric, 2013.
"Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 657-687,
Elsevier.
- Snowberg, Erik & Wolfers, Justin & Zitzewitz, Eric, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," IZA Discussion Papers 6720, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," CESifo Working Paper Series 3884, CESifo.
- Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," NBER Working Papers 18222, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," CAMA Working Papers 2012-33, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Wolfers, Justin & Zitzewitz, Eric & Snowberg, Erik, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," CEPR Discussion Papers 9059, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & Kyle Hampton & Erik O. Kimbrough, 2023.
"When Do Security Markets Aggregate Dispersed Information?,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(6), pages 3697-3729, June.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark Desantis & Kyle Hampton & Erik O. Kimbrough, 2023. "When Do Security Markets Aggregate Dispersed Information?," Post-Print hal-04325683, HAL.
- Lawrence Choo & Todd R. Kaplan & Ro’i Zultan, 2022.
"Manipulation and (Mis)trust in Prediction Markets,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(9), pages 6716-6732, September.
- Choo, Lawrence & Kaplan, Todd R. & Zultan, Ro'i, 2019. "Manipulation and (mis)trust in prediction markets," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 12/2019, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
- Lawrence Choo & Todd R. Kaplan & Ro’i Zultan, 2020. "Manipulation And (Mis)Trust In Prediction Markets," Working Papers 2012, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
- Brice Corgnet & Mark DeSantis & David Porter, 2020. "Information Aggregation and the Cognitive Make-up of Traders," Working Papers 20-18, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Deck, Cary & Lin, Shengle & Porter, David, 2013.
"Affecting policy by manipulating prediction markets: Experimental evidence,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 48-62.
- Cary Deck & Shengle Lin & David Porter, 2010. "Affecting Policy by Manipulating Prediction Markets: Experimental Evidence," Working Papers 10-15, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Bellenzier, Lucia & Vitting Andersen, Jørgen & Rotundo, Giulia, 2016. "Contagion in the world's stock exchanges seen as a set of coupled oscillators," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 224-236.
- Karimi, Majid & Zaerpour, Nima, 2022. "Put your money where your forecast is: Supply chain collaborative forecasting with cost-function-based prediction markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 300(3), pages 1035-1049.
- Corgnet, Brice & DeSantis, Mark & Porter, David, 2020.
"The distribution of information and the price efficiency of markets,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Brice Corgnet & Mark DeSantis & David Porter, 2018. "The Distribution of Information and the Price Efficiency of Markets," Working Papers 18-09, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Brice Corgnet & Mark Desantis & David Porter, 2019. "The distribution of information and the price efficiency of markets," Post-Print halshs-02393564, HAL.
- Bennouri, Moez & Gimpel, Henner & Robert, Jacques, 2011.
"Measuring the impact of information aggregation mechanisms: An experimental investigation,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 78(3), pages 302-318, May.
- Moez Bennouri & Henner Gimpel & Jacques Robert, 2011. "Measuring the impact of the information aggregation mechanisms: an experimental investigation," Post-Print hal-00826235, HAL.
- Johan Almenberg & Ken Kittlitz & Thomas Pfeiffer, 2009. "An Experiment on Prediction Markets in Science," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 4(12), pages 1-7, December.
- Lawrence Choo & Todd R. Kaplan & Ro’i Zultan, 2019.
"Information aggregation in Arrow–Debreu markets: an experiment,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 22(3), pages 625-652, September.
- Ro’i Zultan & Todd R. Kaplan & Lawrence Choo, 2018. "Information Aggregation in Arrow-Debreu Markets: An Experiment," Working Papers 1807, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
- RYan Oprea & David Porter & Chris Hibbert & Robin Hanson & Dorina Tila, 2008. "Can Manipulators Mislead Prediction Market Observers?," Working Papers 08-01, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Alfarano, Simone & Banal-Estanol, Albert & Camacho-Cuena, Eva & Iori, Giulia & Kapar, Burcu, 2020. "Centralized vs decentralized markets in the laboratory: The role of connectivity," MPRA Paper 99129, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Haikady N Nagaraja & Shane Sanders, 2020. "The aggregation paradox for statistical rankings and nonparametric tests," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-21, March.
- Corgnet, Brice & DeSantis, Mark & Porter, David, 2020.
"The distribution of information and the price efficiency of markets,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Brice Corgnet & Mark DeSantis & David Porter, 2018. "The Distribution of Information and the Price Efficiency of Markets," Working Papers 18-09, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Brice Corgnet & Mark Desantis & David Porter, 2019. "The Distribution of Information and the Price Efficiency of Markets," Post-Print hal-02312304, HAL.
- Brice Corgnet & Mark Desantis & David Porter, 2019. "The distribution of information and the price efficiency of markets," Post-Print halshs-02393564, HAL.
- Veiga, Helena & Vorsatz, Marc, 2009.
"Price manipulation in an experimental asset market,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 327-342, April.
- Veiga, H. & Vorsatz, M., 2006. "Price manipulation in an experimental asset market," Research Memorandum 024, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Galanis, S. & Ioannou, C. & Kotronis, S., 2019.
"Information Aggregation Under Ambiguity: Theory and Experimental Evidence,"
Working Papers
20/05, Department of Economics, City University London.
- Spyros Galanis & Christos A. Ioannou & Stelios Kotronis, 2023. "Information Aggregation Under Ambiguity: Theory and Experimental Evidence," Working Papers 2023_04, Durham University Business School.
- Douglas Davis & Oleg Korenok & Edward Simpson Prescott, 2011. "An experimental analysis of contingent capital triggering mechanisms," Working Paper 11-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
- Tālis J. Putniņš, 2012. "Market Manipulation: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(5), pages 952-967, December.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & David Porter, 2022.
"Forecasting Skills in Experimental Markets: Illusion or Reality?,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(7), pages 5216-5232, July.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & David Porter, 2020. "Forecasting Skills in Experimental Markets: Illusion or Reality?," Working Papers 2020, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & David Porter, 2020. "Forecasting Skills in Experimental Markets: Illusion or Reality?," Working Papers 20-27, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark Desantis & David Porter, 2022. "Forecasting Skills in Experimental Market : Illusion or Reality?," Post-Print hal-04325544, HAL.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark Desantis & David Porter, 2020. "Forecasting Skills in Experimental Markets: Illusion or Reality?," Working Papers halshs-02893291, HAL.
- John Dickhaut & Shengle Lin & David Porter & Vernon L. Smith, 2010. "Durability, Re-trading and Market Performance," Working Papers 10-01, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- John J. Nay & Martin Van der Linden & Jonathan M. Gilligan, 2016. "Betting and Belief: Prediction Markets and Attribution of Climate Change," Papers 1603.08961, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2016.
- repec:cup:judgdm:v:14:y:2019:i:2:p:135-147 is not listed on IDEAS
- Corgnet, Brice & Deck, Cary & DeSantis, Mark & Porter, David, 2018.
"Information (non)aggregation in markets with costly signal acquisition,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 286-320.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark Desantis & David Porter, 2017. "Information (Non)Aggregation in Markets with Costly Signal Acquisition," Working Papers halshs-01686493, HAL.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & David Porter, 2017. "Information (Non)Aggregation in Markets with Costly Signal Acquisition," Working Papers 1735, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark Desantis & David Porter, 2018. "Information (Non)Aggregation in Markets with Costly Signal Acquisition," Post-Print halshs-01937794, HAL.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark Desantis & David Porter, 2018. "Information (non)aggregation in markets with costly signal acquisition," Post-Print hal-02312202, HAL.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & David Porter, 2017. "Information (Non)Aggregation in Markets with Costly Signal Acquisition," Working Papers 17-24, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Lionel Page & Robert T. Clemen, 2013. "Do Prediction Markets Produce Well‐Calibrated Probability Forecasts?-super-," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 123(568), pages 491-513, May.
- Dai, Min & Jia, Yanwei & Kou, Steven, 2021. "The wisdom of the crowd and prediction markets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 561-578.
- Jason Dana & Pavel Atanasov & Philip Tetlock & Barbara Mellers, 2019. "Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just askingâ€," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 14(2), pages 135-147, March.
- Bo Cowgill & Eric Zitzewitz, 2015. "Corporate Prediction Markets: Evidence from Google, Ford, and Firm X," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 82(4), pages 1309-1341.
- Ahrash Dianat & Christoph Siemroth, 2021. "Improving decisions with market information: an experiment on corporate prediction markets," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 24(1), pages 143-176, March.
- Legge, Stefan & Schmid, Lukas, 2016.
"Media attention and betting markets,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 304-333.
- Legge, Stegan & Schmid, Lukas, 2015. "Media Attention and Betting Markets," Economics Working Paper Series 1521, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Boris Maciejovsky & David V. Budescu, 2020. "Too Much Trust in Group Decisions: Uncovering Hidden Profiles by Groups and Markets," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 31(6), pages 1497-1514, November.
- Lian Jian & Rahul Sami, 2012. "Aggregation and Manipulation in Prediction Markets: Effects of Trading Mechanism and Information Distribution," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(1), pages 123-140, January.
- Theo Offerman & Giorgia Romagnoli & Andreas Ziegler, 2022.
"Why are open ascending auctions popular? The role of information aggregation and behavioral biases,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(2), pages 787-823, May.
- Theo Offerman & Giorgia Romagnoli & Andreas Ziegler, 2020. "Why are open ascending auctions popular? The role of information aggregation and behavioral biases," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 20-071/I, Tinbergen Institute.
- Scott Sumner, 2016. "Nudging the Fed Toward a Rules-Based Policy Regime," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 36(2), pages 315-335, Spring/Su.
- Douglas Davis & Oleg Korenok & Edward Simpson Prescott, 2014.
"An Experimental Analysis of Contingent Capital with Market‐Price Triggers,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(5), pages 999-1033, August.
- Douglas D. Davis & Korenok Oleg & Edward S. Prescott, 2011. "An Experimental Analysis of Contingent Capital with Market-Price Triggers," Working Papers 1102, VCU School of Business, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2013.
- Sumner, Scott, 2015. "Nominal GDP futures targeting," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 65-75.
- Jackson, Aaron L., 2010. "Policy futures markets with multiple goals," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 45-54, March.
- Frank M. A. Klingert & Matthias Meyer, 2012. "Effectively combining experimental economics and multi-agent simulation: suggestions for a procedural integration with an example from prediction markets research," Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 63-90, March.
- Peeters, R.J.A.P. & Wolk, K.L., 2014. "Eliciting and aggregating individual expectations: An experimental study," Research Memorandum 029, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
- Bergemann, Dirk & Ottaviani, Marco, 2021.
"Information Markets and Nonmarkets,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16459, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Dirk Bergemann & Marco Ottaviani, 2021. "Information Markets and Nonmarkets," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2296, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Robin Hanson & Ryan Oprea, 2009. "A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 76(302), pages 304-314, April.
- Cary Deck & David Porter, 2013.
"Prediction Markets In The Laboratory,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 589-603, July.
- Cary Deck & David Porter, 2013. "Prediction Markets in the Laboratory," Working Papers 13-05, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Patrick Buckley & Fergal O’Brien, 0. "The effect of malicious manipulations on prediction market accuracy," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-13.
- Corgnet, Brice & DeSantis, Mark & Porter, David, 2021.
"Information aggregation and the cognitive make-up of market participants,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Brice Corgnet & Mark Desantis & David Porter, 2021. "Information Aggregation and the Cognitive Make-up of Market Participants," Post-Print hal-03188235, HAL.
- Riekhof, Hans-Christian & Brinkhoff, Stefan, 2014. "Absatzprognosen: Eine empirische Bestandsaufnahme der unternehmerischen Praxis," PFH Forschungspapiere/Research Papers 2014/04, PFH Private University of Applied Sciences, Göttingen.
- Simone Alfarano & Albert Banal-Estañol & Eva Camacho & Giulia Iori & Burcu Kapar & Rohit Rahi, 2024.
"Centralized vs Decentralized Markets: The Role of Connectivity,"
Working Papers
1420, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Simone Alfarano & Albert Banal-Estañol & Eva Camacho & Giulia Iori & Burcu Kapar & Rohit Rahi, 2024. "Centralized vs decentralized markets: The role of connectivity," Economics Working Papers 1877, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Andrea Albertazzi & Friederike Mengel & Ronald Peeters, 2021. "Benchmarking information aggregation in experimental markets," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(4), pages 1500-1516, October.
- Dorina Tila & David Porter, 2008. "Group Prediction in Information Markets With and Without Trading Information and Price Manipulation Incentives," Working Papers 08-06, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Lionel Page & Christoph Siemroth, 2021.
"How Much Information Is Incorporated into Financial Asset Prices? Experimental Evidence,"
Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(9), pages 4412-4449.
- Lionel Page & Christoph Siemroth, 2018. "How much information is incorporated in financial asset prices? Experimental Evidence," QuBE Working Papers 054, QUT Business School.
- Lin, Shengle & Rassenti, Stephen, 2012. "Are under- and over-reaction the same matter? Experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 39-61.
- Dongyu Chen & Xiaolin Li & Fujun Lai, 2023. "Shill bidding in lenders’ eyes? A cross-country study on the influence of large bids in online P2P lending," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 1089-1114, June.
- Robin Hanson, 2006. "Designing real terrorism futures," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 128(1), pages 257-274, July.
- Veiga, Helena & Vorsatz, Marc, 2008.
"Aggregation and dissemination of information in experimental asset markets in the presence of a manipulator,"
DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS
ws084110, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Helena Veiga & Marc Vorsatz, 2008. "Aggregation and Dissemination of Information in Experimental Asset Markets in the Presence of a Manipulator," Working Papers 2008-29, FEDEA.
- Brice Corgnet & Mark DeSantis & David Porter, 2015. "Revisiting Information Aggregation in Asset Markets: Reflective Learning & Market Efficiency," Working Papers 15-15, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Te Bao & Elizaveta Nekrasova & Tibor Neugebauer & Yohanes E. Riyanto, 2022. "Algorithmic trading in experimental markets with human traders: A literature survey," Chapters, in: Sascha Füllbrunn & Ernan Haruvy (ed.), Handbook of Experimental Finance, chapter 23, pages 302-322, Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Riekhof, Hans-Christian & Riekhof, Marie-Catherine & Brinkhoff, Stefan, 2012. "Predictive Markets: Ein vielversprechender Weg zur Verbesserung der Prognosequalität im Unternehmen?," PFH Forschungspapiere/Research Papers 2012/07, PFH Private University of Applied Sciences, Göttingen.
- Tideman, T. Nicolaus & Plassmann, Florenz, 2010. "Pricing externalities," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 176-184, June.
- Patrick Buckley & Fergal O’Brien, 2017. "The effect of malicious manipulations on prediction market accuracy," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 611-623, June.