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Multilayer perceptron for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electricity price forecasting

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  1. Brusaferri, Alessandro & Matteucci, Matteo & Portolani, Pietro & Vitali, Andrea, 2019. "Bayesian deep learning based method for probabilistic forecast of day-ahead electricity prices," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 1158-1175.
  2. Croonenbroeck, Carsten & Stadtmann, Georg, 2019. "Renewable generation forecast studies – Review and good practice guidance," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 312-322.
  3. Lehna, Malte & Scheller, Fabian & Herwartz, Helmut, 2022. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A comparison of time series and neural network models taking external regressors into account," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
  4. Andersson, Jonas & Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh, 2023. "Probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices using an augmented LMARX-model," Discussion Papers 2023/11, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
  5. Peru Muniain & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Probabilistic Forecasting in Day-Ahead Electricity Markets: Simulating Peak and Off-Peak Prices," Papers 1810.08418, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
  6. Florian Ziel & Rafal Weron, 2016. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate models," HSC Research Reports HSC/16/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
  7. Nowotarski, Jakub & Weron, Rafał, 2018. "Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1548-1568.
  8. Ziel, Florian & Steinert, Rick, 2018. "Probabilistic mid- and long-term electricity price forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 251-266.
  9. Jiang, Ping & Nie, Ying & Wang, Jianzhou & Huang, Xiaojia, 2023. "Multivariable short-term electricity price forecasting using artificial intelligence and multi-input multi-output scheme," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  10. Alexander Ryota Keeley & Ken’ichi Matsumoto & Kenta Tanaka & Yogi Sugiawan & Shunsuke Managi, 2021. "The Impact of Renewable Energy Generation on the Spot Market Price in Germany: Ex-Post Analysis using Boosting Method," The Energy Journal, , vol. 42(1_suppl), pages 1-22, June.
  11. Liyang Tang, 2020. "Application of Nonlinear Autoregressive with Exogenous Input (NARX) neural network in macroeconomic forecasting, national goal setting and global competitiveness assessment," Papers 2005.08735, arXiv.org.
  12. Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
  13. Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  14. Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
  15. J. R. S. Iruela & L. G. B. Ruiz & M. I. Capel & M. C. Pegalajar, 2021. "A TensorFlow Approach to Data Analysis for Time Series Forecasting in the Energy-Efficiency Realm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, July.
  16. Claudio Monteiro & Ignacio J. Ramirez-Rosado & L. Alfredo Fernandez-Jimenez, 2018. "Probabilistic Electricity Price Forecasting Models by Aggregation of Competitive Predictors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-25, April.
  17. Gunnhildur H. Steinbakk & Alex Lenkoski & Ragnar Bang Huseby & Anders L{o}land & Tor Arne {O}ig{aa}rd, 2018. "Using published bid/ask curves to error dress spot electricity price forecasts," Papers 1812.02433, arXiv.org.
  18. Peng, Lu & Liu, Shan & Liu, Rui & Wang, Lin, 2018. "Effective long short-term memory with differential evolution algorithm for electricity price prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1301-1314.
  19. Firuz Kamalov, 2019. "Forecasting significant stock price changes using neural networks," Papers 1912.08791, arXiv.org.
  20. He Jiang & Yao Dong & Jianzhou Wang, 2024. "Electricity price forecasting using quantile regression averaging with nonconvex regularization," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1859-1879, September.
  21. Vinci Chow, 2017. "Predicting Auction Price of Vehicle License Plate with Deep Recurrent Neural Network," Papers 1701.08711, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
  22. Muniain, Peru & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Probabilistic forecasting in day-ahead electricity markets: Simulating peak and off-peak prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1193-1210.
  23. Bartosz Uniejewski & Jakub Nowotarski & Rafał Weron, 2016. "Automated Variable Selection and Shrinkage for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-22, August.
  24. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2017. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Neural network models," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
  25. Carlo Fezzi & Luca Mosetti, 2018. "Size matters: Estimation sample length and electricity price forecasting accuracy," DEM Working Papers 2018/10, Department of Economics and Management.
  26. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
    • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  27. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Selection of Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.
  28. Fraunholz, Christoph & Kraft, Emil & Keles, Dogan & Fichtner, Wolf, 2021. "Advanced price forecasting in agent-based electricity market simulation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
  29. Tyralis, Hristos & Karakatsanis, Georgios & Tzouka, Katerina & Mamassis, Nikos, 2017. "Exploratory data analysis of the electrical energy demand in the time domain in Greece," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 902-918.
  30. Zhidan Luo & Wei Guo & Qingfu Liu & Yiuman Tse, 2023. "A hybrid prediction model with time‐varying gain tracking differentiator in Taylor expansion: Evidence from precious metals," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(5), pages 1138-1149, August.
  31. L. Cabezón & L. G. B. Ruiz & D. Criado-Ramón & E. J. Gago & M. C. Pegalajar, 2022. "Photovoltaic Energy Production Forecasting through Machine Learning Methods: A Scottish Solar Farm Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-14, November.
  32. Nie, Ying & Li, Ping & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Lifang, 2024. "A novel multivariate electrical price bi-forecasting system based on deep learning, a multi-input multi-output structure and an operator combination mechanism," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 366(C).
  33. VandenHeuvel, Daniel & Wu, Jinran & Wang, You-Gan, 2023. "Robust regression for electricity demand forecasting against cyberattacks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1573-1592.
  34. Ping Jiang & Feng Liu & Yiliao Song, 2016. "A Hybrid Multi-Step Model for Forecasting Day-Ahead Electricity Price Based on Optimization, Fuzzy Logic and Model Selection," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-27, August.
  35. Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting with NARX neural networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1520-1532.
  36. Ziel, Florian & Weron, Rafał, 2018. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 396-420.
  37. Mira Watermeyer & Thomas Mobius & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "A hybrid model for day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Combining fundamental and stochastic modelling," Papers 2304.09336, arXiv.org.
  38. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
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