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Interval estimation of value-at-risk based on GARCH models with heavy-tailed innovations

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  1. Yun Gong & Zhouping Li & Liang Peng, 2010. "Empirical likelihood intervals for conditional Value‐at‐Risk in ARCH/GARCH models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 65-75, March.
  2. Virta, Joni & Lietzén, Niko & Viitasaari, Lauri & Ilmonen, Pauliina, 2024. "Latent model extreme value index estimation," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
  3. Cyril Coste & Raphaël Douady & Ilija I Zovko, 2010. "The StressVaR: A New Risk Concept for Extreme Risk and Fund Allocation," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-02488591, HAL.
  4. Oliver Linton & Dajing Shang & Yang Yan, 2012. "Efficient estimation of conditional risk measures in a semiparametric GARCH model," CeMMAP working papers 25/12, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  5. Moosup Kim & Sangyeol Lee, 2019. "Test for tail index constancy of GARCH innovations based on conditional volatility," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 71(4), pages 947-981, August.
  6. Zhao, Xin & Scarrott, Carl John & Oxley, Les & Reale, Marco, 2011. "GARCH dependence in extreme value models with Bayesian inference," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(7), pages 1430-1440.
  7. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2013. "Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1127-1220, Elsevier.
  8. Gourieroux, Christian & Zakoïan, Jean-Michel, 2013. "Estimation-Adjusted Var," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(4), pages 735-770, August.
  9. Yen-Hsien Lee & Hao Fang & Wei-Fan SU, 2014. "Effectiveness of Portfolio Diversification and the Dynamic Relationship between Stock and Currency Markets in the Emerging Eastern European and Russian Markets," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 64(4), pages 296-311, September.
  10. Hoga, Yannick, 2021. "The uncertainty in extreme risk forecasts from covariate-augmented volatility models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 675-686.
  11. Christophe Hurlin & Sébastien Laurent & Rogier Quaedvlieg & Stephan Smeekes, 2017. "Risk Measure Inference," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 499-512, October.
  12. Santiago Gamba-Santamaria & Oscar Fernando Jaulin-Mendez & Luis Fernando Melo-Velandia & Carlos Andrés Quicazán-Moreno, 2016. "Comparison of methods for estimating the uncertainty of value at risk," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 33(4), pages 595-624, October.
  13. Francq, Christian & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2015. "Looking for efficient qml estimation of conditional value-at-risk at multiple risk levels," MPRA Paper 67195, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Marius Lux & Wolfgang Karl Härdle & Stefan Lessmann, 2020. "Data driven value-at-risk forecasting using a SVR-GARCH-KDE hybrid," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 947-981, September.
  15. Nieto, María Rosa & Carmona-Benítez, Rafael Bernardo, 2018. "ARIMA + GARCH + Bootstrap forecasting method applied to the airline industry," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 1-8.
  16. Cheng, Wan-Hsiu & Hung, Jui-Cheng, 2011. "Skewness and leptokurtosis in GARCH-typed VaR estimation of petroleum and metal asset returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 160-173, January.
  17. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani & Kehan Li, 2016. "Measuring risks in the extreme tail: The extreme VaR and its confidence interval," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 16034rr, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Jan 2017.
  18. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani & Kehan Li, 2017. "Measuring risks in the extreme tail: The extreme VaR and its confidence interval," Post-Print halshs-01317391, HAL.
  19. Yannick Hoga, 2023. "The Estimation Risk in Extreme Systemic Risk Forecasts," Papers 2304.10349, arXiv.org.
  20. Carl Lonnbark, 2010. "A corrected Value-at-Risk predictor," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(12), pages 1193-1196.
  21. Moosup Kim & Sangyeol Lee, 2016. "On the tail index inference for heavy-tailed GARCH-type innovations," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 68(2), pages 237-267, April.
  22. Nieto, María Rosa, 2008. "Measuring financial risk : comparison of alternative procedures to estimate VaR and ES," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws087326, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  23. Saeed Shaker-Akhtekhane & Solmaz Poorabbas, 2023. "Value-at-Risk Estimation Using an Interpolated Distribution of Financial Returns Series," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 13(1), pages 1-6.
  24. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani & Kehan Li, 2017. "Impact of multimodality of distributions on VaR and ES calculations," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01491990, HAL.
  25. Boucher, Christophe M. & Daníelsson, Jón & Kouontchou, Patrick S. & Maillet, Bertrand B., 2014. "Risk models-at-risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 72-92.
  26. Santiago Gamba Santamaría & Oscar Fernando Jaulín Méndez & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Carlos Andrés Quicazán Moreno, 2015. "Comparación De Métodos Para La Estimación De La Incertidumbre Del Valor En Riesgo," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 83, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  27. Christian Francq & Jean-Michel Zakoian, 2014. "Multi-level Conditional VaR Estimation in Dynamic Models," Working Papers 2014-01, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  28. Yannick Hoga & Matei Demetrescu, 2023. "Monitoring Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Forecasts," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(5), pages 2954-2971, May.
  29. Spierdijk, Laura, 2016. "Confidence intervals for ARMA–GARCH Value-at-Risk: The case of heavy tails and skewness," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 545-559.
  30. Timo Dimitriadis & Yannick Hoga, 2022. "Dynamic CoVaR Modeling and Estimation," Papers 2206.14275, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2025.
  31. Nieto, María Rosa, 2010. "Bootstrap prediction intervals for VaR and ES in the context of GARCH models," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws102814, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  32. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani & Kehan Li, 2017. "Impact of multimodality of distributions on VaR and ES calculations," Post-Print halshs-01491990, HAL.
  33. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani & Kehan Li, 2017. "Impact of multimodality of distributions on VaR and ES calculations," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 17019, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
  34. Chen, Jian & Peng, Liang & Zhao, Yichuan, 2009. "Empirical likelihood based confidence intervals for copulas," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 137-151, January.
  35. Leong, Soon Heng & Urga, Giovanni, 2023. "A practical multivariate approach to testing volatility spillover," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  36. Su, Jung-Bin & Hung, Jui-Cheng, 2011. "Empirical analysis of jump dynamics, heavy-tails and skewness on value-at-risk estimation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 1117-1130, May.
  37. Xin Zhao & Carl John Scarrott & Marco Reale & Les Oxley, 2009. "Bayesian Extreme Value Mixture Modelling for Estimating VaR," Working Papers in Economics 09/15, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
  38. Nieto, Maria Rosa & Ruiz, Esther, 2016. "Frontiers in VaR forecasting and backtesting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 475-501.
  39. Köksal, Bülent & Orhan, Mehmet, 2012. "Market risk of developed and developing countries during the global financial crisis," MPRA Paper 37523, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  40. Bal'azs Csan'ad Cs'aji, 2018. "Score Permutation Based Finite Sample Inference for Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) Models," Papers 1807.08390, arXiv.org.
  41. Sun, Shuxiao & Hua, Shengya & Liu, Zhongyi, 2024. "Navigating default risk in supply chain finance: Guidelines based on trade credit and equity vendor financing," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
  42. Lönnbark, Carl, 2008. "A Corrected Value-at-Risk Predictor," Umeå Economic Studies 734, Umeå University, Department of Economics.
  43. Peter Hall & D. M. Titterington & Jing‐Hao Xue, 2009. "Tilting methods for assessing the influence of components in a classifier," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(4), pages 783-803, September.
  44. Sun, Pengfei & Zhou, Chen, 2014. "Diagnosing the distribution of GARCH innovations," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 287-303.
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