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A cautious note on the use of panel models to predict financial crises
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Cited by:
- Quentin LAJAUNIE, 2021. "Nonlinear Impulse Response Function for Dichotomous Models," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2852, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Dieter Gerdesmeier & Hans‐Eggert Reimers & Barbara Roffia, 2010.
"Asset Price Misalignments and the Role of Money and Credit,"
International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(3), pages 377-407, December.
- Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Roffia, Barbara & Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2009. "Asset price misalignments and the role of money and credit," Working Paper Series 1068, European Central Bank.
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022.
"Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 9-22.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers halshs-02549044, HAL.
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," AMSE Working Papers 2013, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," Post-Print hal-03740235, HAL.
- Bunda, Irina & Ca' Zorzi, Michele, 2010.
"Signals from housing and lending booms,"
Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 1-20, March.
- Bunda, Irina & Ca' Zorzi, Michele, 2009. "Signals from housing and lending booms," Working Paper Series 1094, European Central Bank.
- Roy, Saktinil & Kemme, David M., 2012. "Causes of banking crises: Deregulation, credit booms and asset bubbles, then and now," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 270-294.
- Marcin Kozak & Olesia Iefremova, 2014. "Implementation Of The Delphi Technique In Finance," "e-Finanse", University of Information Technology and Management, Institute of Financial Research and Analysis, vol. 10(4), pages 36-45, May.
- Candelon, Bertrand & Dumitrescu, Elena-Ivona & Hurlin, Christophe, 2014.
"Currency crisis early warning systems: Why they should be dynamic,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1016-1029.
- Candelon, B. & Dumitrescu, E-I. & Hurlin, C., 2010. "Currency crises early warning systems: why they should be dynamic," Research Memorandum 047, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Bertrand Candelon & Elena Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin, 2014. "Currency Crises Early Warning Systems: Why They Should Be Dynamic," Post-Print hal-01385975, HAL.
- Bertrand Candelon & Christophe Hurlin & Elena Dumitnescu, 2014. "Currency Crisis Early Warning Systems: Why They should be Dynamic," Working Papers 2014-161, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Bertrand Candelon & Elena-Ivona DUMITRESCU & Christophe HURLIN, 2010. "Currency Crises Early Warning Systems: why they should be Dynamic," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 399, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Stelios Markoulis & Panagiotis Ioannou & Spiros Martzoukos, 2023. "Bank distress in the European Union 2008–2015: A closer look at capital, size and revenue diversification," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 792-820, January.
- Bertrand Candelon & Elena-Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin & Franz C. Palm, 2013.
"Multivariate Dynamic Probit Models: An Application to Financial Crises Mutation,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: VAR Models in Macroeconomics – New Developments and Applications: Essays in Honor of Christopher A. Sims, volume 32, pages 395-427,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Elena-Ivona Dumitrescu & Bertrand Candelon & Christophe Hurlin & Franz C. Palm, 2012. "Multivariate Dynamic Probit Models: An Application to Financial Crises Mutation," Working Papers halshs-00630036, HAL.
- Bertrand Candelon & Elena Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin & Franz Palm, 2013. "Multivariate Dynamic Probit Models: An Application to Financial Crises Mutation," Post-Print hal-01449943, HAL.
- Bertrand Candelon & Elena-Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin, 2012.
"How to Evaluate an Early-Warning System: Toward a Unified Statistical Framework for Assessing Financial Crises Forecasting Methods,"
IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 60(1), pages 75-113, April.
- Candelon, B. & Dumitrescu, E-I. & Hurlin, C., 2010. "How to evaluate an early warning system? Towards a united statistical framework for assessing financial crises forecasting methods," Research Memorandum 046, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Bertrand Candelon & Elena Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin, 2012. "How to Evaluate an Early Warning System? Towards a Unified Statistical Framework for Assessing Financial Crises Forecasting Methods," Post-Print hal-01385900, HAL.
- David M. Kemme & Saktinil Roy, 2012. "Did the Recent Housing Boom Signal the Global Financial Crisis?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 78(3), pages 999-1018, January.
- Casu, Barbara & Clare, Andrew & Saleh, Nashwa, 2011. "Towards a new model for early warning signals for systemic financial fragility and near crises: an application to OECD countries," MPRA Paper 37043, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Maria Siranova & Karol Zelenak, 2023. "Every crisis does matter: Comparing the databases of financial crisis events," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 652-686, May.
- Bolt, W. & Demertzis, D. & Diks, C.G.H. & Van der Leij, M.J., 2011.
"Complex Methods in Economics: An Example of Behavioral Heterogeneity in House Prices,"
CeNDEF Working Papers
11-12, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- Wilko Bolt & Maria Demertzis & Cees Diks & Marco van der Leij, 2011. "Complex Methods in Economics: An Example of Behavioral Heterogeneity in House Prices," DNB Working Papers 329, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Smith, Jonathan Acosta & Grill, Michael & Lang, Jan Hannes, 2017.
"The leverage ratio, risk-taking and bank stability,"
Working Paper Series
2079, European Central Bank.
- Acosta-Smith, Jonathan & Grill, Michael & Lang, Jan Hannes, 2018. "The leverage ratio, risk-taking and bank stability," Bank of England working papers 766, Bank of England.
- Mohammad Karimi & Marcel‐Cristian Voia, 2019.
"Empirics of currency crises: A duration analysis approach,"
Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 428-449, July.
- Mohammad Karimi & Marcel-Cristian Voia, 2011. "Empirics of Currency Crises: A Duration Analysis Approach," Carleton Economic Papers 11-11, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
- Mohammad Karimi & Marcel-Cristian Voia, 2019. "Empirics of currency crises: A duration analysis approach," Post-Print hal-03528952, HAL.
- Roberto Patuelli & Andrea Vaona & Christoph Grimpe, 2010.
"The German East‐West Divide In Knowledge Production: An Application To Nanomaterial Patenting,"
Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 101(5), pages 568-582, December.
- Roberto Patuelli & Andrea Vaona & Christoph Grimpe, 2008. "Poolability and Aggregation Problems of Regional Innovation Data: An Application to Nanomaterial Patenting," Quaderni della facoltà di Scienze economiche dell'Università di Lugano 0810, USI Università della Svizzera italiana.
- Roberto Patuelli & Andrea Vaona & Christoph Grimpe, 2008. "The German East-West Divide in Knowledge Production: An Application to Nanomaterial Patenting," Working Paper series 40_08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Aug 2010.
- Raphael Douady & Antoine Kornprobst, 2018.
"An Empirical Approach To Financial Crisis Indicators Based On Random Matrices,"
International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(03), pages 1-22, May.
- Antoine Kornprobst & Raphael Douady, 2015. "An Empirical Approach to Financial Crisis Indicators Based on Random Matrices," Papers 1506.00806, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2017.
- Raphaël Douady & Antoine Kornprobst, 2018. "An empirical approach to financial crisis indicators based on random matrices," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-03265045, HAL.
- Raphaël Douady & Antoine Kornprobst, 2018. "An empirical approach to financial crisis indicators based on random matrices," Post-Print hal-03265045, HAL.
- Kauko, Karlo, 2014. "How to foresee banking crises? A survey of the empirical literature," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 289-308.
- Quentin Bro de Comères, 2022. "Predicting European Banks Distress Events: Do Financial Information Producers Matter?," Working Papers hal-03752678, HAL.
- David M. Kemme & Saktinil Roy, 2012. "Did the Recent Housing Boom Signal the Global Financial Crisis?," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 78(3), pages 999-1018, January.
- Schudel, Willem, 2015. "Shifting horizons: assessing macro trends before, during, and following systemic banking crises," Working Paper Series 1766, European Central Bank.
- Maria Elvira Mancino & Simona Sanfelici, 2020. "Identifying financial instability conditions using high frequency data," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 15(1), pages 221-242, January.
- Ian Christensen & Fuchun Li, 2013. "A Semiparametric Early Warning Model of Financial Stress Events," Staff Working Papers 13-13, Bank of Canada.
- Themistokles Lazarides & Evaggelos Drimpetas, 2016. "Defining the factors of Fitch rankings in the European banking sector," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 6(2), pages 315-339, August.
- Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Schudel, Willem & Behn, Markus, 2013. "Setting countercyclical capital buffers based on early warning models: would it work?," Working Paper Series 1604, European Central Bank.
- Pablo Hernández de Cos & Enrique Moral-Benito & Gerrit B. Koester & Christiane Nickel, 2014.
"Signalling fiscal stress in the euro area: A country-specific early warning system,"
Working Papers
1418, Banco de España.
- Hernández de Cos, Pablo & Nickel, Christiane & Koester, Gerrit & Moral-Benito, Enrique, 2014. "Signalling fiscal stress in the euro area - a country-specific early warning system," Working Paper Series 1712, European Central Bank.
- Betz, Frank & Oprică, Silviu & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter, 2014.
"Predicting distress in European banks,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 225-241.
- Betz, Frank & Oprica, Silviu & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter, 2013. "Predicting distress in European banks," Working Paper Series 1597, European Central Bank.
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lecourt, Christelle & Siagh, Souhila, 2024.
"Setting up a sovereign wealth fund to reduce currency crises,"
Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Christelle Lecourt & Souhila Siagh, 2024. "Setting up a Sovereign Wealth Fund to Reduce Currency Crises," AMSE Working Papers 2417, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Christelle Lecourt & Souhila Siagh, 2024. "Setting up a sovereign wealth fund to reduce currency crises," Post-Print hal-04742966, HAL.
- Dieter Gerdesmeier & Hans-Eggert Reimers & Barbara Roffia, 2011. "Early Warning Indicators for Asset Price Booms," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 1, pages 1-19, June.
- Boonman, Tjeerd M. & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & Kuper, Gerard H., 2012. "The Global Financial Crisis and currency crises in Latin America," Research Report 12005-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
- Bertrand Candelon & Elena-Ivona DUMITRESCU & Christophe HURLIN & Franz C. PALM, 2011. "Modelling Financial Crises Mutation," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 1238, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Vesna Bucevska, 2015. "Currency Crises in EU Candidate Countries: An Early Warning System Approach," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 62(4), pages 493-510, September.
- Caggiano, Giovanni & Calice, Pietro & Leonida, Leone, 2014. "Early warning systems and systemic banking crises in low income countries: A multinomial logit approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 258-269.
- repec:dgr:rugsom:12005-eef is not listed on IDEAS
- repec:rim:rimwps:40-08 is not listed on IDEAS
- Koresh Galil & Margalit Samuel & Offer Moshe Shapir & Wolf Wagner, 2023. "Bailouts and the modeling of bank distress," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 7-30, February.
- Kehinde Damilola Ilesanmi & Devi Datt Tewari, 2021. "An Early Warning Signal (EWS) Model for Predicting Financial Crisis in Emerging African Economies," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 12(1), pages 101-110, January.
- Giovanni Caggiano & Pietro Calice & Leone Leonida, 2013. "Working Paper 190 - Early Warning Systems and Systemic Banking Crises in Low Income Countries: A Multinomial Logit Approach," Working Paper Series 993, African Development Bank.
- Klomp, Jeroen, 2010. "Causes of banking crises revisited," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 72-87, March.
- Xianglong Liu, 2023. "Towards Better Banking Crisis Prediction: Could an Automatic Variable Selection Process Improve the Performance?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 99(325), pages 288-312, June.
- Yanping Zhao & Jakob Haan & Bert Scholtens & Haizhen Yang, 2014. "Leading Indicators of Currency Crises: Are They the Same in Different Exchange Rate Regimes?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(5), pages 937-957, November.
- Basma Majerbi & Houssem Rachdi, 2014. "Systemic Banking Crises, Financial Liberalization and Governance," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 18(3-4), pages 281-336, September.
- Marcin Pietrzak, 2021. "Can Financial Soundness Indicators Help Predict Financial Sector Distress?," IMF Working Papers 2021/197, International Monetary Fund.
- David M. Kemme & Saktinil Roy, 2012. "Did the Recent Housing Boom Signal the Global Financial Crisis?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 78(3), pages 999-1018, January.
- Tjeerd M. Boonman & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Gerard H. Kuper, 2011. "Why didn't the Global Financial Crisis hit Latin America?," CIRANO Working Papers 2011s-63, CIRANO.
- Zigraiova, Diana & Jakubik, Petr, 2015. "Systemic event prediction by an aggregate early warning system: An application to the Czech Republic," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 553-576.