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Inference and causality in economic time series models

In: Handbook of Econometrics

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Cited by:

  1. Shao, Ying-Hui & Yang, Yan-Hong & Shao, Hao-Lin & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2019. "Time-varying lead–lag structure between the crude oil spot and futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 723-733.
  2. Letson, David & McCullough, B.D., 2001. "ENSO and Soybean Prices: Correlation without Causality," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(3), pages 513-521, December.
  3. Aaltonen, J. & Östermark, R., 1997. "A rolling test of granger causality between the Finnish and Japanese security markets," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 25(6), pages 635-642, December.
  4. Ivan D. Trofimov Nazaria Md. Aris Dickson C. D. Xuan, 2018. "Macroeconomic and Demographic Determinants of Residential Property Prices in Malaysia," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 21(2), pages 71-96, November.
  5. Michael E. Sobel, 1996. "An Introduction to Causal Inference," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 24(3), pages 353-379, February.
  6. Zanin, Massimiliano & Belkoura, Seddik, 2018. "On the applicability of the Lead/Lag Ratio in causality assessment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 506(C), pages 186-196.
  7. Steel, Mark F. J. & Richard, Jean-Francois, 1991. "Bayesian multivariate exogeneity analysis : An application to a UK money demand equation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1-2), pages 239-274.
  8. Al-Sadoon, Majid M., 2019. "Testing subspace Granger causality," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 42-61.
  9. Dufour, Jean-Marie & Pelletier, Denis & Renault, Eric, 2006. "Short run and long run causality in time series: inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 337-362, June.
  10. Danilo Santini & David Poyer, 2008. "Motor Vehicle Output and GDP, 1968–2007," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 36(4), pages 483-491, December.
  11. Noel D. Uri, 1996. "The Impact of Crude Oil Price Volatility on Agricultural Employment in the United States," Energy & Environment, , vol. 7(1), pages 57-74, February.
  12. Arash Refah-Kahriz & Hassan Heidari & Mahdiyeh Rahimdel, 2023. "Is there a similar Granger causality among CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in different regimes in Iran?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 3801-3822, April.
  13. Skalin, Joakim & Terasvirta, Timo, 1999. "Another Look at Swedish Business Cycles, 1861-1988," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(4), pages 359-378, July-Aug..
  14. Brorsen, B. Wade & Chavas, Jean-Paul & Grant, Warren R., 1991. "Market Structure and Spatial Price Dynamics," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(2), pages 65-74, December.
  15. Marin, Dalia, 1992. "Is the Export-Led.Growth Hypothesis Valid for Industrialized Countries?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(4), pages 678-688, November.
  16. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Ng, Lilian K., 1996. "A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1-2), pages 33-48.
  17. Zhou, Wei-Xing & Sornette, Didier, 2006. "Non-parametric determination of real-time lag structure between two time series: The "optimal thermal causal path" method with applications to economic data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 195-224, March.
  18. Didier Sornette & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2005. "Non-parametric determination of real-time lag structure between two time series: the 'optimal thermal causal path' method," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(6), pages 577-591.
  19. Lahura, Erick, 2010. "Monetary aggregates and monetary policy: an empirical assessment for Peru," Working Papers 2010-019, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
  20. Lawrence S. Mayer & Steven S. Carroll, 1988. "Measures of Dependence for Cross-Lagged Panel Models," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 17(1), pages 93-120, August.
  21. Alberto Chong & Luisa Zanforlin, 2004. "Inward-Looking Policies, Institutions, Autocrats, and Economic Growth in Latin America: An Empirical Exploration," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 121(3), pages 335-361, February.
  22. Nilsson, Kristian, 1999. "Alternative Measures of the Swedish Real Effective Exchange Rate," Working Papers 68, National Institute of Economic Research.
  23. Mosconi, Rocco & Seri, Raffaello, 2006. "Non-causality in bivariate binary time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 379-407, June.
  24. Dufour, Jean-Marie & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2010. "Short and long run causality measures: Theory and inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 42-58, January.
  25. Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 1989. "Interpreting the evidence on money-income causality," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 161-181, January.
  26. C. R. McKenzie & Michael McAleer, 2001. "Comparing Tests of Autoregressive Versus Moving Average Errors in Regression Models Using Bahadur's Asymptotic Relative Efficiency," ISER Discussion Paper 0537, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
  27. Xu, Hai-Chuan & Zhou, Wei-Xing & Sornette, Didier, 2017. "Time-dependent lead-lag relationship between the onshore and offshore Renminbi exchange rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 173-183.
  28. Gómez-Puig, Marta & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2014. "Causality and contagion in EMU sovereign debt markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 12-27.
  29. Rey, Serge, 2001. "Les taux de change bilatéraux adoptés pour l’entrée dans l’euro sont-ils des taux d’équilibre?," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 77(1), pages 75-112, mars.
  30. Uri, Noel D., 1999. "Energy and the use of conservation tillage in US agriculture," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 299-306, May.
  31. Antonios Adamopoulos, 2020. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation of three European Union Member - Countries," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 10(1), pages 3-24.
  32. Nils Herger, 2017. "An empirical assessment of the Swedish Bullionist Controversy," Working Papers 17.01, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
  33. Genaro, SUCARRAT, 2006. "The First Stage in Hendry’s Reduction Theory Revisited," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2006041, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
  34. Satya Paul & Colm Kearney & Kabir Chowdhury, 1997. "Inflation and economic growth: a multi-country empirical analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(10), pages 1387-1401.
  35. Al-Sadoon, Majid M., 2014. "Geometric and long run aspects of Granger causality," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 558-568.
  36. Magdalena Osinska, 2011. "On the Interpretation of Causality in Granger’s Sense," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 11, pages 129-140.
  37. Peter Adams & Michael D. Hurd & Daniel L. McFadden & Angela Merrill & Tiago Ribeiro, 2004. "Healthy, Wealthy, and Wise? Tests for Direct Causal Paths between Health and Socioeconomic Status," NBER Chapters, in: Perspectives on the Economics of Aging, pages 415-526, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  38. Bahram Adrangi & Arjun Chatrath & Joseph Macri & Kambiz Raffiee, 2019. "Dynamic Responses of Major Equity Markets to the US Fear Index," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-23, September.
  39. Akinyemi, Opeyemi & Ogundipe, Adeyemi & Alege, Philip, 2012. "Energy Supply and Climate Change in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 55820, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  40. Zhou, Wei-Xing & Sornette, Didier, 2004. "Causal slaving of the US treasury bond yield antibubble by the stock market antibubble of August 2000," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 337(3), pages 586-608.
  41. Aka, F.B. & Decaluwé, B., 1999. "Causality and Comovement between Tax Rate and Budget Deficits: Further Evidence from Developing Countries," Cahiers de recherche 9911, Université Laval - Département d'économique.
  42. Bai, Zhidong & Wong, Wing-Keung & Zhang, Bingzhi, 2010. "Multivariate linear and nonlinear causality tests," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 5-17.
  43. Eleanor Doyle, 1998. "Export-output causality: The Irish case 1953–93," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 26(2), pages 147-161, June.
  44. Nuri Yildirim & Huseyin Tastan, 2012. "Capital Flows and Economic Growth across Spectral requencies: Evidence from Turkey," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 59(4), pages 441-462, September.
  45. Brillinger, David R., 1996. "Remarks Concerning Graphical Models for Time Series and Point Processes," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 16(1), November.
  46. Uri, Noel D., 1996. "Changing crude oil price effects on US agricultural employment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 185-202, July.
  47. Andriansyah, Andriansyah, 2003. "Model Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Hubungan Dinamis Antara Harga Saham dan Nilai Tukar Rupiah: Penerapan pada IHSG dan Indeks Sektoral di Bursa Efek Jakarta Tahun 1990-2001 [Vector Autoregressive (V," MPRA Paper 111641, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  48. Serge Rey, 2001. "Les taux de change bilatéraux adoptés pour l’entrée dans l’Euro sont-ils des taux d’équilibre? Une tentative de réponse à l’aide de la parité des pouvoirs d’achat et de la parité des coûts," Post-Print hal-01885323, HAL.
  49. Uri, Noel D., 1998. "Impact of the price of energy on the use of conservation tillage in agriculture in the USA," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(4), pages 225-240, August.
  50. Eugene Dettaa & Endong Wang, 2024. "Inference in High-Dimensional Linear Projections: Multi-Horizon Granger Causality and Network Connectedness," Papers 2410.04330, arXiv.org.
  51. Xie, Wen-Jie & Yong, Yang & Wei, Na & Yue, Peng & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2021. "Identifying states of global financial market based on information flow network motifs," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  52. Maria Blangiewicz & Krystyna Strzala, 2008. "Notes on a Forecasting Procedure," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 8, pages 75-84.
  53. Huisman, K.J.M. & Kort, P.M. & Plasmans, J.E.J., 2007. "Investment in High-Tech Industries : An Example from the LCD Industry," Discussion Paper 2007-85, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  54. Hu, Qing & Quan, Jing “Jim”, 2005. "Evaluating the impact of IT investments on productivity: a causal analysis at industry level," International Journal of Information Management, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 39-53.
  55. Trofimov, Ivan D. & Md. Aris, Nazaria & C. D. Xuan, Dickson, 2018. "Macroeconomic and demographic determinants of residential property prices in Malaysia," MPRA Paper 85819, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  56. Uri, Noel D., 1996. "Crude-oil price volatility and agricultural employment in the USA," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 355-373, August.
  57. Bahram Adrangi & Arjun Chatrath, 2022. "Dynamic Responses of Major Pacific Rim Emerging Equity Markets to the US Crude Oil Fear Index (OVX)," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 51-84.
  58. Uri, Noel D., 1996. "Crude oil price volatility and unemployment in the United States," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 29-38.
  59. Gunther Capelle-Blancard & Séverine Vandelanoite, 2000. "Intraday relations between CAC 40 cash index and CAC 40 index options [Relations intrajournalières entre l'indice CAC 40 et les options sur indice. Quel est le marché préféré des investisseurs info," Post-Print halshs-03727911, HAL.
  60. Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk & Tiwari, Aviral, 2014. "Is Bitcoin business income or speculative bubble? Unconditional vs. conditional frequency domain analysis," MPRA Paper 59595, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  61. Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 1999. "Business cycle fluctuations in us macroeconomic time series," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 1, pages 3-64, Elsevier.
  62. Michel Beine & Gunther Capelle-Blancard & Helene Raymond, 2008. "International nonlinear causality between stock markets," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(8), pages 663-686.
  63. Bahram Adrangi & Arjun Chatrath & Joseph Macri & Kambiz Raffiee, 2017. "Crude Oil Price Volatility Spillovers and Agricultural Commodities: A Study in Time and Frequency Domains," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 9, pages 42-56, August.
  64. Gunther Capelle-Blancard & Séverine Vandelanoite, 2002. "Relations intrajournalières entre l'indice CAC 40 et les options sur indice : Quel est le marché préféré des investisseurs informés ?," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 66, pages 143-177.
  65. Bonaccolto, Giovanni & Caporin, Massimiliano & Panzica, Roberto, 2019. "Estimation and model-based combination of causality networks among large US banks and insurance companies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1-21.
  66. Osiewalski, J. & Steel, M.F.J., 1989. "A Bayesian analysis of exogeneity in models pooling time-series and cross-section data," Discussion Paper 1989-14, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  67. Yener Coskun & Christos Bouras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Multi-Horizon Financial and Housing Wealth Effects across the U.S. States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-20, January.
  68. Nils Herger, 2020. "An Empirical Assessment of the Swedish Bullionist Controversy," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 122(3), pages 911-936, July.
  69. Manfred Deistler & Klaus Neusser, 2004. "Prognose uni- und multivariater Zeitreihen," Diskussionsschriften dp0401, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
  70. Calvo-Pardo, Hector & Mancini, Tullio & Olmo, Jose, 2021. "Granger causality detection in high-dimensional systems using feedforward neural networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 920-940.
  71. Noel D. Uri, 1998. "The Impact of Energy on the Adoption of Conservation Tillage in the United States," Energy & Environment, , vol. 9(5), pages 549-568, August.
  72. David Havrlant & Roman Hušek, 2011. "Models of Factors Driving the Czech Export," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2011(3), pages 195-215.
  73. Banerjee, Aniruddha, 2003. "Does incentive regulation 'cause' degradation of retail telephone service quality?," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 243-269, June.
  74. Han Lin Shang & Kaiying Ji & Ufuk Beyaztas, 2021. "Granger causality of bivariate stationary curve time series," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 626-635, July.
  75. Adolfo Sachsida & Mário Jorge Cardoso de Mendonça, 2006. "Domestic Saving and Investment Revised: Can the Feldstein-Horioka Equation be Used for Policy Analysis?," Discussion Papers 1158, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
  76. McCullough, B. D., 1997. "An analysis of stock market transactions data," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 887-903.
  77. Antonios Adamopoulos, 2010. "Financial development and economic growth. An empirical analysis for Ireland," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 3(1), pages 75-88, July.
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