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Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?
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Cited by:
- Marc Anderes & Alexander Rathke & Sina Streicher & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2021.
"The role of ECB communication in guiding markets,"
Public Choice, Springer, vol. 186(3), pages 351-383, March.
- Marc Anderes & Alexander Rathke & Sina Streicher & Filip Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2019. "The Role of ECB Communication in Guiding Markets," KOF Working papers 19-446, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Marc Anderes & Alexander Rathke & Sina Streicher & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2019. "The Role of ECB Communication in Guiding Markets," KOF Working papers 19-464, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-León, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021.
"Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?,"
Discussion Papers
48/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Working Paper Series 2604, European Central Bank.
- Marta Bañbura & Danilo Leiva-León & Jan-Oliver Menz, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation Forecasts?," Working Papers 2138, Banco de España.
- Bige Küçükefe, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation Using Summary Statistics of Survey Expectations: A Machine-Learning Approach," Ekonomi-tek - International Economics Journal, Turkish Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 1-16, January.
- Kose,Ayhan & Matsuoka,Hideaki & Panizza,Ugo G. & Vorisek,Dana Lauren, 2019.
"Inflation Expectations : Review and Evidence,"
Policy Research Working Paper Series
8785, The World Bank.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1904, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019. "Inflation expectations: Review and evidence," CAMA Working Papers 2019-29, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Matsuoka, Hideaki & Panizza, Ugo & Vorisek, Dana, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 13601, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Aßhoff, Sina & Belke, Ansgar & Osowski, Thomas, 2021.
"Unconventional monetary policy and inflation expectations in the Euro area,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Aßhoff, Sina & Belke, Ansgar & Osowski, Thomas, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy and inflation expectations in the euro area," Ruhr Economic Papers 837, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska L. Ohnsorge, 2019.
"Understanding inflation in emerging and developing economies,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-22, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ha,Jongrim & Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte, 2019. "Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8761, The World Bank.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Ha, Jongrim & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2019. "Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies," CEPR Discussion Papers 13608, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska L. Ohnsorge, 2019. "Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1902, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Fuest, Angela & Schmidt, Torsten, 2020. "Inflation expectation uncertainty in a New Keynesian framework," Ruhr Economic Papers 867, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Andrea Fracasso & Rocco Probo, 2017.
"When did inflation expectations in the Euro area de-anchor?,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(20), pages 1481-1485, November.
- Andrea Fracasso & Rocco Probo, 2016. "When did inflation expectations in the euro area de-anchor?," DEM Working Papers 2016/05, Department of Economics and Management.
- Fabian Eser & Peter Karadi & Philip R. Lane & Laura Moretti & Chiara Osbat, 2020.
"The Phillips Curve at the ECB,"
Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 88(S1), pages 50-85, September.
- Eser, Fabian & Karadi, Peter & Lane, Philip R. & Moretti, Laura & Osbat, Chiara, 2020. "The Phillips Curve at the ECB," Working Paper Series 2400, European Central Bank.
- Eser, Fabian & Lane, Philip & Moretti, Laura & Osbat, Chiara & Karadi, Peter, 2020. "The Phillips Curve at the ECB," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224627, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Álvarez, Luis J. & Correa-López, Mónica, 2020.
"Inflation expectations in euro area Phillips curves,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
- Luis J. Álvarez & Mónica Correa-López, 2020. "Inflation expectations in euro area Phillips curves," Occasional Papers 2018, Banco de España.
- Pedro Pires Ribeiro & José Dias Curto, 2018. "How do zero-coupon inflation swaps predict inflation rates in the euro area? Evidence of efficiency and accuracy on 1-year contracts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1451-1475, June.
- Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera, 2018.
"Inflation, real economic growth and unemployment expectations: an empirical analysis based on the ECB survey of professional forecasters,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(42), pages 4540-4555, September.
- María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2017. "Inflation, real economic growth and unemployment expectations: An empirical analysis based on the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Working Papers 17-02, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Extracting Information from Different Expectations," Working Papers 2020-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Berge, Travis J., 2018.
"Understanding survey-based inflation expectations,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 788-801.
- Travis J. Berge, 2017. "Understanding Survey Based Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-046, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Baumann, Ursel & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Westermann, Thomas & Riggi, Marianna & Bobeica, Elena & Meyler, Aidan & Böninghausen, Benjamin & Fritzer, Friedrich & Trezzi, Riccardo & Jonckheere, Jana & , 2021. "Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting," Occasional Paper Series 264, European Central Bank.
- Gobbi, Lucio & Mazzocchi, Ronny & Tamborini, Roberto, 2019.
"Monetary policy, de-anchoring of inflation expectations, and the “new normal”,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
- Lucio Gobbi & Ronny Mazzocchi & Roberto Tamborini, 2018. "Monetary policy, de-anchoring of inflation expectations, and the 'new normal'," DEM Working Papers 2018/04, Department of Economics and Management.
- Fuest, Angela & Schmidt, Torsten, 2017.
"Inflation expectation uncertainty, inflation and the output gap,"
Ruhr Economic Papers
673, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Schmidt, Torsten, 2018. "Inflation Expectation Uncertainty, Inflation and the Outputgap," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181575, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Pedro Mendes Garcia & José Valentim Machado Vicente, 2021. "Rationality and anchoring of inflation expectations: An assessment from survey‐based and market‐based measures," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 1027-1053, September.
- Hanoma, Ahmed & Nautz, Dieter, 2018. "The information content of inflation swap rates for the long-term inflation expectations of professionals: Evidence from a MIDAS analysis," Discussion Papers 2018/16, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Bobeica, Elena & Hartwig, Benny, 2023. "The COVID-19 shock and challenges for inflation modelling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 519-539.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Osbat, Chiara, 2017. "Low inflation in the euro area: Causes and consequences," Occasional Paper Series 181, European Central Bank.
- Jakob de Haan & Marco Hoeberichts & Renske Maas & Federica Teppa, 2016. "Inflation in the euro area and why it matters," DNB Occasional Studies 1403, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Bobeica, Elena & Hartwig, Benny, 2021. "The COVID-19 shock and challenges for time series models," Working Paper Series 2558, European Central Bank.
- Mr. Yasser Abdih & Ms. Li Lin & Anne-Charlotte Paret, 2018. "Understanding Euro Area Inflation Dynamics: Why So Low for So Long?," IMF Working Papers 2018/188, International Monetary Fund.
- Fernandes, Cecilia Melo, 2021. "ECB communication as a stabilization and coordination device: evidence from ex-ante inflation uncertainty," Working Paper Series 2582, European Central Bank.
- Ali Inayat, 2023. "Household Inflation Expectations Uncertainty: A Case for Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 28(1), pages 1-39, Jan-June.