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Risk, Uncertainty, and Expected Returns

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Yabei Zhu & Xingguo Luo & Qi Xu, 2023. "Industry variance risk premium, cross‐industry correlation, and expected returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(1), pages 3-32, January.
  2. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Jae H. Kim, 2022. "Stock return predictability: Evaluation based on interval forecasts," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(2), pages 363-385, April.
  3. Charles, Amelie & Darne, Olivier & Kim, Jae, 2016. "Stock Return Predictability: Evaluation based on Prediction Intervals," MPRA Paper 70143, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Rustam Jamilov & Hélène Rey & Ahmed Tahoun, 2021. "The Anatomy of Cyber Risk," NBER Working Papers 28906, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Wu, Lingke & Liu, Dehong & Yuan, Jianglei & Huang, Zhenhuan, 2022. "Implied volatility information of Chinese SSE 50 ETF options," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 609-624.
  6. Bardgett, Chris & Gourier, Elise & Leippold, Markus, 2019. "Inferring volatility dynamics and risk premia from the S&P 500 and VIX markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(3), pages 593-618.
  7. Chen, Jian & Jiang, Fuwei & Liu, Yangshu & Tu, Jun, 2017. "International volatility risk and Chinese stock return predictability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 183-203.
  8. Zalewska Justyna & Nehrebecka Natalia, 2019. "Liquidity and solvency of a company and the rate of return – an analysis of the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 6(53), pages 199-220, January.
  9. Hutchinson, Mark C. & O'Brien, John, 2020. "Time series momentum and macroeconomic risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  10. Nektarios Aslanidis & Charlotte Christiansen & Neophytos Lambertides & Christos S. Savva, 2019. "Idiosyncratic volatility puzzle: influence of macro-finance factors," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 52(2), pages 381-401, February.
  11. Yin, Libo & Su, Zhi & Lu, Man, 2022. "Is oil risk important for commodity-related currency returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  12. Bu, Ruijun & Fu, Xi & Jawadi, Fredj, 2019. "Does the volatility of volatility risk forecast future stock returns?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 16-36.
  13. Christoffersen, Peter & Pan, Xuhui (Nick), 2018. "Oil volatility risk and expected stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 5-26.
  14. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Balli, Faruk & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & de Bruin, Anne, 2020. "Energy commodity uncertainties and the systematic risk of US industries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  15. Thaddeus Neururer, 2020. "Past managerial guidance and returns to variance trading around earnings announcements," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(3), pages 2995-3031, September.
  16. Yin, Libo & Lu, Man, 2022. "Oil uncertainty and firms' risk-taking," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  17. Maaz Khan & Umar Nawaz Kayani & Mrestyal Khan & Khurrum Shahzad Mughal & Mohammad Haseeb, 2023. "COVID-19 Pandemic & Financial Market Volatility; Evidence from GARCH Models," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-20, January.
  18. Shafiullah, Muhammad & Senthilkumar, Arunachalam & Lucey, Brian M. & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2024. "Deciphering asymmetric spillovers in US industries: Insights from higher-order moments," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
  19. Michele Costola & Michael Donadelli & Luca Gerotto & Ivan Gufler, 2022. "Global risks, the macroeconomy, and asset prices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2357-2388, November.
  20. Dean Fantazzini & Stephan Zimin, 2020. "A multivariate approach for the simultaneous modelling of market risk and credit risk for cryptocurrencies," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 47(1), pages 19-69, March.
  21. Apergis, Nicholas & Lau, Chi Keung & Xu, Bing, 2023. "The impact of COVID-19 on stock market liquidity: Fresh evidence on listed Chinese firms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  22. Kostopoulos, Dimitrios & Meyer, Steffen & Uhr, Charline, 2020. "Ambiguity and investor behavior," SAFE Working Paper Series 297, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  23. Zhenxiong Li & Marwan Izzeldin & Xingzhi Yao, 2020. "Return predictability of variance differences: A fractionally cointegrated approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1072-1089, July.
  24. Roh, Tai-Yong & Byun, Suk Joon & Xu, Yahua, 2020. "Downside uncertainty shocks in the oil and gold markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 291-307.
  25. Wang, Pengfei & Li, Xiao & Shen, Dehua & Zhang, Wei, 2020. "How does economic policy uncertainty affect the bitcoin market?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
  26. Cipollini, Andrea & Lo Cascio, Iolanda & Muzzioli, Silvia, 2018. "Risk aversion connectedness in five European countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 68-79.
  27. K. Victor Chow & Wanjun Jiang & Bingxin Li & Jingrui Li, 2020. "Decomposing the VIX: Implications for the predictability of stock returns," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 645-668, November.
  28. Li, Wenhui & Ockenfels, Peter & Wilde, Christian, 2021. "The effect of ambiguity on price formation and trading behavior in financial markets," SAFE Working Paper Series 326, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  29. Shi, Yukun & Chen, Ding & Guo, Biao & Xu, Yaofei & Yan, Cheng, 2022. "The information content of CDS implied volatility and associated trading strategies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  30. Meyer, Steffen & Uhr, Charline, 2024. "Ambiguity and private investors’ behavior after forced fund liquidations," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
  31. Bouteska, Ahmed & Sharif, Taimur & Hajek, Petr & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2024. "Aversion and ambiguity: On the robustness of the macroeconomic uncertainty measure framework," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
  32. Zhou, Tong, 2021. "Ambiguity, asset illiquidity, and price variability," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 280-292.
  33. Tengfei Zhang, 2020. "Manager Uncertainty and Cross-Sectional Stock Returns," 2020 Papers pzh934, Job Market Papers.
  34. Nektarios Aslanidis & Charlotte Christiansen & Christos S. Savva, 2021. "Quantile Risk–Return Trade-Off," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-14, June.
  35. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Fabien Tripier, 2018. "Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from an uncertainty composite indicator," Post-Print hal-01757042, HAL.
  36. Hsuan‐Ling Chang & Yen‐Cheng Chang & Hung‐Wen Cheng & Po‐Hsiang Peng & Kevin Tseng, 2019. "Jump variance risk: Evidence from option valuation and stock returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 890-915, July.
  37. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Fabien Tripier, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy," Post-Print hal-01549625, HAL.
  38. Jerome L Kreuser & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Super-Exponential RE Bubble Model with Efficient Crashes," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 17-33, Swiss Finance Institute.
  39. Mete Kilic & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2019. "Good and Bad Variance Premia and Expected Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(6), pages 2522-2544, June.
  40. Pyun, Sungjune, 2019. "Variance risk in aggregate stock returns and time-varying return predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 150-174.
  41. Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars & Violante, Francesco, 2020. "Variance swap payoffs, risk premia and extreme market conditions," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 106-124.
  42. Hu, Zhijun & Kutan, Ali M. & Sun, Ping-Wen, 2018. "Is U.S. economic policy uncertainty priced in China's A-shares market? Evidence from market, industry, and individual stocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 207-220.
  43. Wang, Xi & Gao, Chao & Wang, Tianfu, 2024. "The price of firm-level information uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
  44. Hening Liu & Yuzhao Zhang, 2022. "Financial Uncertainty with Ambiguity and Learning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2120-2140, March.
  45. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Chen Tong, 2022. "Option Pricing with Time-Varying Volatility Risk Aversion," Papers 2204.06943, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
  46. Kostopoulos, Dimitrios & Meyer, Steffen & Uhr, Charline, 2022. "Ambiguity about volatility and investor behavior," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 277-296.
  47. Bams, Dennis & Blanchard, Gildas & Honarvar, Iman & Lehnert, Thorsten, 2017. "Does oil and gold price uncertainty matter for the stock market?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 270-285.
  48. Jiang, Fuwei & Kang, Jie & Meng, Lingchao, 2024. "Certainty of uncertainty for asset pricing," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  49. Mykola Babiak & Roman Kozhan, 2021. "Growth Uncertainty, Rational Learning, and Option Prices," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp682, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
  50. Li, Zhe & Shen, Jiashuang & Xiao, Weilin, 2024. "Volatility risk premium, good volatility and bad volatility: Evidence from SSE 50 ETF options," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  51. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Fabien Tripier, 2018. "Uncertainty and the macroeconomy: evidence from an uncertainty composite indicator," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(10), pages 1093-1107, February.
  52. González-Urteaga, Ana & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2017. "The joint cross-sectional variation of equity returns and volatilities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 17-34.
  53. Zacharias Sautner & Laurence Van Lent & Grigory Vilkov & Ruishen Zhang, 2023. "Firm‐Level Climate Change Exposure," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(3), pages 1449-1498, June.
  54. Chen, Steven Shu-Hsiu, 2024. "International crash risk premium," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  55. Feng, Jiabao & Wang, Yudong & Yin, Libo, 2017. "Oil volatility risk and stock market volatility predictability: Evidence from G7 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 240-254.
  56. Zhang, Teng & Xu, Zhiwei & Li, Jiaqi, 2023. "The asset pricing implications of global oil price uncertainty: Evidence from the cross-section of Chinese stock returns," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
  57. Jian Chen & Yangshu Liu, 2020. "Bid and ask prices of index put options: Which predicts the underlying stock returns?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(9), pages 1337-1353, September.
  58. Bams, Dennis & Blanchard, Gildas & Lehnert, Thorsten, 2017. "Volatility measures and Value-at-Risk," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 848-863.
  59. Hollstein, Fabian & Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno & Prokopczuk, Marcel, 2019. "Asset prices and “the devil(s) you know”," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 20-35.
  60. Li, Kaifeng & Xia, Bobo & Guo, Zhaoxuan, 2021. "A consumption-based asset pricing model with disappointment aversion and uncertainty shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 235-243.
  61. Kocaarslan, Baris & Soytas, Ugur, 2021. "Reserve currency and the volatility of clean energy stocks: The role of uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
  62. Cenesizoglu, Tolga, 2022. "Return decomposition over the business cycle," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  63. Yin, Libo & Feng, Jiabao & Liu, Li & Wang, Yudong, 2019. "It's not that important: The negligible effect of oil market uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 62-84.
  64. Bali, Turan G. & Brown, Stephen J. & Tang, Yi, 2017. "Is economic uncertainty priced in the cross-section of stock returns?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 471-489.
  65. Barras, Laurent & Malkhozov, Aytek, 2016. "Does variance risk have two prices? Evidence from the equity and option markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 79-92.
  66. Buss, Adrian & Vilkov, Grigory & ,, 2018. "Expected Correlation and Future Market Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 12760, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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