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Improving Quantitative Studies of International Conflict: A Conjecture

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Gleditsch Kristian Skrede, 2017. "Ornithology and Varieties of Conflict: A Personal Retrospective on Conflict Forecasting," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 23(4), pages 1-4, December.
  2. Samuel Bazzi & Robert A. Blair & Christopher Blattman & Oeindrila Dube & Matthew Gudgeon & Richard Peck, 2022. "The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 764-779, October.
  3. Kevin Sweeney & Omar M.G. Keshk, 2005. "the Similarity of States: Using S to Compute Dyadic Interest Similarity," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 22(2), pages 165-187, April.
  4. Lars-Erik Cederman & Mohan Penubarti Rao, 2001. "Exploring the Dynamics of the Democratic Peace," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 45(6), pages 818-833, December.
  5. Rangan Gupta & Alain Kabundi & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2010. "The Effect Of Defense Spending On Us Output: A Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression (Favar) Approach," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 135-147.
  6. Marie K. Schellens & Salim Belyazid, 2020. "Revisiting the Contested Role of Natural Resources in Violent Conflict Risk through Machine Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-29, August.
  7. Ruhe, Constantin, 2012. "Predicting atrocities. Statistically modeling violence against civilians during civil war," NEPS Working Papers 7/2012, Network of European Peace Scientists.
  8. Constantin Ruhe, 2021. "Impeding fatal violence through third-party diplomacy: The effect of mediation on conflict intensity," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 58(4), pages 687-701, July.
  9. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Shah, Zahra B., 2011. "An in-sample and out-of-sample empirical investigation of the nonlinearity in house prices of South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 891-899, May.
  10. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Monetary Policy and Housing Sector Dynamics in a Large-Scale Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 200913, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  11. Steven C. Poe & Nicolas Rost & Sabine C. Carey, 2006. "Assessing Risk and Opportunity in Conflict Studies," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 50(4), pages 484-507, August.
  12. Patrick T. Brandt & John R. Freeman & Philip A. Schrodt, 2011. "Real Time, Time Series Forecasting of Inter- and Intra-State Political Conflict," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 28(1), pages 41-64, February.
  13. Shawn C. McKay & Alok Chaturvedi & Douglas E. Adams, 2011. "A process for anticipating and shaping adversarial behavior," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 58(3), pages 255-280, April.
  14. Nils B. Weidmann & Michael D. Ward, 2010. "Predicting Conflict in Space and Time," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 54(6), pages 883-901, December.
  15. Nils B. Weidmann & Monica Duffy Toft, 2010. "Promises and Pitfalls in the Spatial Prediction of Ethnic Violence," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 27(2), pages 159-176, April.
  16. Beger, Andreas & Dorff, Cassy L. & Ward, Michael D., 2016. "Irregular leadership changes in 2014: Forecasts using ensemble, split-population duration models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 98-111.
  17. George W Williford & Douglas B Atkinson, 2020. "A Bayesian forecasting model of international conflict," The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation, , vol. 17(3), pages 235-242, July.
  18. James Lee Ray & Patrick Bentley, 2010. "Power Concentration and Interstate Conflict: Is There a Connection?," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 22(4), pages 407-429, October.
  19. D. Scott Bennett, 2006. "Exploring Operationalizations of Political Relevance," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 23(3), pages 245-261, July.
  20. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Stephen M. Miller & Dylan van Wyk, 2010. "Financial Market Liberalization, Monetary Policy, and Housing Price Dynamics," Working Papers 201009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  21. Brandt, Patrick T. & Freeman, John R. & Schrodt, Philip A., 2014. "Evaluating forecasts of political conflict dynamics," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 944-962.
  22. Jack A. Goldstone & Robert H. Bates & David L. Epstein & Ted Robert Gurr & Michael B. Lustik & Monty G. Marshall & Jay Ulfelder & Mark Woodward, 2010. "A Global Model for Forecasting Political Instability," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(1), pages 190-208, January.
  23. Jun Xiang, 2017. "Dyadic Effects, Relevance, and the Empirical Assessment of the Kantian Peace," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(2), pages 248-271, March.
  24. Gilian van den Hengel & Philip Hans Franses, 2020. "Forecasting Social Conflicts in Africa Using an Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence Model," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 2(3), pages 1-25, August.
  25. Macis, Luca & Tagliapietra, Marco & Meo, Rosa & Pisano, Paola, 2024. "Breaking the trend: Anomaly detection models for early warning of socio-political unrest," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
  26. Christopher Gelpi & Nazli Avdan, 2018. "Democracies at risk? A forecasting analysis of regime type and the risk of terrorist attack," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 35(1), pages 18-42, January.
  27. Oguzhan Turkoglu, 2022. "Supporting rebels and hosting refugees: Explaining the variation in refugee flows in civil conflicts," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 59(2), pages 136-149, March.
  28. D. Scott Bennett, 2011. "Is EUGene a Collective Bad?," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 28(4), pages 315-330, September.
  29. William D. Berry & Jacqueline H. R. DeMeritt & Justin Esarey, 2010. "Testing for Interaction in Binary Logit and Probit Models: Is a Product Term Essential?," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(1), pages 248-266, January.
  30. Felix Ettensperger, 2020. "Comparing supervised learning algorithms and artificial neural networks for conflict prediction: performance and applicability of deep learning in the field," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 567-601, April.
  31. Mearsheimer, John J. & Walt, Stephen M., 2013. "Leaving Theory Behind: Why Hypothesis Testing Has Become Bad for IR," Working Paper Series rwp13-001, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
  32. Faruk Balli & Hatice Ozer Balli & Mudassar Hasan & Russell Gregory-Allen, 2022. "Geopolitical risk spillovers and its determinants," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 68(2), pages 463-500, April.
  33. D. Scott Bennett & Allan C. Stam, 2000. "Research Design and Estimator Choices in the Analysis of Interstate Dyads," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 44(5), pages 653-685, October.
  34. Gerald Schneider & Nils Petter Gleditsch & Sabine Carey, 2011. "Forecasting in International Relations," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 28(1), pages 5-14, February.
  35. N Iswaran & D F Percy, 2010. "Conflict analysis using Bayesian neural networks and generalized linear models," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(2), pages 332-341, February.
  36. Sean P. O'Brien, 2002. "Anticipating the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 46(6), pages 791-811, December.
  37. repec:jss:jstsof:08:i02 is not listed on IDEAS
  38. Kristian Skrede Gleditsch & Idean Salehyan & Kenneth Schultz, 2008. "Fighting at Home, Fighting Abroad," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 52(4), pages 479-506, August.
  39. Böhmelt Tobias & Dworschak Christoph & Pilster Ulrich & Walterskirchen Julian, 2020. "A Cross-National Analysis of Forced Population Resettlement in Counterinsurgency Campaigns," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 26(1), pages 1-13, February.
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