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The Predictive Power of Zero Intelligence in Financial Markets

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Geoff Willis, 2011. "Pricing, liquidity and the control of dynamic systems in finance and economics," Papers 1105.5503, arXiv.org.
  2. Claude Montmarquette, 2008. "L'économétrie des données expérimentales : défis et opportunités," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 182(1), pages 7-17.
  3. Martin D. Gould & Mason A. Porter & Stacy Williams & Mark McDonald & Daniel J. Fenn & Sam D. Howison, 2013. "Limit order books," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(11), pages 1709-1742, November.
  4. Eric Smith & J Doyne Farmer & Laszlo Gillemot & Supriya Krishnamurthy, 2003. "Statistical theory of the continuous double auction," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(6), pages 481-514.
  5. Efstathios Panayi & Gareth Peters, 2015. "Stochastic simulation framework for the Limit Order Book using liquidity motivated agents," Papers 1501.02447, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2015.
  6. Efstathios Panayi & Gareth W. Peters, 2015. "Stochastic simulation framework for the limit order book using liquidity-motivated agents," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(02), pages 1-52.
  7. Zoltan Eisler & Janos Kertesz & Fabrizio Lillo & Rosario Mantegna, 2009. "Diffusive behavior and the modeling of characteristic times in limit order executions," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(5), pages 547-563.
  8. Ismael Lemhadri, 2018. "Market Impact in a Latent Order Book," Papers 1802.06101, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
  9. J. Emeterio Navarro-Barrientos & Frank E. Walter & Frank Schweitzer, 2008. "Risk-Seeking Versus Risk-Avoiding Investments In Noisy Periodic Environments," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(06), pages 971-994.
  10. Juan C. Henao-Londono & Sebastian M. Krause & Thomas Guhr, 2021. "Price response functions and spread impact in correlated financial markets," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 94(4), pages 1-20, April.
  11. Alan G. Isaac, 2019. "Exploring the Social-Architecture Model," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 565-589, October.
  12. Martin D. Gould & Julius Bonart, 2015. "Queue Imbalance as a One-Tick-Ahead Price Predictor in a Limit Order Book," Papers 1512.03492, arXiv.org.
  13. Leal, Sandrine Jacob & Napoletano, Mauro, 2019. "Market stability vs. market resilience: Regulatory policies experiments in an agent-based model with low- and high-frequency trading," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 15-41.
  14. Wei-Xing Zhou, 2012. "Universal price impact functions of individual trades in an order-driven market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(8), pages 1253-1263, June.
  15. Frank McGroarty & Ash Booth & Enrico Gerding & V. L. Raju Chinthalapati, 2019. "High frequency trading strategies, market fragility and price spikes: an agent based model perspective," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 282(1), pages 217-244, November.
  16. Gao-Feng Gu & Xiong Xiong & Hai-Chuan Xu & Wei Zhang & Yongjie Zhang & Wei Chen & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2021. "An empirical behavioral order-driven model with price limit rules," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-24, December.
  17. Martin D. Gould & Mason A. Porter & Stacy Williams & Mark McDonald & Daniel J. Fenn & Sam D. Howison, 2010. "Limit Order Books," Papers 1012.0349, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
  18. Jim Gatheral & Roel Oomen, 2010. "Zero-intelligence realized variance estimation," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 249-283, April.
  19. Mikhail V. Oet & John M. Dooley & Stephen J. Ong, 2015. "The Financial Stress Index: Identification of Systemic Risk Conditions," Risks, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-25, September.
  20. Sylvain Delattre & Christian Y. Robert & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2013. "Estimating the efficient price from the order flow: a Brownian Cox process approach," Papers 1301.3114, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
  21. Z. Sun & P. A. Hamill & Y. Li & Y. C. Yang & S. A. Vigne, 2019. "Did long-memory of liquidity signal the European sovereign debt crisis?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 282(1), pages 355-377, November.
  22. Iori, G. & Porter, J., 2012. "Agent-Based Modelling for Financial Markets," Working Papers 12/08, Department of Economics, City University London.
  23. Dieter Gramlich & Mikhail V. Oet & Stephen J. Ong, 2013. "Policy in adaptive financial markets—the use of systemic risk early warning tools," Working Papers (Old Series) 1309, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  24. Alexandru Mandes, 2014. "Order Placement in a Continuous Double Auction Agent Based Model," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201443, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  25. Alessio Emanuele Biondo, 2018. "Order book microstructure and policies for financial stability," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 35(1), pages 196-218, March.
  26. J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2008. "The virtues and vices of equilibrium and the future of financial economics," Papers 0803.2996, arXiv.org.
  27. Caetano, Marco Antonio Leonel & Yoneyama, Takashi, 2011. "A model for the evaluation of systemic risk in stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(12), pages 2368-2374.
  28. Roberto Mota Navarro & Hern'an Larralde Ridaura, 2016. "A detailed heterogeneous agent model for a single asset financial market with trading via an order book," Papers 1601.00229, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2016.
  29. Willis, Geoff, 2011. "Why money trickles up – wealth & income distributions," MPRA Paper 30851, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  30. Ivan Jericevich & Patrick Chang & Tim Gebbie, 2021. "Simulation and estimation of a point-process market-model with a matching engine," Papers 2105.02211, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
  31. Mike, Szabolcs & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2008. "An empirical behavioral model of liquidity and volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 200-234, January.
  32. Mark Paddrik & Roy Hayes & William Scherer & Peter Beling, 2017. "Effects of limit order book information level on market stability metrics," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 12(2), pages 221-247, July.
  33. Andre Cardoso Barato & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Marco Bardoscia & Matteo Marsili, 2011. "Impact of meta-order in the Minority Game," Papers 1112.3908, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2012.
  34. Wang, Shilei, 2013. "Dynamical trading mechanisms in limit order markets," Algorithmic Finance, IOS Press, vol. 2(3-4), pages 213-231.
  35. Frederik Meudt & Thilo A. Schmitt & Rudi Schafer & Thomas Guhr, 2015. "Equilibrium Pricing in an Order Book Environment: Case Study for a Spin Model," Papers 1502.01125, arXiv.org.
  36. Gu, Gao-Feng & Chen, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2008. "Empirical regularities of order placement in the Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(13), pages 3173-3182.
  37. Julius Bonart & Martin D. Gould, 2017. "Latency and liquidity provision in a limit order book," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(10), pages 1601-1616, October.
  38. Garud Iyengar & Anuj Kumar, 2006. "An equilibrium model for matching impatient demand and patient supply over time," Papers cs/0612065, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2007.
  39. Jasmina Hasanhodzic & Andrew Lo & Emanuele Viola, 2011. "A computational view of market efficiency," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(7), pages 1043-1050.
  40. Ismael Lemhadri, 2018. "Market impact in a latent order book," Working Papers hal-01711192, HAL.
  41. Matthieu Wyart & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Julien Kockelkoren & Marc Potters & Michele Vettorazzo, 2006. "Relation between Bid-Ask Spread, Impact and Volatility in Double Auction Markets," Papers physics/0603084, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2007.
  42. Ponta, Linda & Raberto, Marco & Teglio, Andrea & Cincotti, Silvano, 2018. "An Agent-based Stock-flow Consistent Model of the Sustainable Transition in the Energy Sector," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 274-300.
  43. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/3utlh0ehcn860pus6p2p683ade is not listed on IDEAS
  44. Ioanid Rosu, 2009. "A Dynamic Model of the Limit Order Book," Post-Print hal-00515873, HAL.
  45. Navarro-Barrientos, Jesús Emeterio & Cantero-Álvarez, Rubén & Matias Rodrigues, João F. & Schweitzer, Frank, 2008. "Investments in random environments," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(8), pages 2035-2046.
  46. Biondo, Alessio Emanuele, 2017. "Learning to forecast, risk aversion, and microstructural aspects of financial stability," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-104, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  47. David Rushing Dewhurst & Michael Vincent Arnold & Colin Michael Van Oort, 2018. "Selection mechanisms affect volatility in evolving markets," Papers 1812.05657, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2019.
  48. Paola Tubaro, 2009. "Is individual rationality essential to market price formation? The contribution of zero-intelligence agent trading models," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 1-19.
  49. Richard Bookstaber & Michael D. Foley & Brian F. Tivnan, 2015. "Market Liquidity and Heterogeneity in the Investor Decision Cycle," Working Papers 15-03, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
  50. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2021. "The Inelastic Market Hypothesis: A Microstructural Interpretation," Papers 2108.00242, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  51. Biondo, Alessio Emanuele, 2018. "Learning to forecast, risk aversion, and microstructural aspects of financial stability," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 12, pages 1-21.
  52. Neil McCulloch & Grazia Pacillo, 2010. "The Tobin Tax A Review of the Evidence," Working Paper Series 1611, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
  53. Georges, Christophre, 2008. "Staggered updating in an artificial financial market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 2809-2825, September.
  54. J. Doyne Farmer & Austin Gerig & Fabrizio Lillo & Henri Waelbroeck, 2013. "How efficiency shapes market impact," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(11), pages 1743-1758, November.
  55. Delattre, Sylvain & Robert, Christian Y. & Rosenbaum, Mathieu, 2013. "Estimating the efficient price from the order flow: A Brownian Cox process approach," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(7), pages 2603-2619.
  56. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2020. "Endogenous Liquidity Crises," Working Papers hal-02567495, HAL.
  57. Blake LeBaron & Ryuichi Yamamoto, 2008. "The Impact of Imitation on Long Memory in an Order-Driven Market," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 34(4), pages 504-517.
  58. Matthieu Wyart & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Julien Kockelkoren & Marc Potters & Michele Vettorazzo, 2008. "Relation between bid-ask spread, impact and volatility in order-driven markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 41-57.
  59. Olivier Guéant, 2016. "The Financial Mathematics of Market Liquidity: From Optimal Execution to Market Making," Post-Print hal-01393136, HAL.
  60. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/3utlh0ehcn860pus6p2p683ade is not listed on IDEAS
  61. Dave Cliff, 2021. "Parameterised-Response Zero-Intelligence Traders," Papers 2103.11341, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
  62. Ivan Jericevich & Patrick Chang & Tim Gebbie, 2021. "Simulation and estimation of an agent-based market-model with a matching engine," Papers 2108.07806, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
  63. Feldman, Todd, 2010. "Portfolio manager behavior and global financial crises," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 192-202, August.
  64. Wright, Ian, 2009. "Implicit Microfoundations for Macroeconomics," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-27.
  65. Nik Alexandrov & Dave Cliff & Charlie Figuero, 2021. "Exploring Coevolutionary Dynamics of Competitive Arms-Races Between Infinitely Diverse Heterogenous Adaptive Automated Trader-Agents," Papers 2109.10429, arXiv.org.
  66. Damian Eduardo Taranto & Giacomo Bormetti & Fabrizio Lillo, 2014. "The adaptive nature of liquidity taking in limit order books," Papers 1403.0842, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2014.
  67. Wang, Yougui & Stanley, H.E., 2009. "Statistical approach to partial equilibrium analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(7), pages 1173-1180.
  68. Julius Bonart & Fabrizio Lillo, 2016. "A continuous and efficient fundamental price on the discrete order book grid," Papers 1608.00756, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2016.
  69. Olivier Brandouy & Angelo Corelli & Iryna Veryzhenko & Roger Waldeck, 2012. "A re-examination of the “zero is enough” hypothesis in the emergence of financial stylized facts," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 7(2), pages 223-248, October.
  70. Riedler, Jesper & Brueckbauer, Frank, 2017. "Evaluating regulation within an artificial financial system: A framework and its application to the liquidity coverage ratio regulation," ZEW Discussion Papers 17-022, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  71. LeBaron, Blake, 2006. "Agent-based Computational Finance," Handbook of Computational Economics, in: Leigh Tesfatsion & Kenneth L. Judd (ed.), Handbook of Computational Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 24, pages 1187-1233, Elsevier.
  72. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Vygintas Gontis, 2014. "Herding interactions as an opportunity to prevent extreme events in financial markets," Papers 1409.8024, arXiv.org, revised May 2015.
  73. Iacopo Mastromatteo & Bence Toth & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2013. "Agent-based models for latent liquidity and concave price impact," Papers 1311.6262, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2014.
  74. Emmanuel Bacry & Jean-Fran�ois Muzy, 2014. "Hawkes model for price and trades high-frequency dynamics," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(7), pages 1147-1166, July.
  75. Xintong Wang & Christopher Hoang & Yevgeniy Vorobeychik & Michael P. Wellman, 2021. "Spoofing the Limit Order Book: A Strategic Agent-Based Analysis," Games, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-43, May.
  76. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2019. "Endogenous Liquidity Crises," Papers 1912.00359, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
  77. James Sprigg & Mark Ehlen, 2007. "Comparative dynamics in an overlapping-generations model: the effects of quasi-rational discrete choice on finding and maintaining Nash equilibrium," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 29(1), pages 69-96, February.
  78. Szabolcs Mike & J. Doyne Farmer, 2005. "An empirical behavioral model of price formation," Papers physics/0509194, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2005.
  79. Wei Cui & Anthony Brabazon & Michael O'Neill, 2011. "Dynamic trade execution: a grammatical evolution approach," International Journal of Financial Markets and Derivatives, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(1/2), pages 4-31.
  80. James Paulin & Anisoara Calinescu & Michael Wooldridge, 2018. "Understanding Flash Crash Contagion and Systemic Risk: A Micro-Macro Agent-Based Approach," Papers 1805.08454, arXiv.org.
  81. Svitlana Vyetrenko & David Byrd & Nick Petosa & Mahmoud Mahfouz & Danial Dervovic & Manuela Veloso & Tucker Hybinette Balch, 2019. "Get Real: Realism Metrics for Robust Limit Order Book Market Simulations," Papers 1912.04941, arXiv.org.
  82. Flaminio Squazzoni, 2010. "The impact of agent-based models in the social sciences after 15 years of incursions," History of Economic Ideas, Fabrizio Serra Editore, Pisa - Roma, vol. 18(2), pages 197-234.
  83. Richard Bookstaber & Mark Paddrik, 2015. "An Agent-Based Model of Liquidity," Working Papers 15-18, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
  84. Lijian Wei & Wei Zhang & Xue-Zhong He & Yongjie Zhang, 2013. "Learning and Information Dissemination in Limit Order Markets," Research Paper Series 333, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  85. Bonart, Julius & Lillo, Fabrizio, 2018. "A continuous and efficient fundamental price on the discrete order book grid," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 698-713.
  86. Xuan Zhou & Honggang Li, 2019. "Buying on Margin and Short Selling in an Artificial Double Auction Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(4), pages 1473-1489, December.
  87. Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2017. "Econophysics and Financial Economics: An Emerging Dialogue," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780190205034.
  88. Paolo Barucca & Fabrizio Lillo, 2017. "Behind the price: on the role of agent's reflexivity in financial market microstructure," Papers 1708.07047, arXiv.org.
  89. E. Bacry & J. F Muzy, 2013. "Hawkes model for price and trades high-frequency dynamics," Papers 1301.1135, arXiv.org.
  90. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & J. Doyne Farmer & Fabrizio Lillo, 2008. "How markets slowly digest changes in supply and demand," Papers 0809.0822, arXiv.org.
  91. Andrea Coletta & Matteo Prata & Michele Conti & Emanuele Mercanti & Novella Bartolini & Aymeric Moulin & Svitlana Vyetrenko & Tucker Balch, 2021. "Towards Realistic Market Simulations: a Generative Adversarial Networks Approach," Papers 2110.13287, arXiv.org.
  92. Brian Tivnan & Matthew Koehler & Matthew McMahon & Matthew Olson & Neal Rothleder & Rajani Shenoy, 2011. "Adding to the Regulator's Toolbox: Integration and Extension of Two Leading Market Models," Papers 1105.5439, arXiv.org.
  93. Noemi Schmitt & Ivonne Schwartz & Frank Westerhoff, 2022. "Heterogeneous speculators and stock market dynamics: a simple agent-based computational model," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(13-15), pages 1263-1282, October.
  94. Marco Bartolozzi, 2010. "A Multi Agent Model for the Limit Order Book Dynamics," Papers 1005.0182, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2010.
  95. Erhan Bayraktar & Ulrich Horst & Ronnie Sircar, 2007. "Queueing Theoretic Approaches to Financial Price Fluctuations," Papers math/0703832, arXiv.org.
  96. Mitoko, Jeremiah, 2021. "Economics of Microcredit-From current crisis to new possibilities," MPRA Paper 108392, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  97. Torsten Trimborn & Philipp Otte & Simon Cramer & Maximilian Beikirch & Emma Pabich & Martin Frank, 2020. "SABCEMM: A Simulator for Agent-Based Computational Economic Market Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(2), pages 707-744, February.
  98. Daniel Fricke & Austin Gerig, 2018. "Too fast or too slow? Determining the optimal speed of financial markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 519-532, April.
  99. Hai-Chuan Xu & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2016. "Immediate price impact of a stock and its warrant: Power-law or logarithmic model?," Papers 1611.04091, arXiv.org.
  100. J. Doyne Farmer & Fabrizio Lillo, 2003. "On the origin of power law tails in price fluctuations," Papers cond-mat/0309416, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2004.
  101. Iris Lucas & Michel Cotsaftis & Cyrille Bertelle, 2017. "Heterogeneity and Self-Organization of Complex Systems Through an Application to Financial Market with Multiagent Systems," Post-Print hal-02114933, HAL.
  102. Georges, Christophre & Wallace, John C., 2009. "Learning Dynamics And Nonlinear Misspecification In An Artificial Financial Market," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(5), pages 625-655, November.
  103. Sandrine Jacob Leal & Mauro Napoletano, 2017. "Market Stability vs. Market Resilience: Regulatory Policies Experiments in an Agent-Based Model with Low- and High-Frequency Trading," Post-Print hal-01768876, HAL.
  104. A. E. Biondo & A. Pluchino & A. Rapisarda & D. Helbing, 2013. "Are random trading strategies more successful than technical ones?," Papers 1303.4351, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2013.
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  106. Ioanid Rosu, 2009. "A Dynamic Model of the Limit Order Book," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(11), pages 4601-4641, November.
  107. Martin D. Gould & Mason A. Porter & Sam D. Howison, 2015. "Quasi-Centralized Limit Order Books," Papers 1502.00680, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2016.
  108. LeBaron, Blake & Yamamoto, Ryuichi, 2007. "Long-memory in an order-driven market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 383(1), pages 85-89.
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