IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/zewdip/9312.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Die Bewertung des DAX-Futures: Der Einfluß von Dividenden

Author

Listed:
  • Kempf, Alexander
  • Spengel, Christoph

Abstract

Der folgende Beitrag analysiert die Auswirkungen von Dividendenzahlungen auf den arbitragefreien Kurs eines DAX-Futures. Es zeigt sich, daß die klassische Formel der Cash&Carry-Arbitrage für die Bewertung des DAX-Futures nicht sachgerecht ist, da steuerliche Effekte aus Dividendenzahlungen berücksichtigt werden müssen. Der arbitragefreie Futureskurs kann deshalb nur in Abhängigkeit von individuellen Merkmalen des Investors (z.B. Rechtsform, Einkommen, Ansässigkeitsstaat) bestimmt werden. Eine anlegerspezifische Bewertungsformel wird abgeleitet. ; The following article analyses the impact of dividends on the fair value of the German DAX-future. It is shown that the well-known cash&carry-formula cannot be used for the valuation of the DAX-future due to tax effects of dividend payments. Therefore the arbitragefree futures price depends on personal characteristics of the investor such as legal form, income, and state of residence. A formula for the arbitragefree futures price with regard to these characteristics is derived.

Suggested Citation

  • Kempf, Alexander & Spengel, Christoph, 1993. "Die Bewertung des DAX-Futures: Der Einfluß von Dividenden," ZEW Discussion Papers 93-12, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:9312
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/29423/1/256898723.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jacobs, Otto H. & Spengel, Christoph, 1992. "Besteuerung verbundener Unternehmen und Finanzierung: Die steuerliche Behandlung der nationalen und grenzüberschreitenden Beteiligungs- und Fremdfinanzierung von Kapitalgesellschaften in Deutschland, ," ZEW Discussion Papers 92-04, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    2. Richard, Scott F. & Sundaresan, M., 1981. "A continuous time equilibrium model of forward prices and futures prices in a multigood economy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 347-371, December.
    3. Robert A. JARROW & George S. OLDFIELD, 2008. "Forward Contracts And Futures Contracts," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 11, pages 237-246, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Bradford Cornell & Kenneth R. French, 1983. "The pricing of stock index futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(1), pages 1-14, March.
    5. Cornell, Bradford & Reinganum, Marc R, 1981. "Forward and Futures Prices: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(5), pages 1035-1045, December.
    6. Cox, John C. & Ingersoll, Jonathan Jr. & Ross, Stephen A., 1981. "The relation between forward prices and futures prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 321-346, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fink, Christopher & Theissen, Erik, 2014. "Dividend taxation and DAX futures prices," CFR Working Papers 14-08, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stanescu, Silvia & Tunaru, Radu & Candradewi, Made Reina, 2014. "Forward–futures price differences in the UK commercial property market: Arbitrage and marking-to-model explanations," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 177-188.
    2. Joshua V. Rosenberg & Leah G. Traub, 2006. "Price discovery in the foreign currency futures and spot market," Staff Reports 262, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    3. Suresh M. Sundaresan, 2000. "Continuous‐Time Methods in Finance: A Review and an Assessment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 1569-1622, August.
    4. Jack S. K. Chang & Jean C. H. Loo & Carolyn C. Wu Chang, 1990. "The Pricing Of Futures Contracts And The Arbitrage Pricing Theory," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 13(4), pages 297-306, December.
    5. Berglund, T. & Kabir, R., 1995. "What explains the difference between the futures' price and its "fair" value? : evidence from the european options exchange," Other publications TiSEM 323234f7-ff9e-46bb-aa61-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    6. Garry J. Twite, 1993. "Effect of Stochastic Interest Rates on the Pricing of SPI Futures Contracts," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 17(2), pages 259-269, December.
    7. Gupta, Anurag & Subrahmanyam, Marti G., 2000. "An empirical examination of the convexity bias in the pricing of interest rate swaps," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 239-279, February.
    8. Hodrick, Robert J. & Srivastava, Sanjay, 1987. "Foreign currency futures," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1-2), pages 1-24, February.
    9. Wimschulte, Jens, 2010. "The futures and forward price differential in the Nordic electricity market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(8), pages 4731-4733, August.
    10. Yen, Simon & Wang, Jai Jen, 2009. "Information-time based futures pricing," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(18), pages 3826-3836.
    11. Robert W. Kolb & Gerald D. Gay, 1985. "A Pricing Anomaly In Treasury Bill Futures," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 8(2), pages 157-167, June.
    12. Wiener, Zvi & Benninga, Simon & Protopapadakis, Aris, 2000. "Limiting differences between forward and futures prices in a Lucas consumption model," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 151-161, June.
    13. Douglas Foster, F. & Lee, Adrian D. & Liu, Wai-Man, 2019. "CFDs, forwards, futures and the cost-of-carry," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 183-198.
    14. Carolyn W. Chang & Jack S. K. Chang & Hsing Fang, 1996. "Optimal Futures Hedge With Marking-To-Market And Stochastic Interest Rates," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 309-326, September.
    15. Annie Koh & Richard M. Levich, 1989. "Synthetic Eurocurrency Interest Rate Futures Contracts: Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 3055, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Lin, James Wuh, 1996. "Arbitrage, carrying costs, and inflation: A reexamination of market efficiency in treasury bill futures," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 207-222.
    17. Berglund, T. & Kabir, M.R., 2003. "What explains the difference between the futures' price and its "fair" value? Evidence from the Euronext Amsterdam," Other publications TiSEM ec81c70e-739d-4b03-be66-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    18. Lioui, Abraham, 1998. "Currency risk hedging: Futures vs. forward," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 61-81, January.
    19. THOMAS H. McCURDY & IEUAN G. MORGAN, 1992. "Single Beta Models and Currency Futures Prices," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 68(S1), pages 117-129, December.
    20. Bakshi, Gurdip & Crosby, John & Gao, Xiaohui & Hansen, Jorge W., 2023. "Treasury option returns and models with unspanned risks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:9312. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/zemande.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.