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What drives carbon emissions in German manufacturing: Scale, technique or composition?

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  • Rottner, Elisa
  • von Graevenitz, Kathrine

Abstract

Drastic emission reductions are necessary to combat climate change. However, despite several climate policies, carbon emissions from German manufacturing have actually increased between 2005 and 2017. In this paper, we provide evidence of how the policy mix overall has affected the German manufacturing sector in its entirety. Using detailed administrative micro-data at the product-level, we decompose changes in carbon emissions between 2005 and 2017 into scale, composition (changes in the mix of goods produced) and technology (emission factors of production) effects. We find that much of the increase in carbon emissions is due to an increase in manufacturing's production scale. Relative to the strong output growth, our analysis reveals a clean-up of manufacturing of 9 %. This clean-up is exclusively due to a shift towards a cleaner product composition from 2011 onwards, while production technique has mostly become dirtier. The results display substantial sectoral heterogeneity and are largely driven by the most energy and emission intensive sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Rottner, Elisa & von Graevenitz, Kathrine, 2022. "What drives carbon emissions in German manufacturing: Scale, technique or composition?," ZEW Discussion Papers 21-027, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, revised 2022.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:21027
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Petrick, Sebastian & Wagner, Ulrich J., 2014. "The impact of carbon trading on industry: Evidence from German manufacturing firms," Kiel Working Papers 1912, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Joseph S. Shapiro & Reed Walker, 2018. "Why Is Pollution from US Manufacturing Declining? The Roles of Environmental Regulation, Productivity, and Trade," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(12), pages 3814-3854, December.
    3. Arik Levinson, 2009. "Technology, International Trade, and Pollution from US Manufacturing," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(5), pages 2177-2192, December.
    4. Forslid, Rikard & Okubo, Toshihiro & Ulltveit-Moe, Karen Helene, 2018. "Why are firms that export cleaner? International trade, abatement and environmental emissions," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 166-183.
    5. Petrick, Sebastian, 2013. "Carbon efficiency, technology, and the role of innovation patterns: Evidence from German plant-level microdata," Kiel Working Papers 1833, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    6. Claire Brunel, 2017. "Pollution Offshoring and Emission Reductions in EU and US Manufacturing," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 68(3), pages 621-641, November.
    7. von Graevenitz, Kathrine & Rottner, Elisa, 2020. "Energy use patterns in German manufacturing since 2003," ZEW Discussion Papers 20-008, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    8. Ederington Josh & Levinson Arik & Minier Jenny, 2004. "Trade Liberalization and Pollution Havens," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 4(2), pages 1-24, November.
    9. Nouri Najjar & Jevan Cherniwchan, 2021. "Environmental Regulations and the Cleanup of Manufacturing: Plant-Level Evidence," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 103(3), pages 476-491, July.
    10. Flues, Florens & Lutz, Benjamin Johannes, 2015. "The effect of electricity taxation on the German manufacturing sector: A regression discontinuity approach," ZEW Discussion Papers 15-013, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
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    Cited by:

    1. Robin Sogalla & Joschka Wanner & Yuta Watabe, 2024. "New Trade Models, Same Old Emissions?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2077, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Sogalla, Robin & Wanner, Joschka & Watabe, Yuta, 2024. "New trade models, same old emissions?," Kiel Working Papers 2267, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Polina Ustyuzhanina, 2022. "Decomposition of air pollution emissions from Swedish manufacturing," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 24(2), pages 195-223, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Carbon emissions; Climate Policy; Statistical Decomposition; Manufacturing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • L60 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - General
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy

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