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International trade and real transmission channels of financial shocks in globalized production networks

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  • Escaith, Hubert
  • Gonguet, Fabien

Abstract

Because individual firms are interdependent and rely on each other, either as supplier of intermediate goods or client for their own production, an exogenous financial shock affecting a single firm, such as the termination of a line of credit, reverberates through the productive chain. The transmission of the initial financial shock through real channels is tracked by modelling input-output interactions. The paper indicates that when banks operate at the limit of their institutional capacity, defined by the capital adequacy ratio, and if assets are priced to market, then a resonance effect amplifies the back and forth transmission between real and monetary circuits. The paper illustrates the proposed methodology by computing a supply-driven indicator (IRSIC) and indirect demand-driven impacts on five interconnected economies of different characteristics: China, Japan, Malaysia, Thailand and the United States.

Suggested Citation

  • Escaith, Hubert & Gonguet, Fabien, 2009. "International trade and real transmission channels of financial shocks in globalized production networks," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2009-06, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:wtowps:ersd200906
    DOI: 10.30875/4d900fbc-en
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Escaith, Hubert & Lindenberg, Nannette & Miroudot, Sébastien, 2010. "International Supply Chains and Trade Elasticity in Times of Global Crisis," MPRA Paper 20478, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Georgescu, George, 2013. "România în perioada post-criză: investiţiile străine directe şi efecte asupra echilibrului financiar extern [Romania in post-crisis period: foreign direct investments and effects on external financ," MPRA Paper 46531, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Hubert Escaith & Fabien Gonguet, 2011. "International Trade and Real Transmission Channels of Financial Shocks in Global Production Networks: An Asian–USA Perspective," Chapters, in: Satoshi Inomata (ed.), Asia Beyond the Global Economic Crisis, chapter 3, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. Escaith, Hubert, 2009. "Trade Collapse, Trade Relapse and Global Production Networks: Supply Chains in the Great Recession," MPRA Paper 18274, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Ricardo Arguello C.a, 2009. "Latin America and the international economic CRISIS: THE TRADE CHANNEL," Economía, Gestión y Desarrollo 9340, Universidad Javeriana - Cali.
    6. Tulus T.H. Tambunan, 2012. "Trade response to economic shocks in Indonesia," E3 Journal of Business Management and Economics., E3 Journals, vol. 3(8), pages 283-300.
    7. Arguello C., Ricardo, 2009. "The International Economic Crisis, the Trade Channel, and the Colombian Economy," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, August.
    8. Porzecanski, Arturo C., 2009. "Latin America: The Missing Financial Crisis," MPRA Paper 18780, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Bo Meng & Satoshi Inomata, 2011. "Impact of the Global Economic Crisis on Employment in the Asia-Pacific Region," Chapters, in: Satoshi Inomata (ed.), Asia Beyond the Global Economic Crisis, chapter 2, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    10. Jinjarak, Yothin, 2013. "Supply Chains and Credit-Market Shocks: Some Implications for Emerging Markets," ADBI Working Papers 443, Asian Development Bank Institute.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    international supply chains; monetary circuit; real linkages; transmission channels of financial shock; Asian International Input-Output Tables;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure

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