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Beta-boosted ensemble for big credit scoring data

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  • Zieba, Maciej
  • Härdle, Wolfgang Karl

Abstract

In this work we present a novel ensemble model for a credit scoring problem. The main idea of the approach is to incorporate separate beta binomial distributions for each of the classes to generate balanced datasets that are further used to construct base learners that constitute the final ensemble model. The sampling procedure is performed on two separate ranking lists, each for one class, where the ranking is based on prepotency of observing positive class. Two strategies are considered: one assumes mining easy examples and the second one forces good classification of hard cases. The proposed solutions are tested on two big datasets on credit scoring.

Suggested Citation

  • Zieba, Maciej & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2016. "Beta-boosted ensemble for big credit scoring data," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2016-052, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:sfb649:sfb649dp2016-052
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Prastyo, Dedy Dwi & Hafner, Christian, 2012. "Support vector machines with evolutionary feature selection for default prediction," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2012-030, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    2. Ligang Zhou & Kin Keung Lai & Jerome Yen, 2009. "Credit Scoring Models With Auc Maximization Based On Weighted Svm," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(04), pages 677-696.
    3. Shiyi Chen & W. K. Hardle & R. A. Moro, 2011. "Modeling default risk with support vector machines," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 135-154.
    4. Wolfgang Härdle & Yuh-Jye Lee & Dorothea Schäfer & Yi-Ren Yeh, 2009. "Variable selection and oversampling in the use of smooth support vector machines for predicting the default risk of companies," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(6), pages 512-534.
    5. Shiyi Chen & Wolfgang K. Härdle & Kiho Jeong, 2010. "Forecasting volatility with support vector machine-based GARCH model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(4), pages 406-433.
    6. Martens, David & Baesens, Bart & Van Gestel, Tony & Vanthienen, Jan, 2007. "Comprehensible credit scoring models using rule extraction from support vector machines," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 183(3), pages 1466-1476, December.
    7. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Prastyo, Dedy Dwi & Hafner, Christian, 2012. "Support vector machines with evolutionary feature selection for default prediction," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2012-030, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    8. Koutanaei, Fatemeh Nemati & Sajedi, Hedieh & Khanbabaei, Mohammad, 2015. "A hybrid data mining model of feature selection algorithms and ensemble learning classifiers for credit scoring," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 11-23.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit scoring; ensemble model; beta distribution; Beta boost; big data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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