Forecasting with macroeconometric models: A report from the trenches
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Heilemann, Ullrich & Wolters, Jürgen (ed.), 1998. "Gesamtwirtschaftliche Modelle in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland: Erfahrungen und Perspektiven," RWI Schriften, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, volume 61, number 61.
- Victor Zarnowitz, 1992. "Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number zarn92-1, February.
- Arbeitsgemeinschaft deutscher wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute, 1998. "Die Lage der Weltwirtschaft und der deutschen Wirtschaft im Herbst 1998," HWWA Reports 185, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
- Michael Sapir, 1949. "Review of Economic Forecasts for the Transition Period," NBER Chapters, in: Studies in Income and Wealth, Volume 11, pages 273-368, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Gyrgy Barabas & Ullrich Heilemann, 2000. "Sample Selection Problems In A Macroeconometric Model Context -- Some Further Results," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 141, Society for Computational Economics.
- Unknown, 1998. "Die Lage der Weltwirtschaft und der deutschen Wirtschaft im Herbst 1998," Report Series 26065, Hamburg Institute of International Economics.
- Alan S. Blinder, 1992. "Deja vu all over again: commentary," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, pages 189-196.
- Michael K. Evans & Yoel Haitovsky & George I. Treyz & Vincent Su, 1972. "An Analysis of the Forecasting Properties of U.S. Econometric Models," NBER Chapters, in: Econometric Models of Cyclical Behavior, Volumes 1 and 2, pages 949-1158, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Heilemann, Ullrich, 2002. "Increasing the transparency of macroeconometric forecasts: a report from the trenches," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 85-105.
- Lehment, Harmen, 1999. "Zur Bestimmung des beschäftigungsneutralen Lohnerhöhungsspielraums," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 2262, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Neu, Axel D., 1999. "Die Gaswirtschaft im Zeichen von Wettbewerb und Umwelt: Perspektiven der Erdgasversorgung im europäischen Binnenmarkt," Kiel Discussion Papers 334/335, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Ghassan Dibeh, 2001. "Time Delays and Business Cycles: Hilferding's model revisited," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 329-341.
- Heilemann, Ullrich & Stekler, Herman, 2007. "Introduction to "The future of macroeconomic forecasting"," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 159-165.
- Heilemann, Ullrich & Münch, Heinz Josef, 2005. "The Clinton era and the U.S. business cycle : what did change?," Technical Reports 2005,12, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
- Robert E. Carpenter & Steven M. Fazzari & Bruce C. Petersen, 1994. "Inventory (Dis)Investment, Internal Finance Fluctuations, and the Business Cycle," Macroeconomics 9401001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Marcus Scheiblecker, 2007. "Datierung von Konjunkturwendepunkten in Österreich," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 80(9), pages 715-730, September.
- Engemann, Kristie M. & Kliesen, Kevin L. & Owyang, Michael T., 2011.
"Do Oil Shocks Drive Business Cycles? Some U.S. And International Evidence,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(S3), pages 498-517, November.
- Kristie M. Engemann & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang, 2010. "Do oil shocks drive business cycles? some U.S. and international evidence," Working Papers 2010-007, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Olivier Bandt & Catherine Bruneau & Alexis Flageollet, 2006.
"Assessing Aggregate Comovements in France, Germany and Italy Using a Non Stationary Factor Model of the Euro Area,"
Springer Books, in: Convergence or Divergence in Europe?, pages 95-120,
Springer.
- De Bandt. O. & Bruneau, C. & Flageollet, B., 2006. "Assessing Aggregate Comovements in France, Germany and Italy. Using a Non Stationary Factor Model of the Euro Area," Working papers 145, Banque de France.
- Soh, Ann-Ni, 2020. "A Review on the Leading Indicator Approach towards Economic Forecasting," MPRA Paper 103854, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Andrew Filardo & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Marek Raczko, 2018.
"Measuring financial cycle time,"
BIS Working Papers
755, Bank for International Settlements.
- Filardo, Andrew & Lombardi, Marco & Raczko, Marek, 2019. "Measuring financial cycle time," Bank of England working papers 776, Bank of England.
- Edoardo GAFFEO & Ivan PETRELLA & Damjan PFAJFAR & Emiliano SANTORO, 2010.
"Reference-dependent preferences and the transmission of monetary policy,"
Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven
ces10.28, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
- Gaffeo, E. & Petrella, I. & Pfajfar, D. & Santoro, E., 2010. "Reference-dependent Preferences and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," Discussion Paper 2010-111, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Gaffeo, E. & Petrella, I. & Pfajfar, D. & Santoro, E., 2010. "Reference-dependent Preferences and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," Other publications TiSEM 2d1a9a11-fccf-42ef-8779-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Gaffeo, E. & Petrella, I. & Pfajfar, D. & Santoro, E., 2010. "Reference-Dependent Preferences and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," Other publications TiSEM 23d33e54-e5c4-4ac3-b6c9-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Gregory, Allan W. & Smith, Gregor W., 1996.
"Measuring business cycles with business-cycle models,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 20(6-7), pages 1007-1025.
- Allan Gregory & Gregor W. Smith, 1994. "Measuring Business Cycles With Business-cycle Models," Working Paper 901, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- Ikechukwu A. ACHA & Emmanuel IKPE MICHAEL & Joseph M. ESSIEN, 2017. "Nigeria’s Investment Environment: Issues of Economic Growth and Development," Expert Journal of Finance, Sprint Investify, vol. 5, pages 1-11.
- Didier Borowski & Carine Bouthevillain & Catherine Doz & Pierre Malgrange & Pierre Morin, 1991. "Vingt ans de prévisions macro-économiques : une évaluation sur données françaises," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 99(3), pages 43-65.
- Yang, Joon-Mo & Kim, Tae-Wan, 2005. "A search for leading sectors over the business cycle: The case of Korea," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 480-495, December.
- Bizer, Kilian & Meub, Lukas & Proeger, Till & Spiwoks, Markus, 2014. "Strategic coordination in forecasting: An experimental study," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 195, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Morais, Igor Alexandre C. & Chauvet, Marcelle, 2011. "Leading Indicators for the Capital Goods Industry," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 31(1), March.
- Rua, Antonio & Nunes, Luis C., 2005.
"Coincident and leading indicators for the euro area: A frequency band approach,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 503-523.
- António Rua & Luís Catela Nunes, 2003. "Coincident and Leading Indicators for the Euro Area: A Frequency Band Approach," Working Papers w200307, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:sfb475:199947. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/isdorde.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.