IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/qmsrps/202105.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Lurking in the Shadows: The Impact of Emissions Target Setting on Carbon Pricing and Environmental Efficiency

Author

Listed:
  • Quinn, Barry
  • Gallagher, Ronan
  • Kuosmanen, Timo

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of Kyoto Protocol target setting regime on environmental efficiency and carbon shadow pricing. We extract shadow price estimates and efficiency scores from a comprehensive dataset of 125 countries in the first Kyoto commitment period (2008-2012) using a stochastic non-parametric estimation framework. We estimate CO2 marginal abatement costs which: are significantly higher for target setting countries; increase over the sample period, and are an order of magnitude greater than the prevailing emissions pricing mechanisms. Our findings provide insights into the consequences of policies to curb unwanted by-products in a regulated system and shed light on the price efficiency of carbon markets

Suggested Citation

  • Quinn, Barry & Gallagher, Ronan & Kuosmanen, Timo, 2021. "Lurking in the Shadows: The Impact of Emissions Target Setting on Carbon Pricing and Environmental Efficiency," QBS Working Paper Series 2021/05, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:qmsrps:202105
    DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3869545
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/271250/1/qms-rp2021-05.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.2139/ssrn.3869545?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhang, ZhongXiang & Folmer, Henk, 1998. "Economic modelling approaches to cost estimates for the control of carbon dioxide emissions1," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 101-120, February.
    2. William D. Nordhaus & Joseph G. Boyer, 1999. "Requiem for Kyoto: An Economic Analysis of the Kyoto Protocol," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I), pages 93-130.
    3. Kuosmanen, Timo & Cherchye, Laurens & Sipilainen, Timo, 2006. "The law of one price in data envelopment analysis: Restricting weight flexibility across firms," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 170(3), pages 735-757, May.
    4. Christoph Böhringer & Carsten Vogt, 2003. "Economic and environmental impacts of the Kyoto Protocol," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(2), pages 475-496, May.
    5. Kuosmanen, Timo & Johnson, Andrew, 2017. "Modeling joint production of multiple outputs in StoNED: Directional distance function approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(2), pages 792-801.
    6. Choi, Yongrok & Zhang, Ning & Zhou, P., 2012. "Efficiency and abatement costs of energy-related CO2 emissions in China: A slacks-based efficiency measure," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 198-208.
    7. Mary C. Meyer, 2003. "A test for linear versus convex regression function using shape-restricted regression," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 90(1), pages 223-232, March.
    8. Lee, Chia-Yen & Wang, Ke, 2019. "Nash marginal abatement cost estimation of air pollutant emissions using the stochastic semi-nonparametric frontier," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 273(1), pages 390-400.
    9. Wang, Yongqiao & Wang, Shouyang & Dang, Chuangyin & Ge, Wenxiu, 2014. "Nonparametric quantile frontier estimation under shape restriction," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 232(3), pages 671-678.
    10. George Halkos & Nickolaos Tzeremes, 2014. "Measuring the effect of Kyoto protocol agreement on countries’ environmental efficiency in CO 2 emissions: an application of conditional full frontiers," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 367-382, June.
    11. Eren Cifci & Matthew E. Oliver, 2018. "Reassessing the Links between GHG Emissions, Economic Growth, and the UNFCCC: A Difference-in-Differences Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-22, January.
    12. Manne, Alan & Richels, Richard, 2004. "US rejection of the Kyoto Protocol: the impact on compliance costs and CO2 emissions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 447-454, March.
    13. Zhou, P. & Zhou, X. & Fan, L.W., 2014. "On estimating shadow prices of undesirable outputs with efficiency models: A literature review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 799-806.
    14. Buonanno, Paolo & Carraro, Carlo & Galeotti, Marzio, 2003. "Endogenous induced technical change and the costs of Kyoto," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 11-34, February.
    15. David Maradan & Anatoli Vassiliev, 2005. "Marginal Costs of Carbon Dioxide Abatement: Empirical Evidence from Cross-Country Analysis," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 141(III), pages 377-410, September.
    16. Lee, Myunghun & Zhang, Ning, 2012. "Technical efficiency, shadow price of carbon dioxide emissions, and substitutability for energy in the Chinese manufacturing industries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1492-1497.
    17. Kuosmanen, Timo & Zhou, Xun & Dai, Sheng, 2020. "How much climate policy has cost for OECD countries?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    18. Viguier, Laurent L. & Babiker, Mustafa H. & Reilly, John M., 2003. "The costs of the Kyoto Protocol in the European Union," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 459-481, April.
    19. Christoph Böhringer & Carsten Vogt, 2003. "Economic and environmental impacts of the Kyoto Protocol," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 36(2), pages 475-496, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Quinn, Barry & Gallagher, Ronan & Kuosmanen, Timo, 2023. "Lurking in the shadows: The impact of CO2 emissions target setting on carbon pricing in the Kyoto agreement period," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    2. Kuosmanen, Timo & Zhou, Xun & Dai, Sheng, 2020. "How much climate policy has cost for OECD countries?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    3. Kuosmanen, Timo & Zhou, Xun, 2021. "Shadow prices and marginal abatement costs: Convex quantile regression approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(2), pages 666-675.
    4. Dai, Sheng & Zhou, Xun & Kuosmanen, Timo, 2020. "Forward-looking assessment of the GHG abatement cost: Application to China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    5. Wen, Xiaojie & Yao, Shunbo & Sauer, Johannes, 2022. "Shadow prices and abatement cost of soil erosion in Shaanxi Province, China: Convex expectile regression approach," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    6. Du, Limin & Hanley, Aoife & Wei, Chu, 2015. "Estimating the Marginal Abatement Cost Curve of CO2 Emissions in China: Provincial Panel Data Analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 217-229.
    7. Lee, Sang-choon & Oh, Dong-hyun & Lee, Jeong-dong, 2014. "A new approach to measuring shadow price: Reconciling engineering and economic perspectives," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 66-77.
    8. Wu, Yinyin & Yu, Jie & Song, Malin & Chen, Jiandong & Hou, Wenxuan, 2021. "Shadow prices of industrial air pollutant emissions in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 726-736.
    9. Bei Gao & Zuoren Sun, 2023. "Marginal CO 2 and SO 2 Abatement Costs and Determinants of Coal-Fired Power Plants in China: Considering a Two-Stage Production System with Different Emission Reduction Approaches," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-26, April.
    10. Cui, Lixin & Dong, Ruxue & Mu, Yunguo & Shen, Zhiyang & Xu, Jiatong, 2022. "How policy preferences affect the carbon shadow price in the OECD," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 311(C).
    11. Du, Limin & Mao, Jie, 2015. "Estimating the environmental efficiency and marginal CO2 abatement cost of coal-fired power plants in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 347-356.
    12. Limin Du & Aoife Hanley & Chu Wei, 2015. "Marginal Abatement Costs of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in China: A Parametric Analysis," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 61(2), pages 191-216, June.
    13. Zhou, X. & Fan, L.W. & Zhou, P., 2015. "Marginal CO2 abatement costs: Findings from alternative shadow price estimates for Shanghai industrial sectors," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 109-117.
    14. He, Weijun & Wang, Bo & Danish, & Wang, Zhaohua, 2018. "Will regional economic integration influence carbon dioxide marginal abatement costs? Evidence from Chinese panel data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 263-274.
    15. Ralph Winkler, 2008. "Optimal compliance with emission constraints: dynamic characteristics and the choice of technique," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 39(4), pages 411-432, April.
    16. Gersbach, Hans & Winkler, Ralph, 2011. "International emission permit markets with refunding," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(6), pages 759-773, August.
    17. Kounetas, Konstantinos & Zervopoulos, Panagiotis D., 2019. "A cross-country evaluation of environmental performance: Is there a convergence-divergence pattern in technology gaps?," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 273(3), pages 1136-1148.
    18. Dong-Hyun Oh & JongWuk Ahn & Sinwoo Lee & Hyundo Choi, 2021. "Measuring technical inefficiency and CO2 shadow price of Korean fossil-fuel generation companies using deterministic and stochastic approaches," Energy & Environment, , vol. 32(3), pages 403-423, May.
    19. Wu, Jianxin & Ma, Chunbo & Tang, Kai, 2019. "The static and dynamic heterogeneity and determinants of marginal abatement cost of CO2 emissions in Chinese cities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 685-694.
    20. Wang, Jian & Lv, Kangjuan & Bian, Yiwen & Cheng, Yu, 2017. "Energy efficiency and marginal carbon dioxide emission abatement cost in urban China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 246-255.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:qmsrps:202105. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dequbuk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.