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Big elephants in small ponds: Do large traders make financial markets more aggressive?

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  • Bannier, Christina E.

Abstract

Market participants often suspect that large traders have a disproportionate effect on financial markets, increasing the aggressiveness of market responses. Prior studies have shown that the impact of a large trader on a currency crisis depends positively on his size and informational position. By contrast, this article highlights the role that market sentiment has on the impact of a large trader. If the market believes that fundamentals are weak, then the probability of a crisis depends positively on the trader's size but negatively on the precision of his information, with these effects reversed in a generally optimistic market. A large player, therefore, need not make market responses more aggressive.

Suggested Citation

  • Bannier, Christina E., 2004. "Big elephants in small ponds: Do large traders make financial markets more aggressive?," Volkswirtschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 77, University of Kassel, Faculty of Economics and Management.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:kasvdb:77
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    Cited by:

    1. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Friedman, Daniel, 2009. "Speculative attacks: A laboratory study in continuous time," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 1064-1082, October.
    2. Rocco Caferra & Gabriele Tedeschi & Andrea Morone, 2023. "Agents interaction and price dynamics: evidence from the laboratory," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 18(2), pages 251-274, April.
    3. Christina Bannier, 2007. "Heterogeneous multiple bank financing: does it reduce inefficient credit-renegotiation incidences?," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 21(4), pages 445-470, December.
    4. Christian Bauer & Bernhard Herz, 2009. "The Dynamics of Financial Crises and the Risk to Defend the Exchange Rate," Research Papers in Economics 2009-03, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
    5. Fecht, Falko & Wedow, Michael, 2014. "The dark and the bright side of liquidity risks: Evidence from open-end real estate funds in Germany," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 376-399.
    6. Lee, Kyounghun & Oh, Frederick Dongchuhl, 2021. "The role of large players in global games with strategic complements and substitutes," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    7. Aitor Erce, 2012. "Does the IMF´s official support affect sovereign bond maturities?," Working Papers 1231, Banco de España.
    8. Zwart, Sanne, 2007. "The mixed blessing of IMF intervention: Signalling versus liquidity support," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 149-174, July.
    9. Schmidt, André, 2007. "Per-se-Rule, Rule of Reason und der "more economic approach"," Volkswirtschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 92, University of Kassel, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    10. Henrich, Károly, 2006. "Kontraktion & Konvergenz: Probleme der nachhaltigkeitsökonomischen Generalisierung eines klimapolitischen Zukunftsmodells," Volkswirtschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 83, University of Kassel, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    11. Bjönnes, Geir H. & Holden, Steinar & Rime, Dagfinn & Solheim, Haakon O.Aa., 2005. "'Large' vs. 'Small' Players: A Closer Look at the Dynamics of Speculative Attacks," SIFR Research Report Series 38, Institute for Financial Research.
    12. Mei Li & Frank Milne, 2010. "A Large Trader in Bubbles and Crashes: an Application to Currency Attacks," Working Papers 1004, University of Guelph, Department of Economics and Finance.
    13. Aitor Erce, 2012. "Does the IMF's official support affect sovereign bonds maturities?," Globalization Institute Working Papers 128, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    14. Gaëtan Le Quang, 2017. ""Taking Diversity into Account": the Diversity of Financial Institutions and Accounting Regulation," EconomiX Working Papers 2017-10, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    15. Li, Mei & Milne, Frank, 2014. "The role of a large trader in a dynamic currency attack model," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 590-620.
    16. Michaelis, Jochen, 2007. "Internationaler Handel," Volkswirtschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 91, University of Kassel, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    17. Eckey, Hans-Friedrich & Kosfeld, Reinhold & Türck, Matthias, 2007. "Anmerkung zur Identifikation von Förderregionen in der Gemeinschaftsaufgabe," Volkswirtschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 90, University of Kassel, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    18. Gaëtan Le Quang, 2017. "Taking Diversity into Account: the Diversity of Financial Institutions and Accounting Regulation," Working Papers hal-04141663, HAL.
    19. Mei Li & Frank Milne, 2007. "The Role Of Large Players In A Dynamic Currency Attack Game," Working Paper 1148, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    20. Yunyong Thaicharoen & Sra Chuenchoksan & Ashvin Ahuja, 2007. "Big elephants in small ponds: Risk absorption, risk diversification and management of capital flows," Working Papers 2007-02, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    21. Taketa, Kenshi & Suzuki-Löffelholz, Kumi & Arikawa, Yasuhiro, 2009. "Experimental analysis on the role of a large speculator in currency crises," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 602-617, October.
    22. Eckey, Hans-Friedrich & Kosfeld, Reinhold & Türck, Matthias, 2006. "Abgrenzung deutscher Arbeitsmarktregionen," Volkswirtschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 81, University of Kassel, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    23. Jerger, Jürgen & Michaelis, Jochen, 2007. "Warum beobachten wir so wenig Arbeitnehmer-Gewinnbeteiligung?," Volkswirtschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge 94, University of Kassel, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    24. Tarisa Watanagase, 2007. "Emerging markets in financial globalization: striking the right balance for liberalization," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    25. Oh, Frederick Dongchuhl & Park, Junghum, 2023. "A large creditor in contagious liquidity crises," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    currency crises; large traders; market sentiment; coordination; private and public information;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design

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