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Armut im Alter – Ursachenanalyse und eine Projektion für das Jahr 2023

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  • Kumpmann, Ingmar
  • Gühne, Michael
  • Buscher, Herbert S.

Abstract

Verschiedene Faktoren bewirken eine Zunahme der Altersarmut in Deutschland, insbesondere in Ostdeutschland. Mit Daten des Sozio-oekonomischen Panel (SOEP) untersuchen wir Ursachen und Ausmaß der Altersarmut in Deutschland. Wir beginnen mit einer Querschnittsregression zur Bestimmung der Einflussfaktoren der Alterseinkommen. Im zweiten Schritt nehmen wir eine Projektion der Einkommen der 50- bis 55-Jährigen des Jahres 2008 für das Jahr 2023 vor. Dabei berücksichtigen wir sämtliche Einkommensarten, einschließlich verschiedener Formen von Kapitaleinkünften und des Wohnwerts selbst genutzten Wohneigentums. Es zeigt sich, dass, verglichen mit der heutigen alten Generation, vor allem in Ostdeutschland das Armutsrisiko steigt. Dies ist auf den Wandel der Erwerbsbiografien in der Folge der deutschen Vereinigung zurückzuführen.

Suggested Citation

  • Kumpmann, Ingmar & Gühne, Michael & Buscher, Herbert S., 2010. "Armut im Alter – Ursachenanalyse und eine Projektion für das Jahr 2023," IWH Discussion Papers 8/2010, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwhdps:iwh-8-10
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Christoph Metzger, 2017. "Who is saving privately for retirement and how much? New evidence for Germany," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(6), pages 811-831, November.
    2. Bofinger, Peter & Buch, Claudia M. & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2013. "Gegen eine rückwärtsgewandte Wirtschaftspolitik. Jahresgutachten 2013/14 [Against a backward-looking economic policy. Annual Report 2013/14]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201314, February.
    3. Christian Westermeier & Anika Rasner & Markus M. Grabka, 2012. "The Prospects of the Baby Boomers: Methodological Challenges in Projecting the Lives of an Aging Cohort," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 440, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
    4. Fischer, Andrea & Nullmeier, Frank & Rulff, Dieter & Schroeder, Wolfgang & Sellin, Peter & Wiesenthal, Helmut, 2013. "Sicherheit und Fairness in der alternden Gesellschaft: Bericht der Demografie-Kommission der Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung," Schriften zu Wirtschaft und Soziales, Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung e.V., Berlin, volume 12, number 12, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Altersarmut; Rente; Alterseinkommen; old age poverty; pension; old age income;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
    • J14 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-Labor Market Discrimination

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