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Regularization Approach for Network Modeling of German Energy Market

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  • Chen, Shi
  • Härdle, Wolfgang Karl
  • López Cabrera, Brenda

Abstract

We investigate the concept of connectedness, which is important for risk measurement and management inGerman energy market. Understanding and learning from these mechanisms are essential to avoid future systemic disasters. To deal with large portfolio selection, we propose regularization approach to capture the spillover and contagion effects acrossGerman power derivatives. This paper shows how network analysis can facilitate the monitoring of futures price movements. Our methodology combines high-dimensional variable selection techniques with network analysis, the results show that contracts like Phelix Base Year Options and Phelix Peak Year Futures are in the core of the Energy futures market.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Shi & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & López Cabrera, Brenda, 2018. "Regularization Approach for Network Modeling of German Energy Market," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2018-017, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:irtgdp:2018017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    regularization; energy risk transmission; network; German energy market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting

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