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In search of a growth model for Italy: The failed attempt of an export-led recovery strategy?

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  • Bramucci, Alessandro

Abstract

We analyse Italy's growth pattern from 2001 to 2019 using the demand and growth regime categories proposed in the post-Keynesian tradition and recently adopted in the comparative political economy (CPE) literature. We argue that Italy followed an export-led recovery strategy after the Global Financial Crisis. In this respect, Germany's growth model emerged as the successful one to follow. In the dominant view, Germany's economic success since the mid-2000s was attributed to a series of painful but necessary economic reforms. The success of Germany's export-led mercantilist regime became particularly attractive to Italy given the similar export-oriented manufacturing industry. However, Italy has followed the "wrong" German model based on wage compression and restrictive budget policies while the "true" German model is based on non-price competitiveness factors. To conclude, we show the contradictions of the mercantilist export-led regime.

Suggested Citation

  • Bramucci, Alessandro, 2023. "In search of a growth model for Italy: The failed attempt of an export-led recovery strategy?," IPE Working Papers 205/2023, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ipewps:2052023
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demand and growth regimes; export-led growth; competitiveness; internal devaluation; Germany; Italy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • E69 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Other
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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