IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/esprep/128601.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Impact of Ageing on Curative Health Care Workforce in Selected EU Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Schulz, Erika
  • Coda Moscarola, Flavia
  • Golinowska, Stanisława
  • Radvansky, Marek
  • Geyer, Johannes

Abstract

Population ageing combined with a shrinking potential workforce are main factors influencing future socio-economic development and the labour market. This paper has the objective to show the impact of population change on one important sector of the economy, the health care market. As the need for health care services increases with age, the population ageing is expected to have a direct influence on the demand for services and the workforce needed. The shrinking labour force and the currently high share of elderly health professionals will have an impact of the future supply of health workforce. Based on the NEUJOBS demographic scenarios tough and friendly and age- and gender specific utilization rates the changes in the health workforce needed are calculated. Changes in labour supply and employment are shown using the results of the econometric model NEMESIS. In both scenario a decline in population size and an ageing of the population is expected. In the friendly scenario the demand for health care services is expected to increase, although the population size declines. The population ageing has a higher effect on the demand as the shrinking population size. In the tough scenario the significant decline in population dominates the demand for health workforce. Due to the demographic change also a decline in labour supply is calculated, while the employment in health care is estimated to increase in both scenarios. In 2025, the estimated employment is higher than the demand for health workforce. But on the demand side the calculations show only the pure demographic effect. Due to data restrictions we could not take into account the technological medical progress, changes in health utilization behaviour or changes in health status of the population. All these factor have an influence on the future health workforce demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Schulz, Erika & Coda Moscarola, Flavia & Golinowska, Stanisława & Radvansky, Marek & Geyer, Johannes, 2013. "Impact of Ageing on Curative Health Care Workforce in Selected EU Countries," EconStor Preprints 128601, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:128601
    Note: This publication was produced as part of the NEUJOBS project, funded by the European Commission through the 7th Framework Programme under contract no. 266833 (http://www.neujobs).
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/128601/1/Schulz_2013_Impact-Ageing-Selected.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Doorslaer, Eddy van & Wagstaff, Adam & Rutten, Frans (ed.), 1992. "Equity in the Finance and Delivery of Health Care: An International Perspective," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780192622914.
    2. Schulz, Erika, 2013. "Employment in Health and Long-Term Care Sector in European Countries," EconStor Preprints 128598, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    3. Schulz, Erika, 2013. "Impact of Ageing on Curative Health Care Workforce : Country Report Germany," EconStor Preprints 128599, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    4. Peter Scherer & Marion Devaux, 2010. "The Challenge of Financing Health Care in the Current Crisis: An Analysis Based on the OECD Data," OECD Health Working Papers 49, OECD Publishing.
    5. Wagstaff, Adam & van Doorslaer, Eddy, 1992. "Equity in the finance of health care: Some international comparisons," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 361-387, December.
    6. Breyer Friedrich & Ulrich Volker, 2000. "Gesundheitsausgaben, Alter und medizinischer Fortschritt: Eine Regressionsanalyse / Ageing, Medical Progress and Health Care Expenditures: A Regression Analysis," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 220(1), pages 1-17, February.
    7. Sirven, Nicolas & Or, Zeynep, 2010. "Disparities in Regular Health Care Utilisation in Europe," MEA discussion paper series 10231, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    8. Schulz, Erika, 2013. "Impact of Ageing on Curative Health Care Workforce : Country Report Denmark," EconStor Preprints 128600, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    9. van Doorslaer, Eddy & Wagstaff, Adam, 1992. "Equity in the delivery of health care: some international comparisons," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 389-411, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Marek Radvansky, 2014. "Effects of demographic changes on hospital workforce in European countries," EcoMod2014 7198, EcoMod.
    2. Pantelidis, Pantelis & Vozikis, Athanassios & Meggouli, Eirini, 2019. "Demand for primary healthcare services in Greece based on general practice prescribing model," MPRA Paper 92101, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ulf‐ G. Gerdtham, 1997. "Equity in Health Care Utilization: Further Tests Based on Hurdle Models and Swedish Micro Data," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(3), pages 303-319, May.
    2. André, Christine, 2015. "Les systèmes de santé européens en longue période," Revue de la Régulation - Capitalisme, institutions, pouvoirs, Association Recherche et Régulation, vol. 17.
    3. Fourie, Johan & Jayes, Jonathan, 2021. "Health inequality and the 1918 influenza in South Africa," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    4. Schulz, Erika & Radvansky, Marek, 2014. "Impact of Ageing Populations on Silver Economy, Health and Long-Term Care Workforce," EconStor Preprints 128604, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    5. Brian Nolan, 1997. "Mesure de l'équité des modes de financement et de distribution des soins de santé : aspects méthodologiques avec illustration sur l'Irlande," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 129(3), pages 121-130.
    6. Fleurbaey, Marc & Schokkaert, Erik, 2009. "Unfair inequalities in health and health care," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 73-90, January.
    7. Hai Zhong, 2010. "The impact of missing data in the estimation of concentration index: a potential source of bias," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 11(3), pages 255-266, June.
    8. Gao, Qiuming & Wang, Derek, 2021. "Hospital efficiency and equity in health care delivery: A study based in China," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    9. Christine André & Philippe Batifoulier & Mariana Jansen-Ferreira, 2016. "Privatisation de la santé en Europe. Un outil de classification des réformes," Working Papers hal-01256505, HAL.
    10. Pavlova, Milena & Groot, Wim & van Merode, Godefridus, 2002. "Public attitudes towards patient payments in Bulgarian public health care sector: results of a household survey," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(1), pages 1-24, January.
    11. Pandey, Anamika & Clarke, Lynda & Dandona, Lalit & Ploubidis, George B., 2018. "Inequity in out-of-pocket payments for hospitalisation in India: Evidence from the National Sample Surveys, 1995–2014," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 201(C), pages 136-147.
    12. Ana I. Balsa & Máximo Rossi & Patricia Triunfo, 2011. "Horizontal Inequity in Access to Health Care in Four South American Cities," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, June.
    13. Eddy van Doorslaer & Owen O'Donnell, 2008. "Measurement and Explanation of Inequality in Health and Health Care in Low-Income Settings," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2008-04, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    14. Kim, Tae Jun & Vonneilich, Nico & Lüdecke, Daniel & von dem Knesebeck, Olaf, 2017. "Income, financial barriers to health care and public health expenditure: A multilevel analysis of 28 countries," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 158-165.
    15. Robert Kolesar & Sambo Pheakdey & Bart Jacobs & Narith Chan & Samedy Yok & Martine Audibert, 2019. "Expanding Social Health Protection in Cambodia: An assessment of the current coverage potential and gaps, and social equity considerations," Working Papers halshs-02018867, HAL.
    16. Bond, Derek & Conniffe, Denis, 2003. "Allocating Funding across Health Boards - Is Equity Easy?," Papers HRBWP05, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    17. Jones, Andrew M. & Rice, Nigel & Robone, Silvana & Dias, Pedro Rosa, 2011. "Inequality and polarisation in health systems' responsiveness: A cross-country analysis," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 616-625, July.
    18. Magnus Lindelow, 2002. "Sometimes more equal than others: How the choice of welfare indicator can affect the measurement of health inequalities and the incidence of public spending," CSAE Working Paper Series 2002-15, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
    19. Bond. D. & Conniffe.D., 2002. "Cross-Regional Equality in Health Care Funding," Economics Department Working Paper Series n1120102.pdf, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
    20. Alan Maynard, 1999. "Inequalities in health: an introductory editorial," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(4), pages 281-282, June.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:128601. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/zbwkide.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.