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Profitability of Western European banking systems: panel evidence on structural and cyclical determinants

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  • Beckmann, Rainer

Abstract

This paper analyses structural and cyclical determinants of banking profitability in 16 Western European countries. We find that financial structure matters, particularly through the beneficial effect of the capital market orientation in the respective national financial system. Furthermore, higher diversification regarding banks' income sources shows a positive effect. The industry concentration of national banking systems, though, does not significantly affect aggregate profitability. Business cycle effects, in particular lagged GDP growth, display a substantial procyclical impact on bank profits. These results are obtained in a single equation panel framework using the Hausman-Taylor instrument variable estimator. The data set comprises aggregate annual country data and banking group data (commercial banks, cooperative banks and savings banks) over the period 1979-2003.

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  • Beckmann, Rainer, 2007. "Profitability of Western European banking systems: panel evidence on structural and cyclical determinants," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2007,17, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdp2:6929
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    2. Gammadigbé, Vigninou, 2012. "Stress test macroéconomique du système bancaire de l'UEMOA [Macroeconomic stress testing of the WAEMU banking system]," MPRA Paper 39214, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised May 2012.
    3. Khurshid Djalilov & Jens Hölscher, 2016. "Comparative Analyses Of The Banking Environment In Transition Countries," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 61(208), pages 7-26, January -.
    4. Mariarosa Borroni & Mariacristina Piva & Simone Rossi, 2016. "Determinants of Bank Profitability in the Euro Area: Has Anything Changed?," DISCE - Quaderni del Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali dises1619, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    5. Balázs Égert & Douglas Sutherland, 2014. "The Nature of Financial and Real Business Cycles: The Great Moderation and Banking Sector Pro-Cyclicality," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 61(1), pages 98-117, February.
    6. BOITAN, Iustina Alina, 2015. "Determinants Of Sustainable Banks’ Profitability. Evidence From Eu Countries," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 19(1), pages 21-39.
    7. Lars P. Feld & Jost H. Heckemeyer, 2011. "Fdi And Taxation: A Meta‐Study," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 233-272, April.
    8. Emilia Bonaccorsi di Patti & Francesco Palazzo, 2020. "Bank profitability and macroeconomic conditions: Are business models different?," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 49(2), July.
    9. Peiwan Wang & Lu Zong & Ye Ma, 2019. "An Integrated Early Warning System for Stock Market Turbulence," Papers 1911.12596, arXiv.org.
    10. Alexandra Horobet & Magdalena Radulescu & Lucian Belascu & Sandra Maria Dita, 2021. "Determinants of Bank Profitability in CEE Countries: Evidence from GMM Panel Data Estimates," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-23, July.
    11. Lina Song & Amirul Shah Md Shahbudin, 2023. "To anticipate the bankruptcy of Baoshang Bank based on CAMELS rating system," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 54(1), pages 65-88.
    12. Habib-ur Rahman & Muhammad Waqas Yousaf & Nageena Tabassum, 2020. "Bank-Specific and Macroeconomic Determinants of Profitability: A Revisit of Pakistani Banking Sector under Dynamic Panel Data Approach," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-19, July.
    13. Piergiorgio Alessandri & Benjamin D. Nelson, 2015. "Simple Banking: Profitability and the Yield Curve," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(1), pages 143-175, February.
    14. repec:prg:jnlpep:v:preprint:id:682:p:1-20 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Gann, Philipp & Kretzschmar, Anne & Rudolph, Bernd, 2010. "Determinanten der Eigenkapitalrendite von Sparkassen," Discussion Papers in Business Administration 11786, University of Munich, Munich School of Management.
    16. Simone Rossi & Mariarosa Borroni & Andrea Lippi & Mariacristina Piva, 2018. "Determinants of Bank Profitability in the Euro Area: What Has Changed During the Recent Financial Crisis?," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(5), pages 18-27, May.
    17. Wang, Peiwan & Zong, Lu, 2023. "Does machine learning help private sectors to alarm crises? Evidence from China’s currency market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 611(C).
    18. Matěj Kuc & Petr Teplý, 2018. "A Financial Performance Comparison of Czech Credit Unions and European Cooperative Banks," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(6), pages 723-742.
    19. P. Thich D. & П. Тхих Д., 2017. "Детерминанты доходности банков: эмпирические данные из Вьетнама // Determinants of Banks’ Profitability: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam," Review of Business and Economics Studies // Review of Business and Economics Studies, Финансовый Университет // Financial University, vol. 5(4), pages 37-45.
    20. Aydemir, Resul & Ovenc, Gokhan, 2016. "Interest rates, the yield curve and bank profitability in an emerging market economy," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 670-682.
    21. Esteban Miguélez & Jonathan Spiteri & Simon Grima, 2019. "Establishing the Contributing Factors to the Resurrection of PIIGS Banks Following the Crisis: A Panel Data Analysis," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 3-34.
    22. Votsoma Djekna & Timba Gaelle Tatiana & Nzihi Nziki Zenga, 2018. "The Influence of Operational Risk on the Performance of Banks' Financial Assets in Cameroon: Analysis of Non-performing Loans and Management Costs [L'influence Du Risque Opérationnel Sur Le Rendeme," Post-Print hal-03607165, HAL.
    23. Song l KAK LL ACARAVCI & Ahmet Ertugrul ALIM, 2013. "Turkish Banking Sector's Profitability Factors," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(1), pages 27-41.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bank profits; financial structure; business cycle;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • L11 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms

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