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Effects of Fiscal Policy in a Small Open Economy: Evidence of Croatia

Author

Listed:
  • Milan Deskar-Škrbić

    (Arhivanalitika Ltd.)

  • Hrvoje Šimović

    (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb)

  • Tomislav Ćorić

    (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb)

Abstract

In this paper we use structural VAR model to analyze dynamic effects of fiscal shocks on economic activity in Croatia from 2000Q1-2012Q2. Due to the fact that Croatia is a small open economy we assume that shocks of foreign origination can have notable effects on its performance. Therefore, original Blanchard-Perotti (2002) model is extended by introducing variables that represent external (foreign) demand shocks. The results show that the government spending has a positive and statistically significant effect on private aggregate demand and private consumption, and net (indirect) taxes have a negative and statistically significant effect on private consumption and private AD. It should also be noted that this paper represents first attempt of estimating size of fiscal multipliers in Croatia in open economy model.

Suggested Citation

  • Milan Deskar-Škrbić & Hrvoje Šimović & Tomislav Ćorić, 2013. "Effects of Fiscal Policy in a Small Open Economy: Evidence of Croatia," EFZG Working Papers Series 1302, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
    • Handle: RePEc:zag:wpaper:1302
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fiscal policy; small open economy; Croatia; SVAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

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