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Why do Biased Heuristics Approximate Bayes Rule in Double Auctions?

Author

Listed:
  • Shyam NMI Sunder

    (School of Management)

  • Karim Jamal

    (Department of Accounting & Management Information Systems)

Abstract

Jamal and Sunder (1996) showed that the median prices in double auctions populated by zero-intelligence (ZI) traders whose trading limits are set by two biased heuristics tend to converge to the same equilibrium as if their trading limits were set by applying Bayes' Rule. This note provides an analytical explanation of why the repeated use of biased heuristics approximates Bayes rule.

Suggested Citation

  • Shyam NMI Sunder & Karim Jamal, 2001. "Why do Biased Heuristics Approximate Bayes Rule in Double Auctions?," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm197, Yale School of Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:ysm:somwrk:ysm197
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jamal, Karim & Sunder, Shyam, 1996. "Bayesian equilibrium in double auctions populated by biased heuristic traders," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 273-291, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shyam Sunder & MODELS A, 2002. "Markets as Artifacts: Aggregate Efficiency from Zero-Intelligence Traders," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm284, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Sep 2004.
    2. Lu, Dong & Zhan, Yaosong, 2022. "Over-the-counter versus double auction in asset markets with near-zero-intelligence traders," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    3. Karim Jamal & Michael Maier & Shyam Sunder, 2019. "Aggregation of Diverse Information with Double Auction Trading among Minimally-Intelligent Algorithmic Agents," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2182, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Aggregate Market Rationality; Bayesian Equilibrium; Double Auction; Biased Heuristics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • D44 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Auctions
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines

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