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Population growth, immigration, and labour market dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Elsby, Michael W.L.

    (University of Edinburgh)

  • Smith, Jennifer C.

    (University of Warwick, CAGE, Migration Advisory Committee)

  • Wadsworth, Jonathan

    (Centre for Economic Performance at the LSE, CReAM at UCL and IZA Bonn)

Abstract

This paper examines the role of population flows on labour market dynamics across immigrant and native-born populations in the United Kingdom. Population flows are large, and cyclical, driven first by the maturation of baby boom cohorts in the 1980s, and latterly by immigration in the 2000s. New measures of labour market flows by migrant status uncover both the flow origins of disparities in the levels and cyclicalities of immigrant and native labour market outcomes, as well as their more recent convergence. A novel dynamic accounting framework reveals that population flows have played a non-trivial role in the volatility of labour markets among both the UK-born and, especially, immigrants.

Suggested Citation

  • Elsby, Michael W.L. & Smith, Jennifer C. & Wadsworth, Jonathan, 2021. "Population growth, immigration, and labour market dynamics," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1383, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:wrk:warwec:1383
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gomes, Pedro, 2012. "Labour market flows: Facts from the United Kingdom," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 165-175.
    2. Elsby, Michael W.L. & Hobijn, Bart & Şahin, Ayşegül, 2015. "On the importance of the participation margin for labor market fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 64-82.
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    5. Brian Bell & James Smith, 2002. "On gross worker flows in the United Kingdom: evidence from the Labour Force Survey," Bank of England working papers 160, Bank of England.
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    8. Michael W.L. Elsby & Jennifer C. Smith, 2010. "The Great Recession In The Uk Labour Market: A Transatlantic Perspective," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 214(1), pages 26-37, October.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Immigration ; worker flows ; labour market dynamics JEL Classification: E24 ; J6;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J6 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers

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