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Impacts of the EU carbon border adjustment mechanism

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Abstract

We summarise the results of our study employing a quantitative trade model to assess the implications of the EU carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) on trade flows, welfare, real wages and CO2 emissions. Specifically, the general equilibrium effects of the introduction of a tariff on carbon-intensive products on European Union (EU) and European Free Trade Association (EFTA) members and non-members are assessed. For the EU, we find an increase in the terms of trade and consequently small positive welfare effects, whereas there are tiny negative effects on real wages. Non-EU countries face a decline in the terms of trade and a small welfare loss as well as marginally declining real wages. Global CO2 emissions are marginally reduced, although they minimally increase in the EU due to specialisation effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Flórez Mendoza & Oliver Reiter & Robert Stehrer, 2024. "Impacts of the EU carbon border adjustment mechanism," wiiw Policy Notes 86, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    • Handle: RePEc:wii:pnotes:pn:86
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    New Quantitative Trade Model; Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM); trade policy welfare; CO2 emissions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

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