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The EU Budgetary Package 2021 to 2027 Almost Finalised: An Assessment

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  • Thomas Reininger

Abstract

This policy note presents an assessment of the EU budgetary package for 2021-2027, including the European Union Recovery Instrument ‘Next Generation EU’ (EURI-NGEU), with an introduction to the EU decision-making process and the state of play of the relevant legislation as well as an annexed overview of (a) revenue-side decisions, (b) the size, composition and allocation of expenditures and (c) the new rule-of-law regulation. Major achievements are complementary common EU borrowing for EURI-NGEU programmes and the increased focus on climate. However, the EU budget remains tiny, and a national fiscal and (common) monetary policy is needed for stabilisation. EURI-NGEU grants, which are particularly relevant for member states with below-average per-capita income, primarily target public investment in structural change aimed at climate-related and digitisation projects, but they may also help to finance COVID-induced national fiscal deficits, albeit only to a small extent. Governance will be the main challenge facing the implementation of these projects. Compared with the Commission’s proposal, the European Council cut funding for EU-wide strategic investments and for external action (neighbourhood, development, humanitarian aid), and, thus, the funds for external action even decline relative to 2014-2020 (EU27) in the midst of a global pandemic. Cuts to the proposed climate-specific Just Transition Fund undermine the 30% climate spending target, which also hinges on how direct agricultural payments are classified. Progress on the revenue side with the new plastic packaging waste-based national contribution and the roadmap to further new own resources contrasts with the expanded privilege of rebate on the GNI-based contribution for a few member states.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Reininger, 2021. "The EU Budgetary Package 2021 to 2027 Almost Finalised: An Assessment," wiiw Policy Notes 45, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    • Handle: RePEc:wii:pnotes:pn:45
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    File URL: https://wiiw.ac.at/the-eu-budgetary-package-2021-to-2027-almost-finalised-an-assessment-dlp-5627.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sergio Ocampo & Gueorgui Kambourov & Daphne Chen & Burhanettin Kuruscu & Fatih Guvenen, 2017. "Use It or Lose It: Efficiency Gains from Wealth Taxation," 2017 Meeting Papers 913, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Francesco Giavazzi & Guido Tabellini, 2020. "Covid Perpetual Eurobonds: Jointly guaranteed and supported by the ECB," Vox eBook Chapters, in: AgneÌ€s BeÌ nassy-QueÌ reÌ & Beatrice Weder di Mauro (ed.), Europe in the Time of Covid-19, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 1, pages 235-239, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
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    Cited by:

    1. Andreas Breitenfellner & Mathias Lahnsteiner & Thomas Reininger, 2023. "Green transition in CESEE: sectoral emissions and EU recovery plans," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q2/23, pages 55-78.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    European Union; Budget; Government expenditure; Policy design and consistency; Policy coordination; International Institutional Arrangements;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F55 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Institutional Arrangements
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General
    • H61 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Budget; Budget Systems

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