IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wfo/wpaper/y2024i680.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Borders and Population Growth: Evidence from a Century of Border Regime Changes on the Austrian-Czech Border

Author

Listed:
  • Lucie Coufalová

    (Masaryk University Brno)

  • Fanny Dellinger

    (WIFO)

  • Peter Huber
  • Stepan Mikula

    (Institute for the Study of Labor)

Abstract

We analyse the impacts of three major unexpected border regime changes that occurred during the course of 20th century on population growth along the Austrian-Czech border. Using historical municipal-level census data reaching back to 1880, we find no effects of the dissolution of the Austro-Hungarian Empire (1919) but strong and oppositely signed effects of the drawing (1948) and the fall (1989) of the Iron Curtain in both countries. Our findings indicate that border regimes affect population growth via economic as well as non-economic mechanisms.

Suggested Citation

  • Lucie Coufalová & Fanny Dellinger & Peter Huber & Stepan Mikula, 2024. "Borders and Population Growth: Evidence from a Century of Border Regime Changes on the Austrian-Czech Border," WIFO Working Papers 680, WIFO.
  • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wpaper:y:2024:i:680
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.wifo.ac.at/wwa/pubid/71622
    File Function: abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Martijn I Dröes & Hans R A Koster, 2023. "A world divided: refugee centers, house prices and household preferences," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 23(1), pages 51-90.
    2. Brülhart, Marius & Carrère, Céline & Robert-Nicoud, Frédéric, 2018. "Trade and towns: Heterogeneous adjustment to a border shock," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 162-175.
    3. Crozet, Matthieu & Koenig Soubeyran, Pamina, 2004. "EU enlargement and the internal geography of countries," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 265-279, June.
    4. Stephen J. Redding & Daniel M. Sturm, 2008. "The Costs of Remoteness: Evidence from German Division and Reunification," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(5), pages 1766-1797, December.
    5. Gabriel M. Ahlfeldt & Stephen J. Redding & Daniel M. Sturm & Nikolaus Wolf, 2015. "The Economics of Density: Evidence From the Berlin Wall," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 83, pages 2127-2189, November.
    6. Nitsch, Volker, 2003. "Does history matter for urban primacy? The case of Vienna," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 401-418, July.
    7. Dmitry Arkhangelsky & Susan Athey & David A. Hirshberg & Guido W. Imbens & Stefan Wager, 2021. "Synthetic Difference-in-Differences," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(12), pages 4088-4118, December.
    8. Max-Stephan Schulze & Nikolaus Wolf, 2009. "On the origins of border effects: insights from the Habsburg Empire," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 117-136, January.
    9. Georges Ménil & Mathilde Maurel, 1994. "Breaking up a customs union: The case of the Austro-Hungarian Empire in 1919," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 130(3), pages 553-575, September.
    10. Alberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal, 2003. "The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the Basque Country," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 113-132, March.
    11. Beestermöller, Matthias & Rauch, Ferdinand, 2018. "A Dissection of Trading Capital: Trade in the Aftermath of the Fall of the Iron Curtain," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 78(2), pages 358-393, June.
    12. Brülhart, Marius & Carrère, Céline & Trionfetti, Federico, 2012. "How wages and employment adjust to trade liberalization: Quasi-experimental evidence from Austria," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 68-81.
    13. Bastian Heider, 2019. "The impact of EU Eastern enlargement on urban growth and decline: New insights from Germany's Eastern border," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 98(3), pages 1443-1468, June.
    14. Franke, Richard, 2017. "The cost of remoteness revisited," Kiel Working Papers 2070, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    15. Jürgen Nautz, 1992. "Die Entwicklung der Handelsbeziehungen Österreichs zu den anderen Nachfolgestaaten nach dem Ersten Weltkrieg," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 18(4), pages 539-559.
    16. Hans Christian Heinemeyer, 2007. "The treatment effect of borders on trade. The great war and the disintegration of Central Europe," Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), vol. 1(3), pages 177-210, October.
    17. Augusto Cerqua & Roberta Di Stefano & Guido Pellegrini, 2023. "What kind of region reaps the benefits of a currency union?," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(3), pages 552-582, June.
    18. Eberhard-Ruiz, Andreas & Moradi, Alexander, 2019. "Regional market integration in East Africa: Local but no regional effects?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 255-268.
    19. Guzi, Martin & Huber, Peter & Mikula, Štěpán, 2021. "The long-term impact of the resettlement of the Sudetenland on residential migration," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    20. Lucie Coufalová & Štěpán Mikula & Libor Žídek, 2020. "Competitiveness of Czechoslovak exports under socialism and its impact on industries’ output growth after 1989," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(1), pages 111-135, January.
    21. Jürgen Nautz, 1992. "Die Entwicklung der Handelsbeziehungen Österreichs zu den anderen Nachfolgestaaten nach dem Ersten Weltkrieg," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 18(4), pages 539-560.
    22. Marius Brülhart & Pamina Koenig, 2006. "New economic geography meets Comecon: Regional wages and industry location in central Europe," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 14(2), pages 245-267, April.
    23. Jonathan Roth, 2022. "Pretest with Caution: Event-Study Estimates after Testing for Parallel Trends," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 4(3), pages 305-322, September.
    24. Peter Huber & Julia Bock‐Schappelwein, 2014. "The Effects of Liberalizing Migration on Permanent Migrants' Education Structure," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(2), pages 268-284, March.
    25. Dávid Krisztián Nagy, 2022. "Trade and Urbanization: Evidence from Hungary," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(3), pages 733-790, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Vermeulen, Wessel N., 2022. "Stuck outside the single market; Evidence from firms in central and eastern Europe," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 415-434.
    2. Brülhart, Marius & Carrère, Céline & Robert-Nicoud, Frédéric, 2018. "Trade and towns: Heterogeneous adjustment to a border shock," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 162-175.
    3. Ketevani Kapanadze, 2021. "Checkmate! Losing with Borders, Winning with Centers. The Case of European Integration," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp716, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    4. Kentaro Nakajima & Tetsuji Okazaki, 2018. "The expanding Empire and spatial distribution of economic activity: the case of Japan's colonization of Korea during the prewar period," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 71(2), pages 593-616, May.
    5. Mitze, Timo & Breidenbach, Philipp, 2023. "The complex regional effects of macro-institutional shocks: Evidence from EU economic integration over three decades," Ruhr Economic Papers 1007, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    6. Wassmann, Pia, 2016. "The Economic Effects of the EU Eastern Enlargement on Border Regions in the Old Member States," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-582, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    7. Beestermöller, Matthias & Rauch, Ferdinand, 2018. "A Dissection of Trading Capital: Trade in the Aftermath of the Fall of the Iron Curtain," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 78(2), pages 358-393, June.
    8. David Krisztián Nagy, 2020. "Trade and urbanization: Evidence from Hungary," Economics Working Papers 1858, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    9. Marius Brülhart, 2011. "The spatial effects of trade openness: a survey," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 147(1), pages 59-83, April.
    10. Stephen J. Redding & Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, 2017. "Quantitative Spatial Economics," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 9(1), pages 21-58, September.
    11. Becker, Sascha O. & Heblich, Stephan & Sturm, Daniel M., 2021. "The impact of public employment: Evidence from Bonn," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    12. Volker Nitsch & Nikolaus Wolf, 2013. "Tear down this wall: on the persistence of borders in trade," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(1), pages 154-179, February.
    13. David Cuberes & Rafael González-Val, 2017. "The effect of the Spanish Reconquest on Iberian cities," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 58(3), pages 375-416, May.
    14. Redding, Stephen, 2020. "Trade and Geography," CEPR Discussion Papers 15268, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Goeyvaerts, Geert, 2023. "Reconstructing cities: Stimulating redevelopment through the tax code," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    16. Behrens, Kristian & Murata, Yasusada, 2021. "On quantitative spatial economic models," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    17. Hanna L. Adam & Mario Larch & David Stadelmann, 2023. "Trade agreements and subnational income of border regions," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 61(4), pages 1034-1052, October.
    18. Georg Hirte & Christian Lessmann, 2014. "Trade, Integration, and Interregional Inequality," CESifo Working Paper Series 4799, CESifo.
    19. Marius Klein & Ferdinand Rauch, 2023. "Market Access and the Arrow of Time," CESifo Working Paper Series 10279, CESifo.
    20. Christian Aleman & Christopher Busch & Alexander Ludwig & Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis, 2022. "A Stage-Based Identification of Policy Effects," PIER Working Paper Archive 22-026, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Population growth; border regions; economic geography;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • N94 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History - - - Europe: 1913-
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wfo:wpaper:y:2024:i:680. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Florian Mayr (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/wifooat.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.